Phillies vs Twins match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Sunday, August 16th

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PHI @ MIN

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Phillies @ Twins Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Philadelphia Phillies at Minnesota Twins
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Sunday, August 16th
Time : 16/08/26 14:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Philadelphia Phillies Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the majors’s 3rd-best home run hitter.

,Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage today.

,Kyle Schwarber has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 17.4% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 7 days.

,Kyle Schwarber has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 104.2-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 98.7-mph.

,It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Cory Blaser) in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

,In his last outing, Andrew Painter was firing on all cylinders and put up 8 strikeouts.

,Andrew Painter’s 95.9-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 88th percentile among all starters.

,Luis Arraez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Luis Arraez will hold the platoon advantage over Dean Kremer today.

,Luis Arraez has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 88-mph average to last season’s 86-mph figure.

,Luis Arraez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 16.1% to 20%.

,Over the past two weeks, Luis Arraez’s 29.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20%.

,The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today.

,Kyle Schwarber is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Minnesota (#2-worst of all teams on the slate).

,Target Field ranks as the #10 field in baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Kaelen Culpepper will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Kaelen Culpepper has exhibited some good exit velocity benchmarks in recent games, averaging 97.2-mph on his flyballs over the last week.

,Royce Lewis is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Royce Lewis’s launch angle this season (20.5°) is a considerable increase over his 17.5° figure last year.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage today.

,By putting up a .390 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ryan Jeffers has performed in the 98th percentile.

,As it relates to plate discipline, Ryan Jeffers’s talent is quite impressive, posting a 1.15 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 97th percentile.

,As it relates to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Brandon Marsh has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.5-mph figure.

,Over the past 7 days, Brandon Marsh’s 64.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 52.7%.

,J.T. Realmuto’s BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Over the past 14 days, J.T. Realmuto’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.8-mph over the course of the season to 94.4-mph in recent games.

,Despite posting a .282 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes J.T. Realmuto has experienced some negative variance given the .039 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Alec Bohm’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alec Bohm’s true offensive skill to be a .316, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .030 difference between that figure and his actual .286 wOBA.

,Alec Bohm has compiled a .291 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as baseball’s 4th-best home run hitter.

,Byron Buxton is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

,Byron Buxton will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Byron Buxton’s launch angle this season (20.9°) is a considerable increase over his 17.5° angle last year.

,Based on Statcast data, Byron Buxton is in the 90th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .360.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Andrew Painter throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an edge in today’s game.

,Trevor Larnach will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

,In notching a .346 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Trevor Larnach grades out in the 80th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Luke Keaschall will hold that advantage today.

,Luke Keaschall has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.8-mph average to last season’s 87.8-mph average.

,Luke Keaschall’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, going from 18% on the season to 31% over the past 14 days.

,Luke Keaschall has recorded a .337 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Target Field profiles as the #10 field in the majors for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Josh Bell is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.

,The switch-hitting Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Andrew Painter.

,Josh Bell will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,Josh Bell’s launch angle this year (14.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 10.7° mark last season.

,The 4th-best projected lineup of the day in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

,The Philadelphia Phillies have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season,With a 5.37 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that deals with the things a pitcher has the most control over), Dean Kremer checks in at the 24th percentile.

,Dean Kremer has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors on balls in play this year with a .243 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.

,The switch-hitting Brooks Lee will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Andrew Painter.

,Brooks Lee will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Brooks Lee has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95.5-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal mark of 90.1-mph.

,Bryce Harper projects as the 9th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Bryce Harper will have an advantage in today’s game.

,In the past week, Bryce Harper’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.6%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 15th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his batting average ability.

,Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

,Trea Turner’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 14.9% on the season to 41.7% in the last week.

,Justin Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today’s game.

,Justin Crawford has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 1.6% seasonal rate to 6.7% in the last week’s worth of games.

,Justin Crawford has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph to 93.8-mph over the last 7 days.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Trea Turner ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Trea Turner has been unlucky this year, compiling a .302 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .027 disparity.

,Kyle Schwarber projects as the 19th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,With a 5.22 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that concentrates on the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher’s control), Andrew Painter places in the 10th percentile.

