Pirates vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Wednesday, August 26th

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PIT @ SD

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Pirates @ Padres Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, August 26th
Time : 26/08/26 16:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Pittsburgh Pirates Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales as the 14th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Nick Gonzales is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

,Among all parks, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.

,A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 87°.

,Sporting a .357 BABIP this year, Nick Gonzales has performed in the 99th percentile.

,The #3 venue in the majors for suppressing base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

,In his last outing, Bubba Chandler was rolling and gave up 0 ER.

,Bubba Chandler’s 97.8-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 99th percentile among all starters.

,Among all SPs, Bubba Chandler’s fastball spin rate of 2411 rpm grades out in the 78th percentile this year.

,San Diego’s 10.9° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess the ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in MLB this year: #29 overall.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

,Batting from the opposite that Randy Vásquez throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as baseball’s 12th-best home run batter.

,Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vásquez throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Jake Mangum’s launch angle this season (4.3°) is significantly higher than his 0° mark last year.

,Posting a .352 BABIP this year, Jake Mangum finds himself in the 98th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

,Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage over Bubba Chandler today.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Randy Vasquez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Randy Vasquez was in good form in his last game started and notched 8 strikeouts.

,Randy Vasquez’s 2434-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 81st percentile among all SPs.

,The underlying talent of the Pittsburgh Pirates projected offense today (.311 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be considerably weaker than their .323 wOBA this year.

,It may be best to expect negative regression for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 7th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

,In his last outing, Randy Vasquez was on point and allowed 0 ER.

,Ty France’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ty France is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

,Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Jacob Gonzalez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vásquez in today’s game.

,Jacob Gonzalez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 93.6-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 89.9-mph.

,Jacob Gonzalez’s 17.7° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in MLB: 76th percentile.

,Luis Rengifo will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Freddy Fermin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

,Xander Bogaerts’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the San Diego Padres Series Game 3 Game Today

Petco Park projects as the #26 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which often leads to worse offense.

,Randy Vásquez will have the handedness advantage over Nick Gonzales today.

,Nick Gonzales has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will be challenged by the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nick Gonzales in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bubba Chandler to throw 84 pitches in today’s game (7th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,The San Diego Padres have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games,It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Mark Ripperger) behind the plate in this game.

,Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryan Reynolds in today’s game.

,Bryan Reynolds’s launch angle lately (2.2° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably lower than his 7.2° seasonal angle.

,Bryan Reynolds’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 50.9% to 45%.

,Spencer Horwitz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Spencer Horwitz has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last 14 days.

,Spencer Horwitz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 20.2% to 11.2%.

,Spencer Horwitz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 11.2% on the season to 0% over the past 14 days.

,Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Lowe in today’s matchup.

,Over the last week, Brandon Lowe’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.1% down to 0%.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Oneil Cruz today.

,Oneil Cruz has been lucky this year, posting a .362 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .339 — a .023 gap.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 2nd percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Jake Mangum is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

,The switch-hitting Jake Mangum will bat from his bad side (0) today against Randy Vásquez,Jake Mangum will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,In terms of plate discipline, Jackson Merrill’s skill is quite poor, sporting a 3.83 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 12th percentile.

,Jake Cronenworth has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph dropping to 81.9-mph in the last 7 days.

,There has been a significant decline in Jake Cronenworth’s launch angle from last year’s 14.5° to 9.2° this year.

,Jake Cronenworth has performed at a clip of 11.2 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 18th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Ranking in the 10th percentile, Jake Cronenworth has posted a .280 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

,As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Randy Vasquez in the 3rd percentile among all SPs in the game.

,The Pittsburgh Pirates have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Randy Vasquez in today’s game.

,Randy Vasquez’s higher utilization rate of his fastball this year (46.8 vs. 39.4% last year) is not ideal consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Randy Vasquez’s overall pitching talent is in the 16th percentile out of all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball currently.

,Bubba Chandler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ty France in today’s matchup.

,Ty France has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ty France’s true offensive ability to be a .320, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .047 difference between that figure and his actual .367 wOBA.

,Batting from the same side that Bubba Chandler throws from, Manny Machado will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Manny Machado’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.8% down to 0%.

,Over the last 7 days, Manny Machado’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.6%.

,Placing in the 2nd percentile, Manny Machado sports a .235 BABIP this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Gonzalez in the 9th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Jacob Gonzalez is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,When starting against a northpaw this year, Jacob Gonzalez has been pulled from the game early 29% of the time.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 6th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,Luis Rengifo is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The switch-hitting Luis Rengifo will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Bubba Chandler,Luis Rengifo has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph dropping to 82.3-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 23rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Freddy Fermin is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,This year, Freddy Fermin has been pinch hit for in 18% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

,The San Diego Padres (19.9 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy team of batters of all teams on the slate.

,Bubba Chandler will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Bubba Chandler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s matchup.

,Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle this season (5.6°) is significantly lower than his 9.6° angle last year.

,Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

,Bubba Chandler will hold the platoon advantage against Xander Bogaerts in today’s matchup.

,There has been a significant decline in Xander Bogaerts’s launch angle from last year’s 11.3° to 6° this season.

,Xander Bogaerts’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 12.7% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

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