D-Backs vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Tuesday, July 7th

|

ARI @ SD

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres Series Game 2D-Backs vs PadresD-Backs vs PadresD-Backs vs PadresD-Backs vs PadresD-Backs vs PadresD-Backs vs Padres

D-Backs @ Padres Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Teams : Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres
Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, July 7th
Time : 07/07/26 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Arizona Diamondbacks Series Game 2 Game Today

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

,In the majors, Petco Park’s CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.

,Petco Park has the 5th-lowest fence height (on average) in the majors.

,In the last 7 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 98-mph lately.

,Despite posting a .259 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has had bad variance on his side given the .051 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.

,Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

,Gavin Sheets will hold the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen today.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Sheets has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

,Gavin Sheets will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Sporting a .343 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Gabriel Moreno grades out in the 79th percentile for offensive ability.

,Posting a 1.47 K/BB rate this year, Gabriel Moreno has shown impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 89th percentile.

,Jake Cronenworth has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

,Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge in today’s game.

,Jake Cronenworth will probably have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

,Gabriel Moreno’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Using Statcast data, Gabriel Moreno grades out in the 92nd percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .289.

,Posting a .274 batting average this year, Gabriel Moreno finds himself in the 80th percentile.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

,Manny Machado will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Ty France’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ty France is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage today.

,Ty France has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97-mph average to last season’s 90.8-mph average.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 10.7°, Ty France has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 23.6° figure in the last 14 days.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 17th-best hitter in the majors.

,Ketel Marte is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,In the last 14 days, Ketel Marte’s 31.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14%.

,Based on Statcast metrics, Ketel Marte is in the 92nd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .366.

,Over the past 14 days, Gavin Sheets’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.3-mph over the course of the season to 100.5-mph lately.

,Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

,The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Jhony Brito.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Geraldo Perdomo’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.3-mph over the course of the season to 95.5-mph recently.

,Geraldo Perdomo has notched a .354 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 85th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Jackson Merrill’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Jackson Merrill will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Jackson Merrill has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 18th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Luis Campusano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

,Luis Campusano will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Luis Campusano’s speed has gotten better this season. His 25.01 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.81 ft/sec now.

,Luis Campusano and his 17.3° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 84th percentile, among the highest in the majors since the start of last season.

,Nolan Arenado has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.2-mph to 91.8-mph in the last 7 days.

,Tommy Troy’s BABIP skill is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Tommy Troy hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

,Tommy Troy’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, going from 42.7% on the season to 75% in the last week.

,Petco Park projects as the #9 venue in the majors for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Zac Gallen has utilized his four-seamer 8.3% less often this year (37.1%) than he did last year (45.4%).

,Zac Gallen has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, compiling a 5.48 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.31 — a 1.83 K/9 discrepancy.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Jhony Brito throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Corbin Carroll has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.5-mph to 98.2-mph over the last 7 days.

,Based on Statcast data, Corbin Carroll grades out in the 95th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .378.

,It may be best to expect better numbers for the San Diego Padres offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

,Nolan Arenado’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 38.1% to 43.8%.

,Batting from the opposite that Jhony Brito throws from, Max Kepler will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Max Kepler has hit one of the hardest balls in the game in the last week — 108.6-mph — which is a good indicator of recent form and raw power.

,Max Kepler has been lifting the ball well of late, compiling a 36.3° launch angle in the past week.

,Max Kepler has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .293 rate is a good deal lower than his .332 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Manny Machado has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.6% seasonal rate to 20.7% over the past 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Fernando Tatis Jr. as the 13th-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his batting average ability.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.5% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Max Kepler’s 12.2% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 80th percentile since the start of last season.

Negatives with the San Diego Padres Series Game 2 Game Today

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for pitching of all games today.

,Hitting from the same side that Jhony Brito throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will not have the upper hand today.

,Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 17.3% to 10.1%.

,Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, going from 10.1% on the season to 3.2% over the last two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 19th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Gavin Sheets has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 15% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 4th-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.

,Petco Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to less offense.

,Hitting from the same side that Jhony Brito throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,In today’s game, Gabriel Moreno is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40.2% rate (99th percentile).

,Gabriel Moreno will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense projects as the 4th-best out of all the teams on the slate today.

,There has been a significant decline in Jake Cronenworth’s launch angle from last year’s 14.5° to 7° this season.

,Jake Cronenworth has averaged 11.2 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 18th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Petco Park ranks as the #28 stadium in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Zac Gallen will hold the platoon advantage against Manny Machado in today’s game.

,From last year to this one, Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 46.6% to 38%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 21st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Ty France will be in a tough position today.

,Ty France has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Jhony Brito in this game.

,Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,The #2 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

,Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,From last year to this one, Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 20.2% to 14.2%.

,Jackson Merrill has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have a disadvantage today.

,Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle this season (5°) is significantly lower than his 9.6° figure last season.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit 7.5 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 13th percentile for power.

,Jackson Merrill’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 94.9-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 87.7-mph in the past 7 days.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Geraldo Perdomo has paced 8.3 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 16th percentile for power.

,Luis Campusano is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

,This year, Luis Campusano has been pinch hit for in 22% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

,Nolan Arenado has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Jhony Brito will hold the platoon advantage over Nolan Arenado today.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nolan Arenado in today’s game.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 18.8°, Nolan Arenado has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (12.4°) in the last 14 days.

,Jake Cronenworth has compiled a .183 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season, ranking in the 17th percentile.

,Tommy Troy is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

,Hitting from the same side that Jhony Brito throws from, Tommy Troy will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

,Tommy Troy will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Lance Barksdale) behind the plate in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Zac Gallen today.

,In his last game started, Zac Gallen struggled when it came to striking batters out and only managed to tally 2 Ks.

,Out of all SPs, Zac Gallen’s fastball velocity of 92.8 mph grades out in the 24th percentile this year.

,Zac Gallen has recorded an 8.3% Swinging Strike% this year, checking in at the 13th percentile.

,Checking in at the 13th percentile, Jackson Merrill has posted a .279 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

,In terms of plate discipline, Jackson Merrill’s talent is quite poor, sporting a 3.43 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 20th percentile.

,In today’s game, Gavin Sheets is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.1% rate (87th percentile).

,Gavin Sheets’s launch angle of late (6.6° in the last two weeks) is considerably lower than his 15.2° seasonal figure.

,Today, Corbin Carroll is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.8% rate (90th percentile).

,Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,The #2 field in the league for suppressing base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

,Considering the 1.45 deviation between Zac Gallen’s 6.36 ERA and his 4.91 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors this year and should positively regress in future games.

,Nolan Arenado’s BABIP ability is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,In the last 7 days, Ty France’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.2% down to 0%.

,Zac Gallen will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Campusano in today’s matchup.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Corbin Carroll’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.1% down to 0%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Max Kepler is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Max Kepler has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 27% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

,Max Kepler pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 79th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ketel Marte in today’s game.

Latest San Diego Padres Matches

Latest Arizona Diamondbacks Matches