Braves vs Mets match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Tuesday, July 28th

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ATL @ NYM

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Braves @ Mets Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Teams : Atlanta Braves at New York Mets
Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, July 28th
Time : 28/07/26 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Atlanta Braves Series Game 2 Game Today

Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the highest humidity of all games today at 90%.

,The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.

,Because of Chris Sale’s huge platoon split, Marcus Semien will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

,Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (39% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Marcus Semien will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

,It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Scott Barry) behind the plate in today’s game.

,Among all parks, Citi Field’s CF dimensions are the shallowest.

,With 7 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Christian Scott will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

,Jim Jarvis will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Scott today.

,Extreme flyball batters like Jim Jarvis usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Christian Scott.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

,As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a huge platoon split (Chris Sale) in today’s matchup.

,Jared Young will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

,In the past 7 days, Jared Young’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.2-mph over the course of the season to 101.2-mph in recent games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,Austin Riley hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,In the past 7 days, Austin Riley’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.1% up to 28.6%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,Michael Harris II is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Drake Baldwin is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Drake Baldwin will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Chris Sale projects as the 5th-best starter in the game right now as it relates to his strikeout skill, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Recording 97.3 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Chris Sale places in the 98th percentile.

,Citi Field ranks as the #9 ballpark in the game for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Ranking in the 94th percentile, Chris Sale posted a 14% Swinging Strike% this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Francisco Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today’s game… and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Matt Olson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Over the last week, Ozzie Albies’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.4% up to 11.8%.

,Mauricio Dubon is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

,Mauricio Dubon hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s shallowest CF fences today.

,Mauricio Dubon has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.1-mph average to last year’s 86.3-mph average.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Luis Robert Jr. ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Considering Chris Sale’s huge platoon split, Tyrone Taylor will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

,Tyrone Taylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Tyrone Taylor will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects A.J. Ewing as the 8th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,A.J. Ewing is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,A.J. Ewing has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to his batting average ability, Bo Bichette is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Bo Bichette is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.

,When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Christian Scott in the 89th percentile among all starters in baseball.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Bo Bichette ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Michael Harris II ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Dominic Smith will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Dominic Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Over the last week, Dominic Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.4-mph over the course of the season to 99.3-mph lately.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,Luis Torrens will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today’s game… and moreover, Sale has a huge platoon split.

,Luis Torrens hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s shallowest CF fences today.

,Luis Torrens will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

,When estimating his home run skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,It may be wise to expect positive regression for the New York Mets offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the unluckiest offense in baseball this year.

,A.J. Ewing will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Austin Riley ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the New York Mets Series Game 2 Game Today

Marcus Semien’s BABIP ability is projected in the 20th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Marcus Semien is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

,The #1 field in the game for suppressing BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

,Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

,Marcus Semien has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Christian Scott in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.

,Citi Field grades out as the #21 field in the majors for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Given that groundball hitters perform worse against groundball pitchers, Christian Scott (38.5% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today’s game with 2 GB hitters in the opposition’s projected offense.

,Christian Scott will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats in all categories.

,When assessing his home run ability, Jim Jarvis ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jim Jarvis is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.

,Citi Field profiles as the #27 park in baseball for overall left-handed offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jim Jarvis today.

,Francisco Lindor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 16% to 9%.

,Jared Young is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Chris Sale will have the handedness advantage over Jared Young in today’s matchup… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Sale’s huge platoon split.

,Jared Young’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, falling from 14.9% on the season to 8.3% in the last week.

,Austin Riley is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 2nd-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to righties.

,Batting from the same side that Christian Scott throws from, Austin Riley will be in a tough position in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Austin Riley in today’s matchup.

,Citi Field profiles as the #28 park in the majors for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Jim Jarvis has been cold in recent games, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) in the last week.

,Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Michael Harris II’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 91.1-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 84.5-mph over the past week.

,Michael Harris II’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 13.8% to 10.6%.

,Drake Baldwin will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Over the last 7 days, Drake Baldwin’s 27.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 48.7%.

,Given his huge platoon split, Chris Sale will be in a tough position matching up with 7 bats in the projected lineup who bat from the opposite side in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Chris Sale in today’s matchup.

,Francisco Alvarez’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 93.1-mph figure last year has lowered to 90.2-mph.

,Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Matt Olson’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 96 mph to 90.6 mph.

,In the past two weeks, Matt Olson’s 12% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.2%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ozzie Albies will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Christian Scott in today’s game.

,Typically, hitters like Ozzie Albies who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Christian Scott.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 12th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Hitting from the same side that Christian Scott throws from, Mauricio Dubon meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Mauricio Dubon in today’s matchup.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Mauricio Dubon’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 89.1 mph to 83.7 mph.

,Luis Robert Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 13.7% to 9.2%.

,Luis Robert Jr. has compiled a .292 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 25th percentile.

,Luis Robert Jr. has notched a .222 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 18th percentile.

,There has been a decrease in Marcus Semien’s average exit velocity this year, from 88.4 mph last year to 86.2 mph now,With a .265 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Marcus Semien finds himself in the 4th percentile.

,Tyrone Taylor is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Tyrone Taylor’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 46.1% to 34.3%.

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Tyrone Taylor is in the 16th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .289.

,Considering Chris Sale’s huge platoon split, A.J. Ewing will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.

,A.J. Ewing has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 6.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last two weeks.

,A.J. Ewing’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 93.2-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 86.9-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Over the past 14 days, Bo Bichette’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.7% down to 0%.

,Bo Bichette’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 90.6-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 65.9-mph over the last week.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 8°, Bo Bichette has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.5°) in the past two weeks.

,Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Christian Scott is projected to throw 83 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least on the slate.

,Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Atlanta Braves with a 19.8% underlying K%.

,Sporting a .177 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Bo Bichette is positioned in the 17th percentile.

,In the last 14 days, Michael Harris II’s 5.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.6%.

,Over the past 7 days, Austin Riley’s 7.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.4%.

,Dominic Smith is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dominic Smith in today’s matchup.

,In the last week, Dominic Smith’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.8% down to 0%.

,Dominic Smith’s launch angle this season (12.4°) is significantly worse than his 15.4° mark last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Torrens in the 14th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Luis Torrens is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Luis Torrens has struggled with his Barrel%; his 10.8% rate last year has dropped off to 3.8% this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chris Sale as the 12th-best pitcher in Major League Baseball currently.

,In his last outing, Chris Sale performed well and conceded 0 ER.

,With a 2.70 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that focuses on the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher’s control), Chris Sale places him the 95th percentile.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ozzie Albies today.

,Ozzie Albies has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph dropping to 82.5-mph over the last two weeks.

,A.J. Ewing’s launch angle recently (2.4° over the last week) is a considerable dropoff from his 11.7° seasonal figure.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 21st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Luis Torrens’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 90.6-mph EV last year has dropped to 87.3-mph.

,Sporting a 9.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Tyrone Taylor is ranked in the 14th percentile for power.

,Tyrone Taylor has hit 19.9% of his balls in the air at least 100 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 15th percentile.

,Despite posting a .335 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jared Young has been lucky given the .029 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .306.

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