Cardinals @ Braves Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the St. Louis Cardinals Series Game 2 Game Today

Ozzie Albies is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 10th-best field in MLB for boosting offensive stats to lefties.

,Truist Park has the 3rd-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.

,Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ozzie Albies will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Truist Park ranks as the #10 ballpark in the game for overall right-handed offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Mauricio Dubon hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Mauricio Dubon will hold that advantage today.

,Mauricio Dubon’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 16.9% on the season to 21.1% over the past two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

,Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jimmy Crooks in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Jimmy Crooks will have the handedness advantage against Reynaldo Lopez in today’s game.

,Masyn Winn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Truist Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in the majors for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,When assessing his home run talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Austin Riley will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Austin Riley’s launch angle of late (36.3° over the past week) is a considerable increase over his 19.1° seasonal mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

,Batting from the opposite that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,It may be smart to expect positive regression for the Atlanta Braves offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 8th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

,The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

,The Atlanta Braves have 6 batters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Michael McGreevy in this game.

,Michael McGreevy will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

,Ivan Herrera hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Extreme flyball bats like Ivan Herrera tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Reynaldo Lopez.

,Nathan Church will hold the platoon advantage over Reynaldo Lopez in today’s matchup.

,Extreme flyball batters like Nathan Church generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Reynaldo Lopez.

,Ha-seong Kim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Ha-seong Kim will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Over the last 7 days, Ha-seong Kim’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.3% up to 20%.

,Ha-seong Kim’s launch angle recently (38° over the last week) is considerably better than his 16° seasonal angle.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Matt Olson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

,Jimmy Crooks has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.3-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal EV of 90.9-mph.

,Reynaldo Lopez is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.6% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #24 HR venue in the league today.

,Dominic Smith’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Dominic Smith is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

,Dominic Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy in today’s game.

,The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dominic Smith can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

,Dominic Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Mike Yastrzemski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy in today’s game.

,The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mike Yastrzemski has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

,Mauricio Dubon has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.5-mph average to last season’s 86.3-mph figure.

,Truist Park grades out as the #6 venue in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Considering that flyball hitters hold a sizeable edge over groundball pitchers, Reynaldo Lopez and his 34.6% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough spot in this outing matching up with 3 opposing GB hitters.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,Michael Harris II is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Michael Harris II will have the upper hand today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

,Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Nathan Church has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.1-mph to 91.6-mph over the past 7 days.

,When estimating his home run skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,In the past two weeks, Jordan Walker’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.4-mph over the course of the season to 98.4-mph lately.

,JJ Wetherholt hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Michael Harris II has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Alec Burleson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage against Reynaldo Lopez in today’s matchup.

,Matt Olson will have the handedness advantage against Michael McGreevy in today’s matchup.

,Masyn Winn’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Austin Riley has been unlucky this year, notching a .279 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .052 difference.

,Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Drake Baldwin will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Reynaldo Lopez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his metrics across the board.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 16.6°, Ozzie Albies has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 32.8° figure over the past 7 days.

,Michael McGreevy has utilized his change-up 10.1% more often this year (21.1%) than he did last season (11%).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Negatives with the Atlanta Braves Series Game 2 Game Today

Ozzie Albies’s BABIP skill is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 4th-best pitching conditions on the schedule today.

,The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.8-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers.

,The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his weak side (0) today against Michael McGreevy,Ozzie Albies has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph dropping to 83-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

,Lars Nootbaar will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 12th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Mauricio Dubon is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

,Michael McGreevy will hold the platoon advantage over Mauricio Dubon in today’s matchup.

,Alec Burleson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Over the past two weeks, Alec Burleson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.4% down to 0%.

,Alec Burleson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 16.5% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

,Jimmy Crooks is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Jimmy Crooks will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,In the last two weeks, Jimmy Crooks’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.1% down to 0%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 23rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Masyn Winn is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

,Reynaldo Lopez will hold the platoon advantage over Masyn Winn in today’s game.

,Austin Riley is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

,The 3rd-deepest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Truist Park.

,Michael McGreevy will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Riley in today’s game.

,JJ Wetherholt will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,In the past week, JJ Wetherholt’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%.

,JJ Wetherholt’s launch angle recently (3.9° over the past two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 13.7° seasonal figure.

,It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Jim Wolf) calling pitches in this game.

,Michael McGreevy was rolling in his previous game started and allowed 0 ER.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-worst venue in the majors for right-handed home runs.

,Drake Baldwin has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 17.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,In the last 7 days, Drake Baldwin’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.9%.

,Reynaldo Lopez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ivan Herrera today.

,Ivan Herrera will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Nathan Church is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nathan Church in today’s matchup.

,Nathan Church has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past week.

,Ha-seong Kim is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.

,Batting from the same side that Michael McGreevy throws from, Ha-seong Kim will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

,Matt Olson has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 13.1% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

,Matt Olson’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 92.6-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 82.6-mph over the last week.

,Over the last week, Matt Olson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16%.

,The #5 park in the majors for suppressing home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Reynaldo Lopez to throw 74 pitches in this matchup (2nd-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,The 5th-best projected batting order on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.

,With 6 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Reynaldo Lopez will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.

,Dominic Smith has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 7.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last week.

,Dominic Smith’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 87.7-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 80.9-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Dominic Smith’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.2%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 18th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Mike Yastrzemski is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.

,Mike Yastrzemski’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 92.4-mph mark last season has dropped off to 89.2-mph.

,In the past 7 days, Ivan Herrera’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.9% down to 0%.

,Mauricio Dubon’s BABIP skill is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael McGreevy to throw 85 pitches today (11th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,Michael Harris II’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 95.5-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 76.8-mph in the last week.

,Michael Harris II’s launch angle in recent games (-1.5° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit worse than his 11° seasonal angle.

,Michael Harris II has been lucky this year, posting a .353 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .024 gap.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Batting from the same side that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Jordan Walker will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

,Jordan Walker will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,In the last two weeks, Jordan Walker’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.3% down to 7.4%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Lars Nootbaar’s true offensive ability to be a .343, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .029 difference between that figure and his actual .372 wOBA.

,Lars Nootbaar’s launch angle this year (9.5°) is a considerable dropoff from his 15.9° figure last season.

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Masyn Winn today.

,Among all starters, Reynaldo Lopez’s fastball spin rate of 2061 rpm ranks in the 5th percentile this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Michael McGreevy in the 6th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

,The Atlanta Braves (19.9 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy team of batters of all teams on the slate today.

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