Dodgers @ Mets Matchup Details

Positives for the Los Angeles Dodgers Game Today

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks.

,Batting from the opposite that Roki Sasaki throws from, Jared Young will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Jared Young will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

,Jared Young has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.2-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal EV of 96.2-mph.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 10.5°, Jared Young has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 31° figure over the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dalton Rushing in the 87th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,Using Statcast data, Dalton Rushing is in the 84th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 26.600.

,Checking in at the 81st percentile, Dalton Rushing has posted a .352 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

,Ranking in the 88th percentile, Dalton Rushing sits with a .339 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 7th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his batting average ability.

,Bo Bichette is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Bo Bichette will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

,Despite posting a .296 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bo Bichette has had bad variance on his side given the .038 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .334.

,Marcus Semien pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.2% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Marcus Semien will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Despite posting a .266 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Marcus Semien has been unlucky given the .051 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

,Marcus Semien’s launch angle of late (25.5° in the last week’s worth of games) is significantly higher than his 18.6° seasonal figure.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,Andy Pages is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Considering Sean Manaea’s large platoon split, Andy Pages will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

,Andy Pages’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 16.4% on the season to 31.6% in the past 14 days.

,Hitting from the opposite that Roki Sasaki throws from, Brett Baty will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Brett Baty has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Brett Baty will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Brett Baty’s launch angle this season (11.1°) is significantly higher than his 5.7° figure last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brett Baty’s true offensive skill to be a .307, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .028 gap between that mark and his actual .279 wOBA.

,Because of Sean Manaea’s large platoon split, Miguel Rojas will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.

,Miguel Rojas’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 13% to 16.7%.

,Miguel Rojas has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (an important ability for batting average), placing in the 93rd percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score this year.

,Miguel Rojas has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile with a 1.74 K/BB rate.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Carson Benge is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

,Batting from the opposite that Roki Sasaki throws from, Carson Benge will have an advantage today.

,Carson Benge has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Carson Benge will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Tommy Edman has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,The switch-hitting Tommy Edman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Sean Manaea… and even better, Manaea has a large platoon split.

,Tommy Edman has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.4% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the last 7 days.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Tommy Edman’s 31.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.8%.

,Roki Sasaki has a reverse platoon split and has the benefit of facing 6 opposite-handed batters in this game.

,Roki Sasaki turned in a great performance in his previous outing and conceded 1 ER.

,Roki Sasaki’s 97.1-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a notable 1.7-mph increase from last year’s 95.4-mph mark.

,Roki Sasaki’s fastball spin rate has spiked 162 rpm this season (2246 rpm) over where it was last year (2084 rpm).

,Sean Manaea will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats in all categories.

,Sean Manaea was on point in his last game started and conceded 1 ER.

,Sean Manaea has been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors on balls in play this year with a .322 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

,Francisco Lindor will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Francisco Lindor has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past week.

,Freddie Freeman projects as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.

,Freddie Freeman has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 13.2°, Freddie Freeman has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 18.8° figure in the past 7 days.

,In notching a .373 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Freddie Freeman grades out in the 93rd percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 14th-best batter in the majors when estimating his batting average skill.

,Using Statcast metrics, Freddie Freeman is in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .273.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best hitter in baseball.

,Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Shohei Ohtani’s 21.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.4%.

,Shohei Ohtani has posted a .403 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Shohei Ohtani’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 42.4% to 48.3%.

,When estimating his BABIP skill, A.J. Ewing is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,A.J. Ewing is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

,A.J. Ewing will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Roki Sasaki in today’s matchup.

,A.J. Ewing has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

,A.J. Ewing will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Mookie Betts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Mookie Betts will have the handedness advantage against Sean Manaea in today’s game… and moreover, Manaea has a large platoon split.

,Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Mookie Betts has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 8.5% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the past 7 days.

,When estimating his home run talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Francisco Alvarez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s shallowest CF fences today.

,Francisco Alvarez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,In the last 7 days, Francisco Alvarez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16% up to 33.3%.

,Over the past week, Francisco Alvarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96-mph over the course of the season to 99.3-mph recently.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Given Sean Manaea’s large platoon split, Teoscar Hernandez will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

,Teoscar Hernandez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s shallowest CF fences today.

,Teoscar Hernandez’s launch angle of late (21.2° in the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 14.6° seasonal angle.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Teoscar Hernandez’s true offensive talent to be a .336, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .032 gap between that mark and his actual .304 wOBA.

,Alex Call will have the handedness advantage against Sean Manaea in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Manaea has a large platoon split.

,Alex Call has displayed good plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 93rd percentile with a 1.45 K/BB rate.

,Alex Call has compiled a .310 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile.

