PHI @ LAA






Phillies @ Angels Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Sunday, August 30th
Time : 30/08/26 16:07:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Philadelphia Phillies Series Game 3 Game Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
,Alec Bohm is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.
,Angel Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) in the majors.
,The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
,The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.8-mph in this game, the 6th-best of the day for batters.
,Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
,When it comes to his home run skill, Zach Neto ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the league’s 3rd-best home run batter.
,Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 18th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average talent.
,Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.
,Wade Meckler is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.
,Wade Meckler will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today’s matchup… and even better, Wheeler has a large platoon split.
,Compared to the average starter, Yusei Kikuchi has been given more leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, throwing an extra 5.4 adjusted pitches each outing.
,Angel Stadium grades out as the #28 ballpark in the league for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Yusei Kikuchi will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats in all categories.
,In his previous GS, Yusei Kikuchi turned in a great performance and conceded 2 ER.
,Yusei Kikuchi has gone to his change-up 9.3% more often this season (21.5%) than he did last year (12.2%).
,Zack Wheeler projects as the 10th-best pitcher in the majors currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Compared to the average starting pitcher, Zack Wheeler has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, recording an extra 6.7 adjusted pitches each start.
,The Los Angeles Angels projected lineup ranks as the 5th-weakest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability.
,Zack Wheeler performed well in his previous game started and allowed 2 ER.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Yusei Kikuchi in the 75th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Angel Stadium as the 4th-best park in the league for strikeouts.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
,J.T. Realmuto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
,Hitting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Bryan De La Cruz will have the upper hand today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Moore in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Christian Moore will hold that advantage today.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 7th-best hitter in baseball.
,Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.
,Vaughn Grissom is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
,Vaughn Grissom will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
,Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Angels.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best hitter in baseball.
,Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Tyler Heineman will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tyler Heineman’s true offensive ability to be a .248, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .044 deviation between that mark and his actual .204 wOBA.
,Zack Wheeler projects as the 8th-best SP in Major League Baseball currently when it comes to his strikeout ability, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,The Los Angeles Angels have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Zach Neto, Mike Trout, Christian Moore).
,Zack Wheeler’s higher usage percentage of his secondary pitches this season (49.4% compared to 42% last season) should work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
,Denzer Guzman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
,Posting a 1.75 K/BB rate this year, Bryson Stott has shown impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 79th percentile.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
,Derek Hill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
,Luis Arraez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
,In the last week, Christian Moore has displayed impressive power, recording a a 27.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
,Given Zack Wheeler’s large platoon split, Josh Lowe will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.
,Moises Ballesteros is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
,Moises Ballesteros will have the handedness advantage over Zack Wheeler today… and moreover, Wheeler has a large platoon split.
,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Alec Bohm ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Bryan De La Cruz has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 18.3° mark is among the highest in MLB since the start of last season (88th percentile).
,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Josh Lowe will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wade Meckler as the 11th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP ability.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Zach Neto will hold that advantage today.
,In notching a .350 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Derek Hill is ranked in the 91st percentile for hitting ability.
,Luis Arraez’s launch angle recently (27.4° over the last week) is a considerable increase over his 16.3° seasonal angle.
,Batting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Alec Bohm will have an edge in today’s matchup.
,Vaughn Grissom’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Batting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Trea Turner will have an edge in today’s matchup.
,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trea Turner ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Moises Ballesteros will hold that advantage today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his batting average talent.
,Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Mike Trout will hold that advantage today.
Negatives with the Los Angeles Angels Series Game 3 Game Today
The #1 stadium in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.
,Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
,Alec Bohm has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last week.
,Alec Bohm’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 92.6-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 74-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
,In the last week, Alec Bohm’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.3%.
,Angel Stadium grades out as the #22 park in MLB for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Zack Wheeler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Trout in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Wheeler’s large platoon split.
,Mike Trout has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph dropping to 85.4-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
,From last season to this one, Mike Trout’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 96.8 mph to 94.3 mph.
,Considering Zack Wheeler’s large platoon split, Zach Neto will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.
,Zach Neto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
,Batting from the same side that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Kyle Schwarber has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Schwarber today.
,Despite posting a .376 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kyle Schwarber has been very fortunate given the .026 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .350.
,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Trea Turner in today’s game.
,In the last week, Trea Turner’s 31.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.8%.
