STL @ NYM





Cardinals @ Mets Matchup Details
Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, June 9th
Time : 09/06/26 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the St. Louis Cardinals Game Today
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.
,Brett Baty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dustin May in today’s game… and even better, May has a large platoon split.
,Brett Baty has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
,Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.
,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,In Major League Baseball, Citi Field’s CF fences are the shallowest.
,Jimmy Crooks will hold the platoon advantage over Freddy Peralta today.
,Jimmy Crooks has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, angling balls between 23° and 34° 28.6% of the time in the past 7 days.
,When it comes to his batting average talent, Bo Bichette is projected as the 6th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Bo Bichette is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Alec Burleson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.
,Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge in today’s matchup.
,Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s shallowest CF fences today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jimmy Crooks in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
,The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among all the teams today.
,Jared Young is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.
,Given Dustin May’s large platoon split, Jared Young will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.
,Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jared Young will hold that advantage today.
,When assessing his home run skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
,Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s shallowest CF fences today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
,Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage over Freddy Peralta in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Freddy Peralta in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent level.
,Freddy Peralta has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, tallying 5.0 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average starting pitcher.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Luis Torrens (the Mets’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) profiles as a good pitch framer.
,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.
,Carson Benge’s BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Carson Benge is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
,Carson Benge will have the handedness advantage against Dustin May in today’s matchup… and moreover, May has a large platoon split.
,Carson Benge has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
,Over the last week, Masyn Winn’s 69.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50%.
,Nolan Gorman has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9.5% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week’s worth of games.
,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Bo Bichette ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,Brett Baty has notched a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 80th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Luis Torrens hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
,Luis Torrens will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
,Luis Torrens has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 3.8% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past week.
,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.
,Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage in today’s game.
,Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
,Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
,Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dustin May today… and moreover, May has a large platoon split.
,Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
,Dustin May has relied on his cut-fastball 13.9% more often this year (23.1%) than he did last season (9.2%).
,Dustin May has experienced some negative variance in regards to his ERA this year; his 4.59 mark is quite a bit higher than his 3.46 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
,Dustin May has recorded a 3.46 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things most within a pitcher’s control) this year, ranking in the 77th percentile.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
,Marcus Semien has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.
,Marcus Semien pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
,Marcus Semien will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
,When estimating his overall offensive ability, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.
,Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have the upper hand today.
,JJ Wetherholt hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
,Ivan Herrera has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 94-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal mark of 91.3-mph.
,Over the last 14 days, Marcus Semien has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 8.9% to 16.7%.
,Luis Torrens has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal figure of 94.5-mph.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects A.J. Ewing as the 7th-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP talent.
,A.J. Ewing will have the handedness advantage against Dustin May today… and even better, May has a large platoon split.
,A.J. Ewing has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the 8th-best stadium in the league for strikeouts.
,When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Freddy Peralta in the 89th percentile among all starters in the game.
,The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jimmy Crooks, Jordan Walker, Nolan Gorman).
,Jordan Walker’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 94.3-mph now compared to just 92.3-mph then.
,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and A.J. Ewing will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Negatives with the New York Mets Game Today
Brett Baty is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
,Brett Baty has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 18% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.
,The #5 stadium in the game for suppressing offensive stats to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.
,Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to worse offense.
,As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
,Jimmy Crooks is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.
,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jimmy Crooks in today’s game.
,In the last week, Jimmy Crooks has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the 5th-worst ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats to RHB.
,Considering Dustin May’s large platoon split, Bo Bichette will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.
,In the last week’s worth of games, Bo Bichette’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.1% down to 0%.
,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alec Burleson today.
,In the past week, Alec Burleson’s 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.8%.
,Jared Young has been pulled from the game early 33% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.
,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.278) provides evidence that Jared Young has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .346 actual wOBA.
,Hitting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Jordan Walker meets a tough challenge today.
,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jordan Walker today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 4th-worst ballpark in the majors for left-handed batting average.
,Nolan Gorman has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (90% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.
,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nolan Gorman today.
,Citi Field ranks as the #8 ballpark in baseball for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,The St. Louis Cardinals have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 4th-worst venue in the game for RHB batting average.
,Batting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Ivan Herrera will have a disadvantage today.
,Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ivan Herrera in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 24th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
,Masyn Winn is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
,Nolan Gorman has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph dropping to 83.9-mph in the past two weeks.
,Bo Bichette’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 91.1-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 84.7-mph over the last week.
,Brett Baty has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 7.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last 14 days.
,Luis Torrens is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
,Luis Torrens has been pulled from the game early 17% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.
,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Lars Nootbaar today.
,Juan Soto has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 16.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past week.
,Juan Soto’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 98.7-mph average last year has lowered to 96.3-mph.
,The New York Mets have been the unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
,Given Dustin May’s large platoon split, Marcus Semien will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today.
,Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for JJ Wetherholt in today’s game.
,In the last week’s worth of games, JJ Wetherholt’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.8% down to 0%.
,Freddy Peralta will hold the platoon advantage over Masyn Winn today.
,Ivan Herrera’s launch angle this season (5.6°) is quite a bit lower than his 10.4° figure last season.
,Marcus Semien’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 88.4-mph EV last season has decreased to 86.2-mph.
,With a .281 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Marcus Semien has performed in the 25th percentile.
,Because of Dustin May’s large platoon split, Luis Torrens will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.
,Over the last week, JJ Wetherholt’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.8%.
,A.J. Ewing is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.
,A.J. Ewing has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 5.9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days.
,Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Dustin May in today’s game.
,Nolan Gorman’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Freddy Peralta’s high usage percentage of his fastball (53.6% this year) is likely weakening his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
,Over the last 14 days, Jordan Walker’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 94.7 mph to 85.6 mph.
,Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Freddy Peralta will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,When assessing his home run talent, A.J. Ewing ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
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