Phillies vs Reds match player stats | 2026 Tuesday, July 7th

|

PHI @ CIN

Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds Phillies vs RedsPhillies vs RedsPhillies vs RedsPhillies vs RedsPhillies vs RedsPhillies vs Reds

Phillies @ Reds Matchup Details

Teams : Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds

Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, July 7th
Time : 07/07/26 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Philadelphia Phillies Game Today

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best batter in baseball.

,Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The #1 park in the game for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

,A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.

,Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

,When assessing his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

,The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Zack Wheeler… and even better, Wheeler has a large platoon split.

,JJ Bleday is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,JJ Bleday will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Wheeler has a large platoon split.

,JJ Bleday pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Andrew Abbott has averaged 93.2 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 85th percentile.

,Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Andrew Abbott will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,In his previous start, Andrew Abbott performed well and conceded 0 ER.

,Andrew Abbott’s slider usage has risen by 6% from last season to this one (13.9% to 19.9%) .

,Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Kyle Schwarber pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.9% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Because of Zack Wheeler’s large platoon split, TJ Friedl will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

,TJ Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and TJ Friedl will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 19th-best hitter in the game when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Trea Turner is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

,Great American Ball Park ranks as the #1 field in MLB for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Great American Ball Park has the 5th-shallowest LF fences in the majors.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Sal Stewart has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,J.T. Realmuto will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott today.

,J.T. Realmuto has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Bryson Stott’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Bryson Stott has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

,The Philadelphia Phillies have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Schwarber, Brandon Marsh, Derek Hill).

,Andrew Abbott has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 6.92 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.69 — a 0.78 K/9 discrepancy.

,As it relates to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brandon Marsh is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Tyler Stephenson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Tyler Stephenson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Negatives with the Cincinnati Reds Game Today

Andrew Abbott will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Harper in today’s matchup.

,Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Despite posting a .358 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Elly De La Cruz has had positive variance on his side given the .018 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .340.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 10th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,JJ Bleday has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 9.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,JJ Bleday’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 88.8-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 80.1-mph in the last 7 days.

,Despite posting a .355 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes JJ Bleday has experienced some positive variance given the .021 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .334.

,JJ Bleday has put up a .176 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The 5th-best projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

,The Philadelphia Phillies have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season,Tyler Stephenson, the Reds’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The #1 venue in the league for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

,The 8th-shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Great American Ball Park.

,Hitting from the same side that Andrew Abbott throws from, Kyle Schwarber will not have the upper hand today.

,Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Kyle Schwarber has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 19.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last week.

,Kyle Schwarber has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 93.3-mph dropping to 87.3-mph in the last 7 days.

,In the past 14 days, Kyle Schwarber’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 8th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,TJ Friedl is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

,This year, TJ Friedl has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 25% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

,TJ Friedl has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph dropping to 80-mph over the last week.

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, TJ Friedl grades out in the 10th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 6.300.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Trea Turner in today’s game.

,Trea Turner’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 45.9% to 39.8%.

,Trea Turner’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, falling from 39.8% on the season to 15.4% in the past week.

,Trea Turner has notched a .284 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 17th percentile.

,With a 3.92 K/BB rate this year, Trea Turner has demonstrated poor plate discipline, grading out in the 13th percentile.

,Because of Zack Wheeler’s large platoon split, Sal Stewart will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

,In the last 14 days, Sal Stewart’s 10% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.1%.

,Edmundo Sosa is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.

,This year, Edmundo Sosa has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 38% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter.

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Edmundo Sosa in today’s matchup.

,Edmundo Sosa’s speed has decreased this year. His 29.43 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.72 ft/sec now.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (11.2) provides evidence that Edmundo Sosa has been lucky since the start of last season with his 23.6 actual HR/600.

,J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,In the last week, J.T. Realmuto’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5% down to 0%.

,In the past 7 days, J.T. Realmuto’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 91.2 mph to 83.6 mph.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.9°, J.T. Realmuto has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-12°) over the last two weeks.

,Bryson Stott is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

,Batting from the same side that Andrew Abbott throws from, Bryson Stott meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Over the last week, Bryson Stott’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.9% down to 0%.

,Bryson Stott’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 92.2-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 74-mph in the last week.

,Out of all starting pitchers, Andrew Abbott’s fastball velocity of 92.1 mph ranks in the 16th percentile this year.

,Checking in at the 20th percentile, Andrew Abbott has notched a 17.6% K% this year.

,Hitting from the same side that Andrew Abbott throws from, Brandon Marsh meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Brandon Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brandon Marsh’s true offensive talent to be a .322, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .042 gap between that figure and his actual .364 wOBA.

,As it relates to plate discipline, Brandon Marsh’s ability is quite bad, putting up a 5.53 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 5th percentile.

,Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.

,Considering Zack Wheeler’s large platoon split, Tyler Stephenson will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.

,By putting up a .230 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Tyler Stephenson has performed in the 24th percentile.

,Placing in the 25th percentile, Tyler Stephenson sports a .225 batting average this year.

Latest Cincinnati Reds Matches

Latest Philadelphia Phillies Matches