ARI @ ATL





D-Backs @ Braves Matchup Details
Date : Todays Game is on Friday, August 14th
Time : 14/08/26 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Arizona Diamondbacks Game Today
Brandon Pfaadt has recorded 17.5 outs per start this year, placing in the 87th percentile.
,The 3rd-deepest left field fences in the league are found in Truist Park.
,Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks.
,Out of all SPs, Brandon Pfaadt’s fastball spin rate of 2479 rpm grades out in the 91st percentile this year.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Waldschmidt in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
,Truist Park ranks as the #5 venue in MLB for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Because of Chris Sale’s large platoon split, Ryan Waldschmidt will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.
,Considering Chris Sale’s large platoon split, Tim Tawa will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.
,Tim Tawa hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for boosting offensive stats to lefties.
,Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks.
,Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Jim Jarvis will have an edge in today’s matchup.
,Matt Olson projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Matt Olson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.
,Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.
,Considering Chris Sale’s large platoon split, Nolan Arenado will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
,Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
,Mauricio Dubon will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
,This season, Mauricio Dubon has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 88.9 mph compared to last year’s 86.3 mph mark.
,Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 6th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
,Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.
,The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season,As a result of his large platoon split, Chris Sale will be in a tough position facing 8 hitters in the projected offense who hit from the other side today.
,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ketel Marte ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Ketel Marte is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
,As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Ildemaro Vargas will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Chris Sale) in today’s matchup.
,Ildemaro Vargas has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph to 90.8-mph in the past two weeks.
,As it relates to his home run talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Austin Riley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
,Compared to the average starter, Chris Sale has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing an extra 6.5 adjusted pitches each outing.
,Gabriel Moreno’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.
,Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.
,Geraldo Perdomo has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 92.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 88.7-mph.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
,Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
,Michael Harris II is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.
Negatives with the Atlanta Braves Game Today
The Atlanta Braves projected batting order profiles as the 4th-strongest of the day in terms of overall offensive skill.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 6th-best ballpark in baseball for batting average.
,Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.
,Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°.
,The Atlanta Braves have 6 batters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today’s game.
,Ryan Waldschmidt is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.
,15% of the time that Ryan Waldschmidt has started against a southpaw this year, he has been pulled from the game early.
,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan Waldschmidt in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ryan Waldschmidt’s true offensive ability to be a .297, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .024 deviation between that mark and his actual .321 wOBA.
,Posting a 5.73 K/BB rate this year, Ryan Waldschmidt has demonstrated poor plate discipline, ranking in the 18th percentile.
,Tim Tawa is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tim Tawa in today’s matchup.
,Tim Tawa has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last week.
,As it relates to his home run talent, Jim Jarvis ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Jim Jarvis is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.
,Jim Jarvis has been pulled from the game early 16% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.
,Jim Jarvis’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 86.5-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 81.8-mph over the last two weeks.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Matt Olson’s true offensive skill to be a .348, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .030 difference between that mark and his actual .378 wOBA.
,Nolan Arenado’s BABIP skill is projected in the 4th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.2% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
,Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
,Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 85-mph seasonal average has lowered to 82.5-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
,Nolan Arenado has been lucky this year, posting a .329 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .296 — a .033 disparity.
,Drake Baldwin has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.
,Drake Baldwin’s launch angle of late (1.8° in the last week’s worth of games) is considerably worse than his 10.5° seasonal figure.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 11th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
,Mauricio Dubon is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.
,Brandon Pfaadt will have the handedness advantage over Mauricio Dubon in today’s game.
,Brandon Pfaadt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. today.
,Ronald Acuna Jr.’s launch angle of late (9.6° over the last 14 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 16.5° seasonal figure.
,Ronald Acuna Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 46.9% to 40.6%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
,The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Brandon Pfaadt,Ozzie Albies’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 89.3-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 86.7-mph in the past two weeks.
,Ozzie Albies’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, falling from 15.4% on the season to 8.3% over the last 7 days.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chris Sale as the 10th-best pitcher in Major League Baseball currently.
,Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Chris Sale will hold that advantage today.
,Chris Sale was firing on all cylinders in his previous GS and conceded 0 ER.
,Chris Sale has recorded a 2.52 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that concentrates on the things most within a pitcher’s control) this year, checking in at the 99th percentile.
,In today’s game, Ketel Marte is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.7% rate (94th percentile).
,Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
,Ketel Marte’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 90-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 84.9-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
,In notching a .249 BABIP this year, Ketel Marte is positioned in the 9th percentile.
,When assessing his home run talent, Ildemaro Vargas ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Ildemaro Vargas is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
,Ildemaro Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ildemaro Vargas today.
,From last season to this one, Ildemaro Vargas’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 14% to 10.4%.
,Austin Riley is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.
,Batting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Austin Riley will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
,By putting up a 3.88 K/BB rate this year, Austin Riley has demonstrated poor plate discipline, placing in the 13th percentile.
,Checking in at the 12th percentile, Austin Riley sits with a .214 batting average this year.
,Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
,25% of the time that Mike Yastrzemski has started against a northpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.
,Mike Yastrzemski has compiled a .223 batting average this year, checking in at the 20th percentile.
,Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gabriel Moreno in today’s matchup.
,Gabriel Moreno has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 14 days.
,Gabriel Moreno’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 89.2-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 85.8-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
,Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.8°, Gabriel Moreno has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.9°) over the last two weeks.
,When estimating his home run ability, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Chris Sale… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Sale’s large platoon split.
,Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
,Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 20.2% to 15.1%.
,Chris Sale will hold the platoon advantage over Corbin Carroll in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Sale’s large platoon split.
,Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Corbin Carroll today.
,Over the last 14 days, Corbin Carroll’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.8% down to 6.3%.
,Corbin Carroll has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.5-mph dropping to 85-mph over the past 7 days.
,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Corbin Carroll’s 6.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.3%.
,From last year to this one, Michael Harris II’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 13.8% to 9.9%.
,In the last 7 days, Michael Harris II’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 9.9%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Michael Harris II’s true offensive ability to be a .323, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .025 disparity between that mark and his actual .348 wOBA.
,Michael Harris II has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, checking in at the 6th percentile with a 4.79 K/BB rate.
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