
CLE @ LV






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 29th
29/09/24 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to see 131.5 total plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
The model projects Zamir White to accumulate 16.3 carries in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.
After comprising 21.1% of his offense’s rush attempts last season, Zamir White has played a bigger part in the running game this season, now taking on 59.3%.
At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (62.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Cleveland Browns.
The projections expect the Cleveland Browns to run the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 63.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Since the start of last season, the porous Las Vegas Raiders defense has given up a whopping 73.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 3rd-worst rate in football.
The model projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 59.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The Las Vegas offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Cleveland’s LB corps has been atrocious since the start of last season, grading out as the 10th-worst in football.
The model projects Davante Adams to total 9.2 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.
Davante Adams has totaled a colossal 120.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The leading projections forecast the Raiders to be the 8th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 40.3% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Raiders since the start of last season (only 54.9 per game on average).
The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
Zamir White’s 2.9 adjusted yards per carry this season conveys a noteable regression in his rushing skills over last season’s 4.3 figure.
Opposing teams have run for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 104.0 per game) against the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season.
Deshaun Watson grades out as one of the weakest passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 147.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 20th percentile.
Deshaun Watson’s 52.4% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a noteable regression in his passing accuracy over last year’s 61.8% mark.
Deshaun Watson’s throwing efficiency has declined this season, averaging just 4.69 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 6.52 figure last season.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in the NFL.
The Browns defense has allowed the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 35.0) versus tight ends since the start of last season.
The Browns pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against tight ends since the start of last season, yielding 6.91 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.
Davante Adams’s 64.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 86.5.
Davante Adams ranks as one of the least efficient pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a measly 7.35 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 24th percentile when it comes to WRs, Davante Adams has been one of the worst wide receivers in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 3.42 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 25th percentile.
In this week’s game, Gardner Minshew is expected by our trusted projection set to have the 10th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 34.8. , With a weak 62.7% Adjusted Completion% (23rd percentile) since the start of last season, Gardner Minshew places as one of the least on-target quarterbacks in football.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the lowest level in football versus the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season (62.7% Adjusted Completion%).
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