Astros vs Phillies match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Wednesday, September 9th

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HOU @ PHI

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Astros @ Phillies Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Teams : Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies
Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 9th
Time : 09/09/26 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Houston Astros Series Game 2 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,The #9 park in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

,HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.

,The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

,Yainer Diaz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sánchez in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Sánchez has a large platoon split.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

,The #8 stadium in the league for boosting home runs to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

,Isaac Paredes will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sánchez in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Sánchez has a large platoon split.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 3rd-best hitter in the league when assessing his batting average talent.

,Luis Arraez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Luis Arraez will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Justin Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown today.

,Justin Crawford has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Justin Crawford will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the league.

,Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

,Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #8 park in MLB for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Luis Arraez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Alec Bohm is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Cristopher Sanchez projects as the 3rd-best SP in the game currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Cristopher Sanchez has averaged 96 adjusted pitches per outing this year, grading out in the 95th percentile.

,Cristopher Sanchez is an extreme groundball pitcher (56.1% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Citizens Bank Park — the #10 HR venue in the league — today.

,Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Cristopher Sanchez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Yainer Diaz has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph to 97-mph over the past week.

,Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Extreme groundball batters like Daulton Varsho usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristopher Sánchez.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Daulton Varsho’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.7% up to 16.7%.

,Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (45.9% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Bryce Harper projects as the 7th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge today.

,When estimating his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge today.

,Brandon Marsh has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Given Cristopher Sánchez’s large platoon split, Nick Allen will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

,Extreme groundball batters like Yordan Alvarez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristopher Sánchez.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,Jeremy Pena is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,Jeremy Pena will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sánchez in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Sánchez has a large platoon split.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,J.T. Realmuto will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,J.T. Realmuto has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 5.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past 14 days.

,Bryce Harper has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 20th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Cam Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sánchez in today’s game… and moreover, Sánchez has a large platoon split.

,Cam Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 42.1% on the season to 54.5% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,When assessing his home run skill, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Crawford as the 10th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Extreme groundball batters like Isaac Paredes tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristopher Sánchez.

,Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Cam Smith ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Considering Cristopher Sánchez’s large platoon split, Christian Walker will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

,Nick Allen has recorded a .281 batting average this year, grading out in the 90th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The Philadelphia Phillies projected lineup grades out as the 5th-best of the day in terms of overall hitting ability.

,It may be smart to expect stronger performance for the Philadelphia Phillies offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 9th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yainer Diaz (the Astros’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

,Brandon Marsh will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Throwing 95.7 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Hunter Brown falls in the 94th percentile.

,As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Cristopher Sanchez in the 92nd percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.

,Cristopher Sanchez was on point in his last GS and notched 10 strikeouts.

,Yainer Diaz has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 6.1% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past 7 days.

,When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Hunter Brown in the 84th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.

,Hunter Brown was in good form in his last GS and posted 9 strikeouts.

,Jeremy Pena pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand today.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Nelson Velazquez ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nelson Velazquez will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sánchez in today’s matchup… and the cherry on top, Sánchez has a large platoon split.

Negatives with the Philadelphia Phillies Series Game 2 Game Today

Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

,Citizens Bank Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.

,Extreme groundball bats like Yainer Diaz tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristopher Sánchez.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yainer Diaz in today’s game.

,Yainer Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 13.3% to 9.5%.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Isaac Paredes in today’s game.

,Isaac Paredes has been cold of late, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) in the past two weeks.

,Isaac Paredes has been lucky this year, posting a .343 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .320 — a .023 disparity.

,Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 87.8-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 83.2-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,Over the past 14 days, Luis Arraez’s 8.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.5%.

,Luis Arraez has been lucky this year, notching a .334 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .305 — a .029 discrepancy.

,Luis Arraez has performed at a clip of 0.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 0th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Crawford in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Justin Crawford is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

,This year, Justin Crawford has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 14% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

,Extreme groundball bats like Justin Crawford usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown.

,Considering Cristopher Sánchez’s large platoon split, Yordan Alvarez will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yordan Alvarez in today’s matchup.

,Yordan Alvarez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 16.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week.

,Yordan Alvarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 95.5-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 87.6-mph in the last 7 days.

,Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #23 field in the majors for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christian Walker in today’s matchup.

,Over the last 7 days, Christian Walker’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.8% down to 0%.