,This year, there has been a decline in Trea Turner’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.28 ft/sec last year to 29.77 ft/sec currently.
,Trea Turner and his 6.9° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 12th percentile, among the lowest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.
,When assessing his home run skill, Wade Meckler ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Angel Stadium as the 8th-worst stadium in the league for LHB home runs.
,Despite posting a .330 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Wade Meckler has experienced some positive variance given the .026 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304.
,Wade Meckler’s 3.2% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) is in the 23rd percentile this year.
,Wade Meckler’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) has been 105.8 mph this year, checking in at the 18th percentile.
,It may be best to expect improved performance for the Philadelphia Phillies offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 5th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.
,Dan Bellino grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be behind the plate in this game.
,Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Zack Wheeler in today’s matchup.
,J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.
,Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for J.T. Realmuto today.
,Over the past two weeks, J.T. Realmuto has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
,J.T. Realmuto has notched a .289 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 16th percentile.
,Bryan De La Cruz is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
,Bryan De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
,When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Bryan De La Cruz has been lucky since the start of last season. His .298 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .252.
,Based on Statcast metrics, Bryan De La Cruz ranks in the 20th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 7.100.
,Christian Moore is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.
,Because of Zack Wheeler’s large platoon split, Christian Moore will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.
,Christian Moore has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits of late, hitting balls between -4° and 26° just 25% of the time in the last week.
,Christian Moore has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 21.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably higher than his 7.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Hitting from the same side that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Bryce Harper will have a tough challenge in today’s game.
,Bryce Harper has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
,Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryce Harper today.
,Given Zack Wheeler’s large platoon split, Vaughn Grissom will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.
,Vaughn Grissom has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph dropping to 85.3-mph in the past two weeks.
,Bryson Stott is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.
,Yusei Kikuchi will hold the platoon advantage against Bryson Stott in today’s matchup.
,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryson Stott in today’s game.
,Over the last two weeks, Bryson Stott’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.8% down to 0%.
,Angel Stadium ranks as the #26 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Tyler Heineman ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Tyler Heineman is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
,As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Tyler Heineman will face a mismatch against Zack Wheeler and his large platoon split in this game.
,Tyler Heineman’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 84.2-mph figure last year has dropped off to 81.4-mph.
,Denzer Guzman is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
,Zack Wheeler will hold the platoon advantage over Denzer Guzman today… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Wheeler’s large platoon split.
,Today, Denzer Guzman is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.4% rate (79th percentile).
,Denzer Guzman has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.
,Derek Hill is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
,Derek Hill will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
,This season, there has been a decline in Derek Hill’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.15 ft/sec last year to 29.55 ft/sec currently.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Derek Hill’s true offensive ability to be a .288, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .022 difference between that figure and his actual .310 wOBA.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 0th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
,Yusei Kikuchi will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Arraez in today’s game.
,Luis Arraez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
,Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
,Josh Lowe is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
,Josh Lowe has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.
,Josh Lowe has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past 14 days.
,Josh Lowe’s launch angle lately (-4° over the past 7 days) is quite a bit worse than his 18.8° seasonal angle.
,In today’s game, Moises Ballesteros is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.9% rate (80th percentile).
,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Moises Ballesteros’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 94 mph to 91.1 mph.
,This season, there has been a decline in Moises Ballesteros’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.96 ft/sec last year to 25.11 ft/sec currently.
,Moises Ballesteros has recorded a .268 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 4th percentile.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Angel Stadium as the 3rd-worst stadium in the game for right-handed batting average.
,Josh Lowe has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph dropping to 84.6-mph in the last two weeks.
,With a 3.31 K/BB rate this year, Zach Neto has shown poor plate discipline, ranking in the 22nd percentile.
,Derek Hill hits many of his balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to easy pop-up outs. His 12.1% “too-high” rate since the start of last season grades out in the 13th percentile.
,Christian Moore has compiled a .188 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 20th percentile.
,Moises Ballesteros and his 4.5° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 10th percentile, among the lowest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.
,Given the 1.88 disparity between Yusei Kikuchi’s 6.25 ERA and his 4.37 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball this year and ought to positively regress in future games.
,Trea Turner’s launch angle lately (7.6° over the past week) is considerably lower than his 10.7° seasonal mark.
,With a .292 wOBA over the past 7 days, Trea Turner has been struggling at the plate.
,Luis Arraez’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 86.6-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 83.1-mph over the last two weeks.
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