,The Minnesota Twins have done a strong job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-contacted balls. Their 15.6° figure is among the highest in the majors since the start of last season (#4 overall).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Bryson Stott has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Byron Buxton projects as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,When assessing his home run skill, Royce Lewis ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Over the last 7 days, Royce Lewis’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.7%.

,When assessing his home run ability, Kody Clemens ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Kody Clemens will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Painter today.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage today.

,Kody Clemens has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.1-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal average of 93.6-mph.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 16.5°, Kody Clemens has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 27.3° figure over the past 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Crawford as the 8th-best hitter in the game when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Using Statcast metrics, Bryce Harper grades out in the 95th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .377.

,When estimating his batting average skill, Luis Arraez is projected as the 3rd-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats across the board, and Dean Kremer will hold that advantage today.

,Dean Kremer was rolling in his last outing and put up 9 strikeouts.

,Dean Kremer has used his change-up 8.1% more often this season (28.3%) than he did last season (20.2%).

Negatives with the Minnesota Twins Series Game 3 Game Today

Target Field ranks as the #25 stadium in baseball for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Target Field has the 10th-deepest CF dimensions in the majors.

,The league’s 5th-highest fences can be found at Target Field.

,As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

,Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Andrew Painter is projected to throw 82 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least of all pitchers today.

,The #5 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

,Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

,Andrew Painter will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 0th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Kaelen Culpepper is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Andrew Painter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kaelen Culpepper today.

,Kaelen Culpepper has been cold lately, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) over the last week.

,Royce Lewis’s BABIP talent is projected in the 20th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the same side that Andrew Painter throws from, Royce Lewis will be in a tough position today.

,Over the past 7 days, Royce Lewis’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.2% down to 0%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 4th-worst field in the majors for righty home runs.

,Andrew Painter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Jeffers in today’s game.

,Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (68% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

,J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

,Dean Kremer will have the handedness advantage over J.T. Realmuto in today’s game.

,Alec Bohm is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

,Dean Kremer will have the handedness advantage over Alec Bohm in today’s game.

,Andrew Painter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Byron Buxton in today’s game.

,In the past week, Trevor Larnach’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.5% down to 0%.

,Luke Keaschall is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Alec Bohm hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Marsh today.

,Brandon Marsh has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 8.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 7 days.

,Josh Bell’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 93.3-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 90.2-mph in the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dean Kremer in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall pitching skills.

,The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

,Brooks Lee is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Batting from the same side that Dean Kremer throws from, Trea Turner will be in a tough position today.

,Trea Turner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Crawford in the 1st percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,Justin Crawford is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

,Ryan Jeffers has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 10.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

,Ryan Jeffers’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 89-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 81.9-mph in the past week.

,Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Trea Turner’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 88.4-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 81.5-mph over the past week.

,Over the past week, Trevor Larnach’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 90.3 mph to 85.2 mph.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 13.9°, Trevor Larnach has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.8°) over the last 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kyle Schwarber’s true offensive skill to be a .354, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .033 deviation between that mark and his actual .387 wOBA.

,Bryson Stott hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Byron Buxton’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 96.9-mph average last season has decreased to 94.5-mph.

,Sporting a 3.83 K/BB rate this year, Byron Buxton has displayed bad plate discipline, grading out in the 13th percentile.

,Kody Clemens has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (81% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 10th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Kody Clemens has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.6% seasonal rate has lowered to 3.7% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brooks Lee in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Justin Crawford will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Justin Crawford’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, falling from 10.8% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

,J.T. Realmuto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Batting from the same side that Andrew Painter throws from, Luke Keaschall will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

,Luke Keaschall has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.6-mph dropping to 82.2-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Bryson Stott has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 6.5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Bryson Stott’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 91.9-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 81.5-mph over the past week.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Arraez in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Arraez’s true offensive skill to be a .305, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .030 gap between that mark and his actual .335 wOBA.

,Brooks Lee’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 16.6% to 12.2%.

,Bryce Harper’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 95.2-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 90.8-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,The Philadelphia Phillies (19.5 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy set of hitters of all teams on the slate.

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