Blue Jays vs Braves match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Thursday, June 4th

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TOR @ ATL

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Blue Jays @ Braves Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Toronto Blue Jays at Atlanta Braves
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Thursday, June 4th
Time : 04/06/26 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Toronto Blue Jays Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Michael Harris II is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,The #5 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

,Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to better offense.

,Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage over Chad Dallas today.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 6th-best hitter in the game.

,Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,The #5 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

,Ronald Acuna Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Smith in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,Dominic Smith is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,Hitting from the opposite that Chad Dallas throws from, Dominic Smith will have the upper hand today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chris Sale as the 16th-best SP in baseball currently.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Sale to throw 99 pitches in today’s game (most of all pitchers today), taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,The 5th-weakest projected lineup of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-worst park in baseball for home runs.

,The 3rd-deepest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Truist Park.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

,George Springer will have the handedness advantage against Chris Sale in today’s matchup… and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ronald Acuna Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,In Major League Baseball, Truist Park’s centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest.

,The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team in action today.

,As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Tyler Heineman will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a huge platoon split (Chris Sale) today.

,Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today’s matchup… and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split.

,Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his home run ability, Austin Riley ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Austin Riley will hold that advantage today.

,Ernie Clement is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,Ernie Clement will have the handedness advantage against Chris Sale in today’s game… and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split.

,Over the last week, Yohendrick Pinango’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.6% up to 25%.

,In the past week, Yohendrick Pinango’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.3-mph over the course of the season to 107.8-mph of late.

,Yohendrick Pinango’s launch angle recently (26° in the past week) is significantly better than his 7.3° seasonal angle.

,Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Because of Chris Sale’s huge platoon split, Myles Straw will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

,When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Myles Straw and his 18.5% rank in the 88th percentile since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Sandy Leon will hold that advantage today.

,When estimating his home run ability, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Kazuma Okamoto is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.

,Considering Chris Sale’s huge platoon split, Kazuma Okamoto will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.

,In the past 7 days, Kazuma Okamoto’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.9% up to 25%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in the game when estimating his batting average talent.

,Mike Yastrzemski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chad Dallas in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Mateo in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Jorge Mateo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Ernie Clement’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Mike Yastrzemski will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Matt Olson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

,Charles McAdoo will have the handedness advantage over Chris Sale in today’s game… and even more favorably, Sale has a huge platoon split.

,George Springer hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Despite posting a .282 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Austin Riley has suffered from bad luck given the .052 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .334.

,Using Statcast data, Austin Riley grades out in the 96th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 35.200.

,Batting from the opposite that Chad Dallas throws from, Matt Olson will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Sandy Leon has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 35° figure is among the highest in MLB since the start of last season (99th percentile).

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.279) provides evidence that Myles Straw has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .257 actual batting average.

,Chris Sale projects as the 8th-best starting pitcher in the game right now as it relates to his strikeout ability, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Chris Sale will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

,Grading out in the 95th percentile, Chris Sale notched a 14.1% Swinging Strike% this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Michael Harris II hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Ozzie Albies will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Ozzie Albies has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 17.4° figure is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (90th percentile).

,When it comes to his home run talent, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Sporting a .332 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Daulton Varsho is positioned in the 79th percentile for offensive skills.

,Jorge Mateo will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Jorge Mateo has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.5-mph figure.

,Jorge Mateo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 29.1% on the season to 55.6% over the past two weeks.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tyler Heineman’s true offensive talent to be a .259, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .081 deviation between that mark and his actual .178 wOBA.

Negatives with the Atlanta Braves Series Game 3 Game Today

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

,Michael Harris II’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 11% on the season to 6.3% in the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Michael Harris II’s true offensive ability to be a .332, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .038 gap between that figure and his actual .370 wOBA.

,Chad Dallas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. in today’s matchup.

,In the last week, Dominic Smith’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.7% down to 0%.

,Over the last week, Dominic Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 92.7 mph to 79.8 mph.

,Dominic Smith has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 16.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount higher than his 8.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The Toronto Blue Jays have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season,It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Carlos Torres) in charge of the strike zone in this game.

,Because of his huge platoon split, Chris Sale will have a tough matchup matching up with 7 hitters in the projected lineup who bat from the other side in today’s outing.

,Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

,George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,George Springer’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 91.6-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 70.4-mph over the past week.

,George Springer’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 18.9% to 13.9%.

,George Springer’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, going from 13.9% on the season to 0% over the past week.

,The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Chad Dallas,Over the past 14 days, Ozzie Albies’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 88.5 mph to 85.4 mph.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 16.4°, Ozzie Albies has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (10.2°) in the last 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Heineman in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Tyler Heineman is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Tyler Heineman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Tyler Heineman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today’s game.

,Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 94.4-mph mark last year has dropped off to 90.6-mph.

,Over the last week, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 90.6 mph to 88.3 mph.

,Austin Riley has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (71% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Batting from the same side that Chad Dallas throws from, Austin Riley meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,This year, Austin Riley’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 15.6% last year to just 10% this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 13th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Ernie Clement pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 88th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ernie Clement in today’s matchup.

,Yohendrick Pinango has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (65% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Given Chris Sale’s huge platoon split, Yohendrick Pinango will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yohendrick Pinango in today’s matchup.

,Despite posting a .343 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Yohendrick Pinango has had some very good luck given the .051 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .292.

,The #2 field in the league for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Chris Sale will hold the platoon advantage against Daulton Varsho in today’s matchup… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Sale’s huge platoon split.

,Daulton Varsho will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Daulton Varsho’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 89.5-mph EV last season has dropped to 86.2-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 13th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Myles Straw is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Myles Straw in today’s game.

,Myles Straw’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 88.7-mph EV last year has dropped off to 86.4-mph.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Sandy Leon ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Sandy Leon is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Sandy Leon will bat from his worse side against Chad Dallas in today’s game.

,Sandy Leon is not very quick, checking in at the 0th percentile in Sprint Speed at 21.48 ft/sec this year.

,Kazuma Okamoto pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kazuma Okamoto today.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 9.1°, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.3°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 16th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Mike Yastrzemski’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 92.4-mph EV last year has fallen off to 89.2-mph.

,Mike Yastrzemski’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 89.2-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 84.5-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

,Jorge Mateo is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Chad Dallas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jorge Mateo today.

,In terms of his batting average, Jorge Mateo has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .242 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .144.

,In notching a .188 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jorge Mateo is ranked in the 3rd percentile for offensive skills.

,Ernie Clement’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 85.5-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 83.4-mph over the past 7 days.

,Ernie Clement’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, decreasing from 40.6% on the season to 31% in the past two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Matt Olson’s true offensive skill to be a .353, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .025 difference between that figure and his actual .378 wOBA.

,Charles McAdoo is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Charles McAdoo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Dominic Smith has been lucky this year, compiling a .356 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .043 discrepancy.

,Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 2nd-least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 20.5% underlying K%.

,Chris Sale has relied on his slider 6.6% less often this year (40.7%) than he did last year (47.3%).

,Jorge Mateo has been lucky this year, notching a .363 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .290 — a .073 gap.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Tyler Heineman ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

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