Nationals vs Mets match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Sunday, August 16th

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WSH @ NYM

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Nationals @ Mets Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Washington Nationals at New York Mets
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Sunday, August 16th
Time : 16/08/26 13:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Washington Nationals Series Game 3 Game Today

The shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Citi Field.

,The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.

,The switch-hitting Jorge Polanco will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jake Irvin.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jorge Polanco’s true offensive skill to be a .315, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .124 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .191 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Extreme flyball bats like Jacob Young tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Christian Scott.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 11°, Jacob Young has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 25.8° angle over the past 7 days.

,Jorbit Vivas will have the handedness advantage against Christian Scott in today’s game.

,Jorbit Vivas has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Posting a 1.28 K/BB rate this year, Jorbit Vivas has shown favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 95th percentile.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, CJ Abrams ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Carson Benge is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Carson Benge will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Carson Benge has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Abimelec Ortiz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Abimelec Ortiz will have the handedness advantage against Christian Scott today.

,Over the past week, Abimelec Ortiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.6-mph over the course of the season to 99.8-mph lately.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Jose Tena will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Scott in today’s game.

,Jose Tena has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Hitters such as Jose Tena with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Christian Scott who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

,Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin today.

,Brett Baty has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Brett Baty will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Brett Baty has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.9% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 76th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,Daylen Lile is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

,Daylen Lile will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Scott in today’s game.

,Daylen Lile has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Francisco Alvarez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s shallowest CF fences today.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage today.

,Francisco Alvarez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.7-mph average over the last week to his seasonal average of 95.9-mph.

,Jacob Young’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 12.7% to 19.2%.

,Marcus Semien pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage today.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 18.8°, Marcus Semien has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 22.3° angle in the last 14 days.

,Marcus Semien has been unlucky this year, putting up a .273 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .038 discrepancy.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Christian Scott in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall pitching skills.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Washington Nationals today carries an estimated true talent wOBA of .297, which is considerably worse than their actual wOBA of .333 this year.

,The Washington Nationals have been the luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward,Citi Field grades out as the #22 stadium in Major League Baseball for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Brady House is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Brady House hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,As it relates to his BABIP skill, A.J. Ewing is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,A.J. Ewing is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, A.J. Ewing will have an advantage in today’s game.

,A.J. Ewing has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 7th-best batter in baseball when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Bo Bichette is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage today.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, A.J. Ewing ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jose Tena has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last year’s 89.2-mph EV.

,Nasim Nunez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Extreme flyball batters like Nasim Nunez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Christian Scott.

,In notching a .271 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Nasim Nunez has performed in the 84th percentile.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

,The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Christian Scott.

,Keibert Ruiz has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90-mph average to last year’s 86.1-mph figure.

,In his previous outing, Jake Irvin turned in a great performance and allowed 2 ER.

,Jake Irvin has been unlucky this year, notching a 5.79 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.49 — a 1.3 discrepancy.

,Placing least steep in MLB since the start of last season, New York Mets hitters collectively have posted a 10.8° launch angle on their hardest-contacted balls (an advanced standard to study power skills).

,When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Christian Scott in the 91st percentile among all starters in the game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the 8th-best park in baseball for strikeouts.

,Christian Scott will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats in all categories.

,Grading out in the 78th percentile, Christian Scott put up a 12.1% Swinging Strike rate this year.

,Jake Irvin was rolling in his previous start and posted 7 strikeouts.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Bo Bichette ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jared Young is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Jared Young will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Jared Young will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Carson Benge ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Daylen Lile ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the New York Mets Series Game 3 Game Today

Jorge Polanco’s BABIP ability is projected in the 12th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jorge Polanco has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (59% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst park in MLB for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters.

,Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.

,Jorge Polanco has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 10.1% rate last year has lowered to 4.4% this year.

,Jacob Young is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Citi Field projects as the #28 venue in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Hitting from the same side that Christian Scott throws from, Jacob Young meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jacob Young in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorbit Vivas in the 8th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Jorbit Vivas is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Jorbit Vivas will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for CJ Abrams in today’s game.

,In the past week’s worth of games, CJ Abrams’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.5% down to 0%.