,Christian Walker’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 92-mph seasonal average has lowered to 89.2-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,Christian Walker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, falling from 14.3% on the season to 8.8% in the past 14 days.

,Hunter Brown will hold the platoon advantage over Alec Bohm today.

,Over the past 7 days, Alec Bohm’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16%.

,Sporting a 8.800 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Alec Bohm finds himself in the 13th percentile for power.

,It may be smart to expect improved performance for the Houston Astros offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

,Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #10 venue in baseball for BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The 10th-shallowest LF dimensions in the majors are found in Citizens Bank Park.

,Due to his large platoon split, Cristopher Sanchez will not have the upper hand facing 7 batters in the projected offense who hit from the other side in today’s game.

,Christian Walker’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 40.1% on the season to 32.4% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst park in MLB for right-handed BABIP.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 1st percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Because of Cristopher Sánchez’s large platoon split, Daulton Varsho will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Daulton Varsho today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Bryce Harper has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 7 days.

,Bryce Harper’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 94.6-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 82.1-mph in the last 7 days.

,Brandon Marsh is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Brandon Marsh’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%.

,Brandon Marsh has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph dropping to 84.7-mph over the last two weeks.

,Brandon Marsh’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 16.2% on the season to 12.5% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,When assessing his home run ability, Nick Allen ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nick Allen is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.

,Typically, hitters like Nick Allen who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Cristopher Sánchez.

,Nick Allen will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Ranking in the 21st percentile, Alec Bohm has put up a .265 BABIP this year.

,Typically, hitters like Jeremy Pena who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Cristopher Sánchez.

,Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeremy Pena in today’s game.

,Jeremy Pena’s launch angle in recent games (0.6° over the past week) is a considerable dropoff from his 12° seasonal figure.

,In terms of plate discipline, Jeremy Pena’s talent is quite bad, putting up a 3.87 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 10th percentile.

,Bryson Stott is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,With a 12.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Bryson Stott is positioned in the 21st percentile for power.

,Bryson Stott has averaged 10.8 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 18th percentile for power.

,J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Hunter Brown will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.T. Realmuto today.

,J.T. Realmuto has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph dropping to 82.2-mph over the past week.

,Hitting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage today.

,Trea Turner has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 85.2-mph in the last two weeks.

,Over the last 14 days, Trea Turner’s 26.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.6%.

,Checking in at the 16th percentile, Trea Turner has notched a .290 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

,Daulton Varsho’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 89.5-mph seasonal average has fallen to 83.7-mph over the last 14 days.

,Over the last week, J.T. Realmuto’s 11.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45.3%.

,Cam Smith is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Cam Smith in today’s game.

,Cam Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 92.9-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 87.9-mph over the last week.

,Ranking in the 15th percentile, Daulton Varsho has posted a .288 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

,Kyle Schwarber has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 16.9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 10.7% over the last two weeks.

,Despite posting a .373 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kyle Schwarber has had some very good luck given the .023 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .350.

,Cam Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 17.4% to 14.2%.

,Cam Smith’s launch angle recently (4.3° in the last week’s worth of games) is considerably lower than his 11.7° seasonal mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 13th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Allen in the 5th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,J.T. Realmuto has notched a .285 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 12th percentile.

,Posting a 3.29 K/BB rate this year, Trea Turner has demonstrated poor plate discipline, grading out in the 21st percentile.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Hunter Brown’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 92nd percentile out of all starting pitchers in the game right now.

,Hunter Brown is an extreme groundball pitcher (50% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Citizens Bank Park — the #10 HR venue in Major League Baseball — today.

,In his previous game started, Hunter Brown was in good form and allowed 0 ER.

,Out of all starting pitchers, Hunter Brown’s fastball velocity of 95.6 mph ranks in the 86th percentile this year.

,Cristopher Sanchez has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 10.27 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.86 — a 0.42 K/9 disparity.

,The Philadelphia Phillies (19.4 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy set of hitters on the slate today.

,Hunter Brown will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Hunter Brown has used his sinker 6% more often this season (29.6%) than he did last season (23.6%).

,In his last GS, Cristopher Sanchez performed well and allowed 0 ER.

,Over the past 14 days, Bryson Stott’s 8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16%.

,Nelson Velazquez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (71% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nelson Velazquez in today’s game.

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