Phillies vs Braves match player stats Thursday, August 22nd 2024. Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Series Game 3

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Phillies vs Braves match player stats Thursday, August 22nd 2024. Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Series Game 3

PHI @ ATL

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Positive Match Player Stats for Phillies vs Braves Series Game 3

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as baseball’s 3rd-best home run batter.

Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.

The #3 field in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to higher offensive output.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Michael Harris II hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Michael Harris II will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

J.T. Realmuto’s BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Truist Park ranks as the #3 park in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average talent.

Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Matt Olson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks.

Orlando Arcia is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Orlando Arcia will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.331) implies that J.T. Realmuto has experienced some negative variance this year with his .304 actual wOBA.

Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Whit Merrifield will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Schwellenbach in today’s matchup.

Bryson Stott has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph to 93.2-mph in the past 14 days.

Bryson Stott’s launch angle this season (14.9°) is considerably higher than his 9.9° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his BABIP talent.

Batting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an advantage in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Sean Murphy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Alec Bohm is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Nick Castellanos is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Johan Rojas hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Marcell Ozuna as the league’s 12th-best home run batter.

Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Marcell Ozuna will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Bryson Stott’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Ramon Laureano will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today’s game.

Brandon Marsh has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.5% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the last 7 days.

Brandon Marsh has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.5-mph to 100.1-mph over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

The 5th-best projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting skill is that of the Atlanta Braves.

The Atlanta Braves have been the unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season, According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), J.T. Realmuto (the Phillies’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) projects as a weak pitch framer.

Truist Park profiles as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tallying 17.5 outs per game per started this year on average, Cristopher Sanchez ranks in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Nick Castellanos ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 15% to 18.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Alec Bohm’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, increasing from 14.7% on the season to 33.3% in the last week.

Whit Merrifield’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Johan Rojas has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 90.2-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 85.9-mph.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Cristopher Sanchez’s 93.7-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 2.1-mph spike from last season’s 91.6-mph figure.

Batting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Spencer Schwellenbach in the 91st percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Spencer Schwellenbach will hold that advantage today.

Spencer Schwellenbach was in good form in his previous start and posted 8 strikeouts.

Spencer Schwellenbach’s 95.4-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 92nd percentile among all starting pitchers.

Sean Murphy will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Bryce Harper will have an advantage in today’s game.

The 3rd-best projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best hitter in baseball.

Whit Merrifield will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Whit Merrifield has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 83.7-mph to 86.6-mph in the past two weeks.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Trea Turner ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.1-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.1-mph EV.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Ramon Laureano will hold that advantage today.

Negative Match Player Stats with Phillies vs Braves Series Game 3

Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 15.6°, Kyle Schwarber has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.3°) in the last 14 days.

From last year to this one, Kyle Schwarber’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 17.5% to 13.1%.

When it comes to his home runs, Kyle Schwarber has been very fortunate this year. His 31.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 28.3.

Michael Harris II is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

Cristopher Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Harris II in today’s matchup.

Typically, hitters like Michael Harris II who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Cristopher Sanchez.

By putting up a .179 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Michael Harris II is ranked in the 18th percentile.

Michael Harris II has displayed poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 20th percentile with a 3.88 K/BB rate.

J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

The 3rd-deepest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Truist Park.

Spencer Schwellenbach will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.T. Realmuto in today’s matchup.

J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Over the past week, J.T. Realmuto’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.7% down to 0%.

Batting from the same side that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Trea Turner will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

This season, there has been a decline in Trea Turner’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.23 ft/sec last year to 29.35 ft/sec currently.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.252) implies that Trea Turner has been very fortunate this year with his .311 actual batting average.

Hitting from the same side that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Matt Olson will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

There has been a decrease in Matt Olson’s average exit velocity this year, from 93.7 mph last year to 91.2 mph now, In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Matt Olson’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 94 mph to 88.9 mph.

Matt Olson has put up a .227 batting average this year, ranking in the 21st percentile.

Orlando Arcia pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

Typically, bats like Orlando Arcia who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Cristopher Sanchez.

Orlando Arcia has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 5.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Orlando Arcia’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 88.8-mph seasonal average has decreased to 82.8-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 8.8°, Orlando Arcia has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.6°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 13th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Whit Merrifield is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

From last year to this one, Whit Merrifield’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16.6% to 12.8%.

Whit Merrifield has compiled a .301 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, checking in at the 5th percentile.

Today, Bryce Harper is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.1% rate (89th percentile).

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryce Harper in today’s game.

In the last 7 days, Bryce Harper’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.6% down to 0%.

Bryce Harper’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 94.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 84.9-mph in the last 7 days.

In the past week’s worth of games, Bryce Harper’s 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Bryson Stott is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.7°, Bryson Stott’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (4.8° in the past 14 days).

Brandon Marsh is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.

Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Marsh today.

In the last two weeks, Brandon Marsh’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.4%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.7) provides evidence that Brandon Marsh has been lucky this year with his 20.2 actual HR/600.

Sean Murphy is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Sean Murphy pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

Sean Murphy has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 15.9% rate last season has fallen off to 10.1% this season.

Sean Murphy has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .309 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .289 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

By putting up a .272 BABIP since the start of last season, Sean Murphy finds himself in the 20th percentile.

Spencer Schwellenbach will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Bohm in today’s game.

Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Alec Bohm’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 90.7-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 87.5-mph in the last two weeks.

Despite posting a .353 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alec Bohm has been very fortunate given the .026 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .327.

Spencer Schwellenbach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Castellanos in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nick Castellanos in today’s game.

Nick Castellanos has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last 7 days.

Nick Castellanos’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 90.4-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 85.4-mph in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 6th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Johan Rojas is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

Spencer Schwellenbach will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Johan Rojas in today’s matchup.

Johan Rojas will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 5.5°, Johan Rojas has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.5°) in the past 14 days.

In today’s matchup, Marcell Ozuna is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.3% rate (88th percentile).

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Marcell Ozuna’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 98.5 mph to 96.2 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Marcell Ozuna’s true offensive skill to be a .349, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .060 difference between that mark and his actual .409 wOBA.

Bryson Stott has paced 10.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 15th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.

Ramon Laureano pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

Posting a 5.65 K/BB rate this year, Ramon Laureano has demonstrated weak plate discipline, placing in the 18th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Cristopher Sanchez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Nestor Ceja) calling pitches in today’s game.

Considering that flyball pitchers hold a notable edge over flyball bats, Cristopher Sanchez and his 55.1% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong position in this outing being matched up with 2 opposing FB bats.

Cristopher Sanchez was on point in his last start and gave up 1 ER.

In notching a .206 batting average this year, Whit Merrifield grades out in the 10th percentile.

Orlando Arcia’s BABIP ability is projected in the 12th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Harris II has notched a .287 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile.

With 7 hitters who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Cristopher Sanchez will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Cristopher Sanchez in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Schwellenbach to throw 84 pitches in today’s game (4th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Considering the 0.51 discrepancy between Spencer Schwellenbach’s 10.11 K/9 and his 9.60 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year when it comes to strikeouts and should perform worse going forward.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Johan Rojas ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Spencer Schwellenbach in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent.

It may be wise to expect weaker performance for the Philadelphia Phillies offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.231) implies that Kyle Schwarber has been lucky this year with his .251 actual batting average.

In the past two weeks, Trea Turner’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (6.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 10°.

Trea Turner has been cold recently, posting a 2.4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Sporting a .255 BABIP this year, Bryson Stott grades out in the 12th percentile.

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