Rockies @ Padres Matchup Details

Positives for the Colorado Rockies Game Today

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage over Michael King in today’s matchup.

,The San Diego Padres outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team playing today.

,There has been a significant improvement in Mickey Moniak’s launch angle from last season’s 17.4° to 22.5° this year.

,Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums.

,Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height in the majors.

,With 7 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Michael King will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.

,Among all SPs, Michael King’s fastball velocity of 92.3 mph grades out in the 16th percentile this year.

,Tallying 92.8 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Michael King ranks in the 84th percentile.

,It may be best to expect better results for the San Diego Padres offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 4th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

,Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Lorenzen in today’s game.

,Michael Lorenzen’s slider percentage has fallen by 5.4% from last year to this one (20.7% to 15.3%) .

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ty France ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ty France is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Ty France will hold that advantage today.

,Ty France has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.3% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past 14 days.

,Gavin Sheets will have the handedness advantage over Michael Lorenzen today.

,Gavin Sheets is apt to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.

,Gavin Sheets will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Luis Rengifo will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

,In the last two weeks, Luis Rengifo’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 100.9-mph recently.

,Posting a .272 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Luis Rengifo is ranked in the 78th percentile.

,Luis Campusano hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Luis Campusano’s footspeed has improved this season. His 25.01 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.73 ft/sec now.

,Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,Jake Cronenworth will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen today.

,The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the game.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Manny Machado will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Manny Machado has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 11% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,Cole Carrigg is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Cole Carrigg has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.4-mph to 90.5-mph in the past week.

,In the past two weeks, Cole Carrigg’s 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.1%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Jackson Merrill will have the handedness advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today’s game.

,Jake McCarthy is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Jake McCarthy will have the upper hand today.

,Kyle Karros’s BABIP talent is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Karros hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

,Kyle Karros’s launch angle in recent games (21° over the last two weeks) is significantly higher than his 13.5° seasonal angle.

,T.J. Rumfield is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, T.J. Rumfield will have the upper hand today.

,T.J. Rumfield has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 93.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 89-mph.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 15.5°, T.J. Rumfield has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 27.3° mark in the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Edouard Julien will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Xander Bogaerts’s maximum exit velocity (a strong indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 111-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the majors.

,Edouard Julien has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last year’s 89.3-mph EV.

,By putting up a 1.73 K/BB rate this year, Kyle Karros has shown strong plate discipline, ranking in the 79th percentile.

,Ty France’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ty France has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 99.5-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 92.5-mph mark.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.7-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 95.1-mph.

,Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky this year, notching a .287 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .043 gap.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,This season, Ty France has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97 mph compared to last year’s 90.8 mph mark.

,In the past two weeks, Gavin Sheets’s 23.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.4%.

,Hunter Goodman projects as the 14th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

,Over the past 7 days, Hunter Goodman’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.4% up to 33.3%.

,Jake McCarthy has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.3-mph to 90.5-mph over the past week.

,Luis Campusano’s launch angle in recent games (17.5° in the last week) is considerably higher than his 12.2° seasonal figure.

,Luis Campusano and his 17.3° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 84th percentile, among the highest in baseball since the start of last season.

,The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Merrill can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Xander Bogaerts’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 13.5% on the season to 25.9% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Michael King’s change-up rate has increased by 6.2% from last season to this one (21.4% to 27.6%) .

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Edouard Julien has notched a .350 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 91st percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Posting a .280 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Cole Carrigg finds himself in the 76th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Negatives with the San Diego Padres Game Today

Mickey Moniak has been pinch hit for 21% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

,Petco Park ranks as the #27 park in the league for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which generally leads to less offense.

,As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

,In today’s game, Mickey Moniak is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 39.3% rate (96th percentile).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Michael King in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent.

,The Colorado Rockies projected batting order ranks as the 3rd-weakest on the slate in terms of overall batting skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the worst park in the game for base hits.

,Michael King will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats across the board.

,Out of all starting pitchers, Michael Lorenzen’s fastball spin rate of 2397 rpm is in the 77th percentile this year.

,Michael Lorenzen has been unlucky this year, posting a 6.53 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.95 — a 1.58 deviation.

,Michael Lorenzen has been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball on balls in play this year with a .342 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.

,Batting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Ty France will be in a tough position in today’s game.

,In today’s game, Ty France is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.3% rate (83rd percentile).

,Ty France has been lucky this year, putting up a .373 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .047 gap.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

,14% of the time that Gavin Sheets has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

,Petco Park ranks as the #25 park in baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 6th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Luis Rengifo is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

,The switch-hitting Luis Rengifo will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Michael Lorenzen,Luis Campusano is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

,15% of the time that Luis Campusano has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

,Jake Cronenworth has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 5.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last two weeks.

,Jake Cronenworth’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 91.3-mph seasonal average has lowered to 76.7-mph in the last 14 days.

,There has been a significant decline in Jake Cronenworth’s launch angle from last year’s 14.5° to 7° this season.

,By putting up a 11.200 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jake Cronenworth finds himself in the 18th percentile for power.

,Hitting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

,There has been a significant decline in Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle from last season’s 9.6° to 4.4° this season.

,The #2 ballpark in the majors for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

,Michael Lorenzen will have the handedness advantage against Manny Machado today.

,In notching a .213 BABIP this year, Manny Machado grades out in the 0th percentile.

,Cole Carrigg pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Cole Carrigg today.

,Grading out in the 22nd percentile, Jackson Merrill has notched a .293 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Jackson Merrill’s ability is quite weak, posting a 3.51 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 19th percentile.

,When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Michael Lorenzen in the 22nd percentile among all starting pitchers in the game.

,The San Diego Padres (19.9 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy team of hitters of all teams on the slate.

,Michael Lorenzen has compiled a 7.9% Swinging Strike percentage this year, placing in the 5th percentile.

,When estimating his home run talent, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,This year, Jake McCarthy has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 19% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

,Jake McCarthy will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Kyle Karros is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Batting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Kyle Karros will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Rumfield in the 15th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,In today’s game, T.J. Rumfield is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.1% rate (77th percentile).

,Edouard Julien is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

,25% of the time that Edouard Julien has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

,Edouard Julien will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Recording 14.2 outs per outing this year on average, Michael Lorenzen places him the 21st percentile.

,Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

,Batting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

,There has been a significant decline in Xander Bogaerts’s launch angle from last season’s 11.3° to 6° this year.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit 10.3 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 18th percentile for power.

,Gavin Sheets pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Michael King will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Goodman in today’s matchup.

,Hunter Goodman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Hunter Goodman has been lucky this year, compiling a .374 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .044 difference.

,Hunter Goodman has displayed poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 15th percentile with a 3.89 K/BB rate.

,Luis Rengifo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 14.7% to 10.1%.

,Over the last week, Jake McCarthy’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%.

,Kyle Karros will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Michael Lorenzen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Campusano in today’s game.

,T.J. Rumfield will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,T.J. Rumfield has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 5.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days.

,Placing in the 12th percentile, Xander Bogaerts sits with a .161 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mickey Moniak in today’s matchup.

,Edouard Julien has struggled with his Barrel%; his 12.2% rate last season has dropped to 7.1% this year.

,Cole Carrigg has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 6.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last two weeks.

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