Mets vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Saturday, June 6th

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NYM @ SD

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Mets @ Padres Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Teams : New York Mets at San Diego Padres
Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Saturday, June 6th
Time : 06/06/26 22:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the New York Mets Series Game 2 Game Today

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Xander Bogaerts’s true offensive ability to be a .328, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .038 deviation between that mark and his actual .290 wOBA.

,Bryce Johnson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 6th-weakest among every team playing today.

,Bryce Johnson will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Bryce Johnson has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .317 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .342.

,By putting up a .340 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Bryce Johnson has performed in the 100th percentile.

,Marcus Semien is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,Over the past week, Marcus Semien’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.6% up to 15.4%.

,Over the past 14 days, Marcus Semien’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.8-mph over the course of the season to 96.5-mph recently.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Marcus Semien’s true offensive talent to be a .316, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .053 disparity between that figure and his actual .263 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Nolan McLean throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Jackson Merrill will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Jared Young is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

,Jared Young will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Griffin Canning in today’s matchup.

,Jared Young has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 91.7-mph mark.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 0°, Jared Young has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 3.2° figure over the past two weeks.

,Jared Young has been hot of late, posting a a 21.4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) in the past two weeks.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Manny Machado will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

,In the past 7 days, Manny Machado’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.8% up to 21.4%.

,Ty France’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ty France has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (87% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ty France will hold that advantage today.

,Ty France has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.9-mph average to last year’s 90.8-mph mark.

,Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, MJ Melendez will have an advantage in today’s game.

,MJ Melendez’s launch angle of late (30.8° in the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 21.3° seasonal mark.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (21.7) may lead us to conclude that MJ Melendez has been unlucky since the start of last season with his 14.4 actual HR/600.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the game.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage today.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.2-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 90.3-mph EV.

,Griffin Canning will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats in all categories.

,The New York Mets have done a poor job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-hit balls. Their 10.8° figure is among the lowest in MLB since the start of last season (#30 overall).

,Freddy Fermin will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Freddy Fermin has been unlucky this year, putting up a .191 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .277 — a .086 discrepancy.

,In terms of his batting average, Luis Torrens has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .228 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .302.

,Sporting a .350 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Luis Torrens is positioned in the 91st percentile for offensive ability.

,Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Nolan McLean throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Gavin Sheets has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 94.2-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,Carson Benge is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,Carson Benge will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Griffin Canning today.

,In the past week, Carson Benge’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10% up to 30.8%.

,Over the past week, Carson Benge’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 104.5-mph of late.

,When assessing his home run skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

,Mark Vientos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 14% to 20.5%.

,Mark Vientos has been unlucky this year, notching a .272 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .043 gap.

,When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Nolan McLean in the 85th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.

,Throwing 93.2 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Nolan McLean falls in the 82nd percentile.

,Luis Torrens, the Mets’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Nolan McLean will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing batters in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Xander Bogaerts has posted a .272 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When it comes to his batting average talent, Bo Bichette is projected as the 6th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Bo Bichette is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Bo Bichette’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 12.4% to 18.8%.

,Bo Bichette has been unlucky this year, compiling a .269 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .335 — a .066 discrepancy.

,With a .311 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Bo Bichette is positioned in the 99th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Miguel Andujar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Miguel Andujar will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Marcus Semien’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, going from 42.6% on the season to 69.2% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 14.5% on the season to 20.7% over the past 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Nolan McLean in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall pitching skills.

,Brett Baty will have the handedness advantage against Griffin Canning in today’s matchup.

,Based on Statcast metrics, Brett Baty is in the 80th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .345.

,Brett Baty has notched a .274 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Over the past 14 days, Brett Baty’s 22.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.9%.

,Using Statcast metrics, Brett Baty grades out in the 77th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 26.300.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects A.J. Ewing as the 9th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill.

,A.J. Ewing will have the handedness advantage over Griffin Canning in today’s matchup.

,A.J. Ewing’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 55.3% on the season to 75% in the last week’s worth of games.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

,Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage against Griffin Canning in today’s matchup.

,Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

,Juan Soto’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, rising from 35.3% on the season to 52.9% in the last 7 days.

,Juan Soto’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 14.2% to 20.9%.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Carson Benge ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Compared to his seasonal average of 16.1°, Gavin Sheets has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 29.9° mark over the last two weeks.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 7.5°, Miguel Andujar has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 16.3° mark in the last week’s worth of games.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Bo Bichette ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Bo Bichette has notched a .356 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When estimating his home run ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,This season, Jackson Merrill has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.4 mph compared to last year’s 93.4 mph mark.

,When it comes to his home runs, Luis Torrens has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His 9.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 19.7.

