PHI @ MIA





Phillies @ Marlins Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, July 29th
Time : 29/07/26 12:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Philadelphia Phillies Series Game 3 Game Today
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 11th-best batter in MLB.
,Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.
,Batting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge today.
,When estimating his home run talent, Joe Mack ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Joe Mack has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Joe Mack will hold that advantage today.
,When estimating his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Brandon Marsh is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.
,Batting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
,Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.
,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
,Alec Bohm is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
,As it relates to his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
,Trea Turner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
,Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
,Xavier Edwards will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
,The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in LoanDepot Park.
,Javier Sanoja will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo today… and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split.
,Javier Sanoja will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Esteury Ruiz will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split.
,Esteury Ruiz will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
,When it comes to his home run talent, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Heriberto Hernandez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
,Heriberto Hernandez will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today’s matchup… and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split.
,Heriberto Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 10th-best ballpark in the league for strikeouts.
,Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Ryan Gusto will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,Ryan Gusto’s higher usage rate of his secondary pitches this year (59.4% compared to 48.3% last year) figures to work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Crawford as the 9th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill.
,Justin Crawford will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Gusto in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average talent.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
,Bryson Stott has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.
,Bryson Stott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Gusto in today’s matchup.
,Bryson Stott hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Bryson Stott ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Otto Lopez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Otto Lopez is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.
,Because of Jesus Luzardo’s large platoon split, Otto Lopez will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.
,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,As it relates to his batting average talent, Otto Lopez is projected as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
,When assessing his strikeout ability, Jesus Luzardo projects as the 10th-best pitcher in the majors currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Jesus Luzardo has been granted a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, tallying 6.0 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average hurler.
,The Miami Marlins have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Stowers, Joe Mack, Griffin Conine, Heriberto Hernandez).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Trea Turner ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Negatives with the Miami Marlins Series Game 3 Game Today
The #4 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.
,Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.
,The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.
,In today’s matchup, Bryce Harper is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.5% rate (77th percentile).
,Out of every team in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst park in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.
,LoanDepot Park has the 4th-deepest right field dimensions among all parks.
,Given Jesus Luzardo’s large platoon split, Joe Mack will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.
,In today’s matchup, Brandon Marsh is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.7% rate (78th percentile).
,Jesus Luzardo will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Stowers today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Luzardo’s large platoon split.
,Kyle Stowers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the worst park in MLB for righty home runs.
,Ryan Gusto will hold the platoon advantage over Alec Bohm in today’s matchup.
,Alec Bohm has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
,LoanDepot Park grades out as the #23 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Hitting from the same side that Ryan Gusto throws from, Trea Turner has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
,J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.
,Ryan Gusto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.T. Realmuto in today’s game.
,As it relates to his home run talent, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will bat from his weak side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Luzardo’s large platoon split.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 7th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
,Javier Sanoja is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.
,Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryce Harper in today’s matchup.
,Esteury Ruiz is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.
,Esteury Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 82nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
,Heriberto Hernandez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.
,Ryan Gusto has averaged 81.3 adjusted pitches per GS this year, ranking in the 25th percentile.
,It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Shane Livensparger) in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.
,In his previous start, Ryan Gusto wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out and was only able to post 1 Ks.
,Justin Crawford is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.
,Justin Crawford has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will be challenged by the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
,Xavier Edwards has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryson Stott in today’s game.
,Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Marsh in today’s game.
,In today’s matchup, Otto Lopez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.8% rate (94th percentile).
,Typically, batters like Otto Lopez who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Jesus Luzardo.
,Projected catcher J.T. Realmuto projects as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jesus Luzardo today.
,Among all starting pitchers, Jesus Luzardo’s fastball spin rate of 2239 rpm is in the 25th percentile this year.
,Given the 0.23 deviation between Jesus Luzardo’s 11.18 K/9 and his 10.95 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to negatively regress in future games.
,Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Crawford in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
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