Padres @ Mets Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the San Diego Padres Series Game 2 Game Today

Ty France’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ty France is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

,The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field.

,High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 83°.

,Ty France will hold the platoon advantage over Zach Thornton in today’s game.

,When it comes to his batting average skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Bo Bichette is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Bo Bichette will hold the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

,As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will get to bat from his better side against Robbie Ray in today’s matchup.

,Francisco Lindor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Luis Campusano will hold the platoon advantage over Zach Thornton in today’s matchup.

,Luis Campusano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Luis Campusano has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.6% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past 7 days.

,Over the past 7 days, Luis Campusano’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 100.4-mph of late.

,When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Robbie Ray in the 75th percentile among all starters in the league.

,Throwing 92.9 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Robbie Ray ranks in the 83rd percentile.

,The #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

,Robbie Ray’s change-up percentage has jumped by 5.7% from last year to this one (13% to 18.7%) .

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

,Manny Machado will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Thornton today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Marcus Semien will have the upper hand today.

,Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (39% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Marcus Semien’s true offensive skill to be a .309, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .036 disparity between that figure and his actual .273 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Francisco Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Robbie Ray today.

,Francisco Alvarez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Xander Bogaerts will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Thornton today.

,Xander Bogaerts has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 6.2% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past 7 days.

,Austin Hays will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Thornton today.

,Austin Hays pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Jackson Merrill has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Jackson Merrill has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past two weeks.

,It may be best to expect stronger performance for the New York Mets offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 6th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects A.J. Ewing as the 10th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill.

,A.J. Ewing is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

,A.J. Ewing has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,A.J. Ewing will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Carson Benge is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Carson Benge has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Carson Benge will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,In notching a .318 BABIP since the start of last season, Austin Hays is positioned in the 83rd percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Luis Robert Jr. is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Luis Robert Jr. will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Fernando Tatis Jr. as the 10th-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average ability.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Zach Thornton throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Jake Cronenworth has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

,Jake Cronenworth has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Jake Cronenworth’s launch angle of late (19.1° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 9.7° seasonal mark.

,Despite posting a .273 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Cronenworth has experienced some negative variance given the .035 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Bo Bichette ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Luis Torrens will hold the platoon advantage over Robbie Ray in today’s matchup.

,Extreme groundball bats like Luis Torrens tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Robbie Ray.

,Luis Torrens will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Luis Torrens (the Mets’s expected catcher today) is considered to be a good pitch framer.

,Zachary Thornton will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

,Zachary Thornton’s high usage rate of his secondary pitches (64.1% this year) figures to work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 12th-best batter in baseball.

,Out of all starting pitchers, Zachary Thornton’s fastball velocity of 91.3 mph grades out in the 16th percentile this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, A.J. Ewing ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the New York Mets Series Game 2 Game Today

Citi Field grades out as the #27 park in Major League Baseball for overall righty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

,Ty France will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Over the last 14 days, Ty France’s 34.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 48.9%.

,Ty France has been lucky this year, compiling a .373 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .052 deviation.

,Citi Field profiles as the #28 park in the league for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Francisco Lindor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 16% to 10%.

,Luis Campusano is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Campusano in today’s game.

,Luis Campusano has been lucky this year, posting a .401 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .093 difference.

,The New York Mets have 6 bats in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Robbie Ray in this matchup.

,Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Robbie Ray in today’s game.

,Robbie Ray’s 92.6-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 20th percentile among all starting pitchers.

,Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Manny Machado has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last 7 days.

,Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, falling from 16.1% on the season to 0% in the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 20th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Marcus Semien is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Typically, bats like Marcus Semien who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Robbie Ray.

,Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

,Francisco Alvarez has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 16.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days.

,Francisco Alvarez’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 93.1-mph figure last season has dropped to 90.1-mph.

,Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Xander Bogaerts in today’s matchup.

,There has been a significant decline in Xander Bogaerts’s launch angle from last season’s 11.3° to 6° this year.

,Austin Hays has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (62% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Austin Hays in today’s matchup.

,This season, Austin Hays’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 10.3% last year to just 5.3% this year.

,Austin Hays’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 88.4-mph figure last year has dropped off to 86.4-mph.

,Bo Bichette has posted a .184 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 17th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the 3rd-worst park in the majors for boosting offensive stats to lefties.

,Zach Thornton will have the handedness advantage over Jackson Merrill in today’s game.

,Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Jackson Merrill has shown weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 15th percentile with a 3.76 K/BB rate.

,Citi Field profiles as the #21 ballpark in the league for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,In his previous GS, Robbie Ray was on point and conceded 2 ER.

,Ranking least steep in the league since the start of last season, New York Mets bats as a group have compiled a 10.8° launch angle on their hardest-hit balls (a reliable stat to assess power skills).

,Robbie Ray will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against A.J. Ewing in today’s game.

,A.J. Ewing has averaged 11.6 homers per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 21st percentile for power.

,Robbie Ray will have the handedness advantage over Carson Benge in today’s game.

,Carson Benge’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, decreasing from 15.6% on the season to 7.7% over the past week.

,Carson Benge’s 10.3° launch angle (an advanced stat to evaluate a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in Major League Baseball: 23rd percentile.

,Francisco Alvarez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, falling from 16.1% on the season to 0% over the last week.

,Luis Robert Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 47.4% to 36.6%.

,Posting a .272 BABIP since the start of last season, Luis Robert Jr. is positioned in the 24th percentile.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s game.

,Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle this year (5.4°) is significantly worse than his 9.6° angle last year.

,Hitting from the same side that Zach Thornton throws from, Jake Cronenworth will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Cronenworth today.

,Jake Cronenworth’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 87.1-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 85.1-mph over the last 14 days.

,Jake Cronenworth’s launch angle this season (9.7°) is considerably lower than his 14.5° angle last year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the 2nd-worst venue in the game for left-handed batting average.

,Luis Torrens is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.

,Luis Torrens has struggled with his Barrel%; his 10.8% rate last year has fallen to 4.5% this year.

,Luis Torrens’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 90.6-mph mark last year has lowered to 87.7-mph.

,Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Zachary Thornton is projected to throw 81 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least of all pitchers on the slate.

,It may be sensible to expect improved performance for the San Diego Padres offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

,With 7 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Zachary Thornton will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Torrens in the 22nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,Xander Bogaerts has put up a .171 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, placing in the 12th percentile.

,In the past week, Marcus Semien’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.1% down to 0%.

,There has been a decrease in Marcus Semien’s average exit velocity this season, from 88.4 mph last year to 86.4 mph now,As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Zachary Thornton in the 21st percentile among all starters in the game.

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