,The #8 venue in MLB for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Carson Benge has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102.6-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 91.7-mph.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Andy Pages ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Brett Baty’s launch angle in recent games (20.6° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 11.1° seasonal figure.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Roki Sasaki in the 77th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Negatives with the New York Mets Game Today

Jared Young has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,This year, Jared Young has been pulled from the game early in 29% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

,Citi Field profiles as the #26 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Citi Field’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jared Young’s true offensive skill to be a .307, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .021 gap between that mark and his actual .328 wOBA.

,Dalton Rushing is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

,This year, Dalton Rushing has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 10% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter.

,Because of Sean Manaea’s large platoon split, Dalton Rushing will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Dalton Rushing in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the 3rd-worst park in the league for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters.

,Hitting from the same side that Roki Sasaki throws from, Bo Bichette will have a disadvantage today.

,Bo Bichette has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 6.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last two weeks.

,Bo Bichette’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 90.6-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 80.5-mph in the last 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 19th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Marcus Semien is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

,Roki Sasaki will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcus Semien in today’s matchup.

,Marcus Semien has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 7.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week.

,Marcus Semien’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 88.4-mph mark last season has dropped to 86.1-mph.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andy Pages in today’s matchup.

,Andy Pages has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 8.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past week.

,Andy Pages’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 90.6-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 84.4-mph in the past 14 days.

,Brett Baty is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

,19% of the time that Brett Baty has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

,Citi Field grades out as the #27 field in the game for overall left-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Brett Baty has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week.

,Miguel Rojas’s BABIP talent is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Miguel Rojas is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

,46% of the time that Miguel Rojas has started against a southpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,The #4 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

,Carson Benge has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 7.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last two weeks.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 10.4°, Carson Benge has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.5°) in the last two weeks.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tommy Edman in today’s matchup.

,Tommy Edman’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 89.3-mph EV last season has lowered to 86-mph.

,As it relates to his home runs, Tommy Edman has been lucky since the start of last season. His 18.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 7.8.

,The New York Mets have been the unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the future,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Dalton Rushing (the Dodgers’s expected catcher in today’s game) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

,Citi Field ranks as the #10 ballpark in the league for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Roki Sasaki will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,The Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup profiles as the 2nd-best on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

,Given his large platoon split, Sean Manaea will have a tough matchup matching up with 6 batters in the projected lineup who bat from the opposite side in today’s outing.

,Sean Manaea has relied on his sinker 25.4% more often this year (25.8%) than he did last year (0.4%).

,The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will bat from his worse side (0) today against Roki Sasaki,Francisco Lindor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 16% to 9.3%.

,Sean Manaea will have the handedness advantage against Freddie Freeman in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Manaea’s large platoon split.

,Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Freddie Freeman has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past 14 days.

,Freddie Freeman has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph dropping to 84.1-mph over the past 7 days.

,Because of Sean Manaea’s large platoon split, Shohei Ohtani will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Shohei Ohtani in today’s matchup.

,Shohei Ohtani has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 23.7% rate last season has decreased to 16.9% this year.

,Shohei Ohtani’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 100.7-mph mark last year has fallen to 96.7-mph.

,A.J. Ewing has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 14 days.

,In the past week, A.J. Ewing’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 93.4 mph to 80.3 mph.

,A.J. Ewing’s launch angle in recent games (-4° over the past week) is considerably worse than his 11.3° seasonal mark.

,Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mookie Betts in today’s matchup.

,Mookie Betts has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph dropping to 87.7-mph in the past 14 days.

,Mookie Betts’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 45.7% on the season to 30.4% in the past two weeks.

,Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Roki Sasaki will hold the platoon advantage over Francisco Alvarez in today’s game.

,As it relates to plate discipline, Francisco Alvarez’s talent is quite poor, sporting a 3.29 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 23rd percentile.

,Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Teoscar Hernandez today.

,Teoscar Hernandez has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 9.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last week.

,When estimating his home run skill, Alex Call ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Alex Call is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,This year, Alex Call has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 20% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter.

,Alex Call will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Francisco Alvarez’s launch angle lately (4.9° in the past two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 10.4° seasonal figure.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Call in the 24th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,When assessing his home run talent, Miguel Rojas ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Among all starting pitchers, Sean Manaea’s fastball spin rate of 2032 rpm ranks in the 4th percentile this year.

,Given the 0.35 discrepancy between Sean Manaea’s 9.15 K/9 and his 8.80 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year as it relates to strikeouts and should see negative regression the rest of the season.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Teoscar Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 93.6 mph to 87.9 mph.

,Despite posting a .422 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tommy Edman has had positive variance on his side given the .121 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .301.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Miguel Rojas in today’s matchup.

,Ranking in the 10th percentile, Brett Baty has notched a .278 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

,Bo Bichette’s launch angle lately (2.6° over the last two weeks) is considerably worse than his 8° seasonal mark.

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