Nationals vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Monday, September 7th

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WSH @ SD

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Nationals @ Padres Matchup Details

Teams : Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres

Date : Todays Game is on Monday, September 7th
Time : 07/09/26 17:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Washington Nationals Game Today

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 11th-best batter in MLB.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

,Among all stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.

,A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

,Luis Campusano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team in action today.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage today.

,Freddy Fermin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Freddy Fermin will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

,Among all major league parks, Petco Park’s CF fences are the shallowest.

,Ty France’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ty France is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

,The San Diego Padres have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,CJ Abrams is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage against Nick Pivetta in today’s matchup.

,Jackson Merrill’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Brady House is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

,Brady House has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 95.1-mph over the past 14 days.

,Abimelec Ortiz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Abimelec Ortiz will have an edge in today’s game.

,Daylen Lile’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Daylen Lile is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

,Nick Pivetta gave up a staggering 6 earned runs in his last start.

,Nick Pivetta has utilized his four-seam fastball 10.7% more often this season (57.4%) than he did last year (46.7%).

,The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Nick Pivetta.

,Keibert Ruiz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.8-mph average to last season’s 86.1-mph average.

,Sporting a .276 batting average this year, Keibert Ruiz has performed in the 86th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Dylan Crews hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

,Dylan Crews’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 13.1% to 19.1%.

,Despite posting a .285 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dylan Crews has had bad variance on his side given the .024 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 4th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,James Wood is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,Hitting from the same side that Will Dion throws from, Jake Cronenworth faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Negatives with the San Diego Padres Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 3rd-worst field in baseball for run-scoring.

,Petco Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

,The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.6-mph in this contest, the best of the day for mound aces.

,Batting from the opposite that Will Dion throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the upper hand today.

,Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle this year (5.1°) is considerably lower than his 9.6° figure last season.

,Luis Campusano is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Luis Campusano will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Dion today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 25th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Freddy Fermin is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Manny Machado will have the handedness advantage over Will Dion in today’s game.

,Manny Machado has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 9.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last 7 days.

,Manny Machado’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 92.9-mph figure last season has fallen to 90.4-mph.

,Ty France will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Dion in today’s matchup.

,In today’s matchup, Ty France is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.3% rate (89th percentile).

,Petco Park grades out as the #29 park in the game for BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Jake Irvin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against 7 opposing bats in this game.

,Jake Irvin turned in a great performance in his previous GS and allowed 2 ER.

,Ranking 2nd-lowest in the league this year, San Diego Padres hitters as a group have put up a 11.1° launch angle (an advanced metric to evaluate the ability to lift the ball for power).

,CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 84th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,CJ Abrams will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Sporting a 3.72 K/BB rate this year, Jackson Merrill has displayed poor plate discipline, checking in at the 12th percentile.

,Nick Pivetta will have the handedness advantage over Brady House in today’s matchup.

,Brady House has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Abimelec Ortiz in the 9th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Abimelec Ortiz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Abimelec Ortiz has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last 14 days.

,Extreme groundball batters like Daylen Lile generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Pivetta.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Daylen Lile in today’s matchup.

,Tallying 14.3 outs per start this year on average, Jake Irvin places in the 16th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Nick Pivetta in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent level.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Washington Nationals in this game holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .311, which is a fair amount worse than their actual wOBA of .327 this year.

,It may be sensible to expect worse results for the Washington Nationals offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the luckiest offense in MLB this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Nick Pivetta to be on a pitch count in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 79 pitches.

,Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

,Hitting from the opposite that Will Dion throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have an edge in today’s game.

,In the last week, Xander Bogaerts’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.1% down to 0%.

,Dylan Crews is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

,Nick Pivetta will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Crews in today’s matchup.

,James Wood will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,James Wood has been lucky this year, compiling a .392 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .367 — a .025 discrepancy.

,Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Over the last two weeks, Jake Cronenworth’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 89.5 mph to 87 mph.

,Jake Cronenworth’s launch angle this season (10.2°) is significantly lower than his 14.5° angle last season.

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