Padres @ Marlins Matchup Details

Positives for the San Diego Padres Game Today

Liam Hicks is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge today.

,Liam Hicks will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 14.4°, Liam Hicks has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 21.2° figure over the past 14 days.

,With a 1 K/BB rate this year, Liam Hicks has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 98th percentile.

,When estimating his home run ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

,Hitting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Kyle Stowers has a ton of pop (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (30% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher German Marquez has a pitch-to-contact profile (11th percentile K%) — great news for Stowers.

,Kyle Stowers will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

,The #9 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

,Heriberto Hernandez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,Heriberto Hernandez has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 12.8% seasonal rate to 21.7% in the past two weeks.

,Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

,As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against German Marquez today.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,This season, Xavier Edwards has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 90 mph compared to last year’s 85.6 mph mark.

,Xavier Edwards has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 96th percentile with a 1.12 K/BB rate.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 18th-best batter in MLB.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Braxton Garrett throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

,LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks.

,Manny Machado will have the handedness advantage over Braxton Garrett in today’s matchup.

,Over the last week, Manny Machado’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.4% up to 25%.

,Jake Cronenworth has been unlucky this year, compiling a .266 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .317 — a .051 deviation.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,Ty France has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Braxton Garrett throws from, Ty France will have the upper hand today.

,Ty France has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.4% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last 14 days.

,Ty France has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.3-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 92.2-mph figure.

,When estimating his home run talent, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Heriberto Hernandez has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98.1-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 92.4-mph mark.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Griffin Conine ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Griffin Conine will have the upper hand today.

,Griffin Conine has strong power (85th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (31.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher German Marquez struggles to strike batters out (6th percentile K%) — great news for Conine.

,Griffin Conine will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Over the last 14 days, Griffin Conine has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 16.7% to 27.8%.

,Luis Campusano will hold the platoon advantage over Braxton Garrett in today’s matchup.

,Luis Campusano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,In the past 7 days, Luis Campusano’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph of late.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Luis Campusano’s 54.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.9%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 8th-best batter in the majors when estimating his batting average ability.

,Otto Lopez is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage today.

,Otto Lopez has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.8-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal EV of 91.6-mph.

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Otto Lopez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .282.

,Javier Sanoja will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Sporting a .275 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Javier Sanoja finds himself in the 82nd percentile.

,In terms of plate discipline, Javier Sanoja’s ability is quite good, posting a 1.55 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 85th percentile.

,Hitting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Joe Mack will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Joe Mack will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

,Joe Mack has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9.9% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past week.

,Joe Mack has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 108.6-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal EV of 94.3-mph.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 12.2°, Joe Mack has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 32.5° mark in the past 7 days.

,Luis Rengifo is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Luis Rengifo will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Braxton Garrett in today’s matchup.

,Luis Rengifo has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 88.1-mph EV.

,Despite posting a .261 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Luis Rengifo has suffered from bad luck given the .027 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .288.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Fernando Tatis Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.4% up to 21.1%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Braxton Garrett throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have an advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Luis Campusano’s footspeed has increased this year. His 25.01 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.72 ft/sec now.

,The Miami Marlins have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in the future,LoanDepot Park grades out as the #29 ballpark in the league for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Over the past 7 days, Gavin Sheets’s 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.5%.

,When assessing his batting average skill, Xavier Edwards is projected as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 9th-best field in the game for left-handed BABIP.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Over the past 14 days, Xander Bogaerts’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 95.1-mph in recent games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Luis Campusano’s launch angle recently (20.9° in the last two weeks) is considerably better than his 13.1° seasonal mark.

,Luis Campusano has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 17.3° figure is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (84th percentile).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Otto Lopez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Sporting a .366 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Otto Lopez is ranked in the 90th percentile.

,Griffin Conine has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 95.3-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,Posting a .351 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Liam Hicks has performed in the 80th percentile.

,Given the 1.36 disparity between German Marquez’s 5.24 ERA and his 6.60 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the league this year and ought to perform worse the rest of the season.

,Heriberto Hernandez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last year’s 90.2-mph figure.

,The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

Negatives with the Miami Marlins Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liam Hicks in the 15th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,LoanDepot Park ranks as the #30 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

,The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -5° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching.

,Liam Hicks pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 78th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,In today’s game, Kyle Stowers is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.6% rate (79th percentile).

,Kyle Stowers has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 19.5% rate last season has dropped to 11.4% this season.

,German Marquez will hold the platoon advantage against Heriberto Hernandez in today’s matchup.

,Heriberto Hernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 84th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Heriberto Hernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, going from 38.4% on the season to 21.7% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 2nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,Xavier Edwards has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle this year (4.5°) is significantly worse than his 9.6° figure last year.

,The #1 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

,Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Manny Machado has recorded a .202 BABIP this year, placing in the 0th percentile.

,Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Batting from the same side that Braxton Garrett throws from, Jake Cronenworth has a tough challenge in today’s game.

,This year, Ty France has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound.

,Ty France has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Griffin Conine is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Griffin Conine has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 30% of the time.

,Luis Campusano is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,When starting against a left-handed pitcher since the start of last season, Luis Campusano has been pinch hit for 43% of the time.

,Luis Campusano will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Batting from the same side that German Marquez throws from, Otto Lopez will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

,Otto Lopez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 6th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Javier Sanoja is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Joe Mack is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Joe Mack has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 15% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

,LoanDepot Park has the 4th-deepest RF dimensions among all major league parks.

,When assessing his home run talent, Luis Rengifo ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Luis Rengifo has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Luis Rengifo ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Luis Rengifo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Xander Bogaerts’s launch angle this season (5.8°) is significantly lower than his 11.3° mark last year.

,In the last two weeks, Xander Bogaerts’s 26.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects German Marquez in the 3rd percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent.

,German Marquez has averaged 13.9 outs per game per started this year, ranking in the 13th percentile.

,German Marquez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,German Marquez has relied on his four-seam fastball 5.5% more often this year (37.6%) than he did last year (32.1%).

,German Marquez’s 2162-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 22nd percentile out of all SPs.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 17th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Gavin Sheets has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (68% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

,In the past week, Xavier Edwards’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 90 mph to 69.9 mph.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Xavier Edwards’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.5%.

,Kyle Stowers has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 11.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past two weeks.

,Over the past two weeks, Liam Hicks’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 87.6 mph to 83.2 mph.

,Batting from the same side that Braxton Garrett throws from, Gavin Sheets will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

,German Marquez will hold the platoon advantage against Javier Sanoja in today’s game.

,Javier Sanoja pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 75th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 8.1°, Otto Lopez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4°) in the last two weeks.

,Ty France will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Griffin Conine in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Jake Cronenworth has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.

,When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts German Marquez in the 10th percentile among all starters in the game.

,German Marquez didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out in his previous outing and accumulated 1 Ks.

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