Negatives with the San Diego Padres Series Game 2 Game Today

Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

,As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

,Nolan McLean will have the handedness advantage against Xander Bogaerts in today’s game.

,Xander Bogaerts’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 87.6-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 85.2-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Xander Bogaerts’s launch angle this year (7.9°) is considerably lower than his 11.3° angle last year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Johnson in the 5th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Bryce Johnson is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Extreme groundball hitters like Bryce Johnson usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Nolan McLean.

,Bryce Johnson’s footspeed has dropped off this season. His 28.49 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.81 ft/sec now.

,Batting from the same side that Griffin Canning throws from, Marcus Semien will have a disadvantage today.

,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcus Semien in today’s game.

,Marcus Semien’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 88.4-mph EV last year has fallen to 86.1-mph.

,Marcus Semien has recorded a .264 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 12th percentile.

,Grading out in the 15th percentile, Jackson Merrill sports a .269 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

,In notching a .205 batting average this year, Jackson Merrill is positioned in the 17th percentile.

,This year, Jared Young has been pulled from the game early in 39% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

,Jared Young pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 81st percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

,The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jared Young in today’s matchup.

,Batting from the same side that Nolan McLean throws from, Manny Machado has a tough challenge today.

,Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 46.6% to 36.5%.

,Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased lately, decreasing from 36.5% on the season to 27.6% over the past 14 days.

,Checking in at the 1st percentile, Manny Machado has posted a .175 BABIP this year.

,Hitting from the same side that Nolan McLean throws from, Ty France will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Ty France has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,In the past week, Ty France’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.1% down to 0%.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 7.3°, Ty France has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.1°) over the last 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,MJ Melendez is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

,When starting against a righty on the mound this year, MJ Melendez has been pulled from the game early 43% of the time.

,MJ Melendez pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

,Hitting from the same side that Nolan McLean throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,There has been a significant decline in Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle from last year’s 9.6° to 2.2° this season.

,Power-wise, Fernando Tatis Jr. is ranked in the 3rd percentile, having hit 1.2 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

,Griffin Canning has averaged 78.3 adjusted pitches per start this year, grading out in the 15th percentile.

,It may be sensible to expect positive regression for the New York Mets offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the unluckiest offense in the league this year.

,New York’s 89.6-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the best in the game: #5 overall.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 13th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Freddy Fermin is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

,17% of the time that Freddy Fermin has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

,Nolan McLean will have the handedness advantage over Freddy Fermin in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his home run talent, Luis Torrens ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Luis Torrens is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.

,When starting against a northpaw this year, Luis Torrens has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 19% of the time.

,Griffin Canning will have the handedness advantage against Luis Torrens in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 19th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,12% of the time that Gavin Sheets has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

,Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Gavin Sheets has been lucky this year, putting up a .342 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .027 deviation.

,Carson Benge will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Sporting a .277 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Manny Machado is ranked in the 22nd percentile.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.278) suggests that Jared Young has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .354 actual wOBA.

,Mark Vientos has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (69% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Hitting from the same side that Griffin Canning throws from, Mark Vientos meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mark Vientos in today’s game.

,In the past week, Mark Vientos’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 91.1 mph to 77 mph.

,The San Diego Padres (19.8 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy set of batters on the slate.

,Nolan McLean will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Griffin Canning will hold the platoon advantage over Bo Bichette in today’s game.

,Bo Bichette has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bo Bichette in today’s game.

,Miguel Andujar is penciled in 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

,Hitting from the same side that Nolan McLean throws from, Miguel Andujar will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

,Miguel Andujar has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph dropping to 83.4-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

,From last year to this one, Miguel Andujar’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 13.2% to 8.7%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 19th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Manny Machado’s launch angle this season (10.7°) is considerably worse than his 14.4° angle last year.

,It may be wise to expect stronger performance for the San Diego Padres offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

,Brett Baty is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Brett Baty has been pinch hit for 19% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brett Baty in today’s game.

,Brett Baty has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last 14 days.

,A.J. Ewing is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for A.J. Ewing in today’s game.

,A.J. Ewing has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 6.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 7 days.

,Juan Soto will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Juan Soto’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 98.7-mph figure last season has fallen to 96.5-mph.

,Juan Soto’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 42.2% to 35.3%.

,San Diego’s 10.1° launch angle (an advanced standard to measure the ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in the game this year: #29 overall.

,When assessing his home run ability, A.J. Ewing ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,In today’s game, Luis Torrens is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.9% rate (92nd percentile).

,Juan Soto’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 96.5-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 89.4-mph in the past 7 days.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Bo Bichette’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 91.1 mph to 87.6 mph.

,Bryce Johnson has paced 7.8 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 21st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for MJ Melendez in today’s game.

,Grading out in the 23rd percentile, Jackson Merrill sits with a .333 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

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