Rangers @ Braves Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the Texas Rangers Series Game 2 Game Today

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.

,The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

,Jorge Mateo will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today’s matchup.

,Jorge Mateo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jorge Mateo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The #5 field in the league for boosting offensive stats to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

,Kyle Higashioka has paced 22.6 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 76th percentile for power.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Jake Burger is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eli White in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Eli White will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Joey Bart will hold the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today’s game.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Drake Baldwin is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Drake Baldwin will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average.

,Austin Riley will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the league for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters.

,Hitting from the opposite that Owen Murphy throws from, Nicky Lopez will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Ranking in the 88th percentile, Nicky Lopez has put up a .271 batting average since the start of last season.

,Ozzie Albies is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.

,As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against MacKenzie Gore in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ozzie Albies will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Austin Riley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Josh Jung is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

,Joc Pederson is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Truist Park ranks as the #6 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The 3rd-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Truist Park.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Mateo in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Eli White will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,Michael Harris II is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Matt Olson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Owen Murphy throws from, Evan Carter will have an edge today.

,Evan Carter hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Mauricio Dubon is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Mauricio Dubon will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Mauricio Dubon hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Evan Carter has been unlucky this year, compiling a .282 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .040 difference.

,When estimating his home run skill, Joey Bart ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Joey Bart hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his home run skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Ben May grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be umping in today’s game.

,Truist Park profiles as the #6 venue in Major League Baseball for base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Rating 7th-highest in the majors since the start of last season, Texas Rangers batters as a unit have put up a 15° launch angle on their hardest-contacted balls (a reliable stat to study power skills).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Ezequiel Duran has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past week.

,Ezequiel Duran has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal mark of 88.8-mph.

,In the last week, Ezequiel Duran’s 41.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.1%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts MacKenzie Gore in the 90th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

,Tallying 94.2 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, MacKenzie Gore ranks in the 89th percentile.

,The Atlanta Braves have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Joey Bart, Austin Riley, Jorge Mateo).

,MacKenzie Gore has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 6 opposite-handed batters in this game.

,In his last game started, MacKenzie Gore was rolling and notched 7 strikeouts.

,Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage against Owen Murphy in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Michael Harris II ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Michael Harris II hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Jake Burger has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.3% seasonal rate to 30% in the past week’s worth of games.

,When assessing his home run ability, Kyle Higashioka ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Higashioka and his 14.9° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 75th percentile, among the highest in the majors since the start of last season.

,The Atlanta Braves have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward,Based on Statcast data, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 86th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .357.

Negatives with the Atlanta Braves Series Game 2 Game Today

Jorge Mateo is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

,Truist Park grades out as the #23 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (9.5) suggests that Jorge Mateo has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his 14.0 actual HR/600.

,Jorge Mateo has put up a .188 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 3rd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,As it relates to plate discipline, Jorge Mateo’s talent is quite bad, putting up a 5.68 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 15th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Higashioka in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Kyle Higashioka is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Owen Murphy will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Higashioka in today’s matchup.

,Kyle Higashioka pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.8% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves.

,Owen Murphy will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Burger today.

,Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 81st percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

,Jake Burger will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Jake Burger has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 24th percentile with a 3.36 K/BB rate.

,Eli White is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

,The 3rd-deepest LF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Truist Park.

,The Texas Rangers outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team playing today.

,Eli White’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 93.2-mph mark last season has lowered to 89.6-mph.

,There has been a significant decline in Eli White’s launch angle from last season’s 11.8° to 6.9° this season.

,Joey Bart is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Joey Bart’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 96.9-mph EV last year has fallen to 90.7-mph.

,Placing in the 14th percentile, Joey Bart has notched a .179 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season.

,Truist Park ranks as the #23 field in the majors for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,MacKenzie Gore will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drake Baldwin in today’s matchup.

,Drake Baldwin has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will be challenged by the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Austin Riley is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Over the past week, Austin Riley’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 94.9 mph to 76.4 mph.

,Austin Riley’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 16.6% to 12.9%.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Austin Riley’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.9%.

,Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Brandon Nimmo’s launch angle lately (-4.2° over the last 14 days) is significantly worse than his 10.4° seasonal figure.

,When estimating his home run talent, Nicky Lopez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nicky Lopez is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.

,Nicky Lopez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Nicky Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.4% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Ozzie Albies’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 86.9-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 84.5-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

,Ozzie Albies has been cold recently, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) in the past 7 days.

,Ozzie Albies has put up a .283 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 12th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 7th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Owen Murphy will hold the platoon advantage over Josh Jung in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Josh Jung in today’s matchup.

,Despite posting a .353 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Josh Jung has had positive variance on his side given the .024 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

,Joc Pederson’s BABIP ability is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Joc Pederson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Joc Pederson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 11.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Over the last 7 days, Joc Pederson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.2%.

,Hitting from the same side that Owen Murphy throws from, Wyatt Langford has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Wyatt Langford pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Wyatt Langford today.

,Wyatt Langford has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 13.8% rate last season has fallen to 7.9% this season.

,In terms of his batting average, Jorge Mateo has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .217 BA has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .144.

,Batting from the same side that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Michael Harris II faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Michael Harris II has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 13.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 7 days.

,Michael Harris II’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 94.4-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 84.9-mph in the last 7 days.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.3°, Michael Harris II has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.7°) over the past 14 days.

,MacKenzie Gore will have the handedness advantage against Matt Olson today.

,From last year to this one, Matt Olson’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 46.6% to 38.4%.

,Evan Carter is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

,Evan Carter will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Evan Carter’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%.

,Evan Carter’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 87.4-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 68.8-mph in the last week.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Mauricio Dubon ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Mauricio Dubon’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 89.3-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 75.4-mph in the past 7 days.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 14.4°, Mauricio Dubon has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.7°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Mauricio Dubon has been lucky this year, notching a .328 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .291 — a .037 difference.

,Utilizing Statcast data, Mauricio Dubon is in the 3rd percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 1.800.

,Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Owen Murphy will hold that advantage today.

,The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Texas Rangers has been 113.6 mph this year, ranking them as the #25 squad in MLB by this standard.

,Ezequiel Duran is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Owen Murphy will hold the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Duran in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ezequiel Duran in today’s game.

,Josh Jung’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 18.3% to 11%.

,In the past two weeks, Josh Jung’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 9.5% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

,MacKenzie Gore will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Kyle Higashioka will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,MacKenzie Gore was in good form in his previous start and conceded 2 ER.

,With a 1.06 discrepancy between MacKenzie Gore’s 4.72 ERA and his 3.67 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors this year and figures to perform better in the future.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nicky Lopez in the 4th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Owen Murphy is projected to throw 71 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers on the slate.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 24th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Mauricio Dubon has compiled a .270 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 6th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

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