,CJ Abrams has been lucky this year, putting up a .380 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .051 deviation.

,Carson Benge’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, falling from 15.5% on the season to 0% in the last week.

,In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Carson Benge ranks in just the 22nd percentile with a 10.2° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in Major League Baseball.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Abimelec Ortiz in the 8th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Abimelec Ortiz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Jose Tena is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jose Tena today.

,Jose Tena’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, decreasing from 47.9% on the season to 30.8% in the last two weeks.

,Brett Baty is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.

,This year, Brett Baty has been pulled from the game early in 25% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

,The #1 park in MLB for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

,Brett Baty has compiled a .274 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 9th percentile.

,Jorge Polanco’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 90.7-mph figure last year has lowered to 85.7-mph.

,Jorge Polanco’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 17.4% to 13.2%.

,Typically, bats like Daylen Lile who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Christian Scott.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Daylen Lile in today’s game.

,With a 3.36 K/BB rate this year, Daylen Lile has demonstrated poor plate discipline, grading out in the 22nd percentile.

,Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

,Batting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Francisco Alvarez has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 16.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 11.1% over the last 7 days.

,Francisco Alvarez has been lucky this year, posting a .337 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .019 deviation.

,When assessing his home run ability, Jacob Young ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The #1 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

,Marcus Semien’s BABIP skill is projected in the 20th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Marcus Semien is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

,Jake Irvin will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Semien today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Scott to throw 85 pitches in today’s game (9th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Willie Traynor) calling pitches today.

,With 7 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Christian Scott will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

,Batting from the same side that Christian Scott throws from, Brady House encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Brady House will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Over the past 7 days, Brady House’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.6% down to 0%.

,A.J. Ewing has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.

,Over the past 7 days, A.J. Ewing’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 92.4 mph to 88.9 mph.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 11.5°, A.J. Ewing has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.8°) in the past two weeks.

,Jake Irvin will hold the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette in today’s matchup.

,Checking in at the 19th percentile, Bo Bichette has notched a .187 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

,A.J. Ewing has averaged 11.9 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 23rd percentile for power.

,Jose Tena’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 15.2% to 10.4%.

,Jose Tena has been lucky this year, notching a .311 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .293 — a .018 discrepancy.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Nasim Nunez ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Nasim Nunez is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

,The switch-hitting Nasim Nunez will bat from his bad side (0) today against Christian Scott,The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will bat from his weak side (0) today against Jake Irvin,From last season to this one, Francisco Lindor’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16% to 9.6%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Keibert Ruiz in today’s game.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Keibert Ruiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 90 mph to 74.5 mph.

,Jake Irvin has averaged 14 outs per outing this year, placing in the 15th percentile.

,The New York Mets have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nasim Nunez in the 1st percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,Nasim Nunez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Brady House’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 93.4-mph seasonal average has dropped to 73.4-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

,Given that groundball hitters hold a sizeable edge over flyball pitchers, Christian Scott and his 37.8% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough position today matching up with 3 opposing GB batters.

,Over the past 14 days, CJ Abrams’s 7.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17%.

,Marcus Semien has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 7.2% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last week.

,There has been a decrease in Marcus Semien’s average exit velocity this year, from 88.4 mph last year to 86.4 mph now,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorbit Vivas in the 12th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,With 6 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Jake Irvin meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.

,Jake Irvin will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Jake Irvin has relied on his curveball 5.8% less often this year (24.1%) than he did last year (29.9%).

,Bo Bichette’s launch angle of late (1.2° over the last week) is considerably worse than his 7.9° seasonal angle.

,Jared Young has been pulled from the game early 25% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

,In the past week, Jared Young’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.6% down to 0%.

,Jared Young’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 95-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 89.4-mph over the last week.

,Over the past week, Jared Young’s 6.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.1%.

,Sporting a .334 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Brett Baty is ranked in the 14th percentile.

,Over the past 14 days, Keibert Ruiz’s 4.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.8%.

,Despite posting a .321 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Keibert Ruiz has had some very good luck given the .036 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .285.

,Jorbit Vivas has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 82.5-mph dropping to 74.1-mph in the last 14 days.

,Based on Statcast data, Daylen Lile is in the 21st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 12.300.

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