PIT @ ATL






Pirates @ Braves Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Saturday, June 6th
Time : 06/06/26 16:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Pittsburgh Pirates Series Game 2 Game Today
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84,°.
,Batting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Tyler Callihan will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
,Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
,The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Spencer Strider.
,By putting up a .273 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Bryan Reynolds grades out in the 80th percentile.
,Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.
,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Sandy Leon will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,Sandy Leon has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 83.6-mph to 87.6-mph over the last week.
,Compared to his seasonal average of 25.5°, Sandy Leon has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 48° figure over the last 7 days.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
,As it relates to his batting average, Jared Triolo has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .226 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .253.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
,Nick Gonzales is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
,Nick Gonzales’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 46.1% to 52.9%.
,Over the past week, Nick Gonzales’s 77.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 52.9%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
,Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Austin Riley will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,Austin Riley has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 96.3-mph.
,Braxton Ashcraft will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
,Atlanta Braves bats as a unit rank 4th- in the game for power this year when assessing with their 9.8% Barrel%.
,Atlanta’s 89.7-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the best in the league: #4 overall.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
,Michael Harris II is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
,Michael Harris II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Braxton Ashcraft in today’s matchup.
,Michael Harris II hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
,In the last 7 days, Endy Rodriguez has displayed impressive power, recording a a 16.7% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power).
,In the past two weeks, Endy Rodriguez has averaged an impressive 98.7-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential.
,Endy Rodriguez has been lifting the ball well recently, putting up a 32.5° launch angle in the last two weeks.
,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ryan O’Hearn ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Ryan O’Hearn is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
,Ryan O’Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Strider in today’s matchup.
,Over the last week, Ryan O’Hearn’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14%.
,Ha-seong Kim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
,Ha-seong Kim will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
,In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Ha-seong Kim has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .257 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .299.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.
,Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.
,Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider today.
,Brandon Lowe has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph to 92.4-mph over the last two weeks.
,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Austin Wynns will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,Austin Wynns’s speed has increased this season. His 24.36 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.92 ft/sec now.
,Austin Wynns ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (48.5% rate since the start of last season).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
,Spencer Horwitz has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
,Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Strider in today’s matchup.
,In the past week, Spencer Horwitz’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.4% up to 20%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the league’s 13th-best home run batter.
,Oneil Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today’s game.
,Oneil Cruz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
,Extreme flyball batters like Oneil Cruz tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Spencer Strider.
,When assessing his home run skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Matt Olson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
,Matt Olson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Braxton Ashcraft in today’s game.
,Matt Olson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
,Mauricio Dubon has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (60% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
,Mauricio Dubon hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
,Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Mauricio Dubon will hold that advantage today.
,Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
,Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Ozzie Albies will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,Over the last week, Ozzie Albies’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.2-mph over the course of the season to 94.2-mph in recent games.
,Ozzie Albies’s launch angle in recent games (31° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 16.4° seasonal angle.
,Hitting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have the upper hand in today’s game.
,Pittsburgh’s -2-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Mike Yastrzemski, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
,Mike Yastrzemski will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
,Extreme flyball batters like Jake Mangum tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Spencer Strider.
,Compared to last season, Jake Mangum has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 40.8% to 52.9% this season.
,Jake Mangum’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, going from 52.9% on the season to 61.5% in the past week’s worth of games.
,Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 7th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
,Ronald Acuna Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
,Sporting a .294 batting average since the start of last season, Jake Mangum has performed in the 97th percentile.
,Dominic Smith’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Dominic Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (82% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
,Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage over Braxton Ashcraft in today’s matchup.
,Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
,Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
,Utilizing Statcast data, Bryan Reynolds is in the 79th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .343.
,Ronald Acuna Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
,Over the past 7 days, Mauricio Dubon’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 18.2%.
,When it comes to his strikeout talent, Spencer Strider projects as the 15th-best starting pitcher in the game right now, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,The Pittsburgh Pirates (23.1% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 5th-most strikeout-prone group of batters on the slate.
,Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Spencer Strider will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,The Pittsburgh Pirates collectively rank overall in the league this year when assessing the maximum exit velocity of all of the balls their [HITTER}s have hit.
,Jake Mangum has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the past week to his seasonal mark of 88.8-mph.
,In the past week, Jake Mangum’s 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 9.4%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
,Over the past 14 days, Nick Gonzales’s 24.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.1%.
,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Mike Yastrzemski’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, going from 15.8% on the season to 22.2% over the last week.
,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.6) may lead us to conclude that Jared Triolo has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his 8.8 actual HR/600.
,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Austin Riley has been unlucky this year, putting up a .282 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .335 — a .053 deviation.
,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Austin Riley ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,In terms of power, Austin Wynns grades out in the 82nd percentile, having hit 23 HRs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.
,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Negatives with the Atlanta Braves Series Game 2 Game Today
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Tyler Callihan ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Tyler Callihan is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
,65% of the time that Tyler Callihan has started against a northpaw since the start of last season, he has been pulled from the game early.
,Tyler Callihan will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
,Tyler Callihan has done a poor job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His -1.5° figure is among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season (3rd percentile).
,Bryan Reynolds has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.
,Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
,Over the past week, Bryan Reynolds’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.8-mph over the course of the season to 104.6-mph lately.
,Bryan Reynolds’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, falling from 16.4% on the season to 0% in the past week.
,Despite posting a .359 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bryan Reynolds has had some very good luck given the .026 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .333.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sandy Leon in the 0th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
,Sandy Leon is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
,As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Sandy Leon will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Braxton Ashcraft in this game.
,Over the last week, Sandy Leon has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power).
,Jared Triolo is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.
,Spencer Strider will have the handedness advantage over Jared Triolo in today’s matchup.
,Jared Triolo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
,Jared Triolo’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 91.5-mph average last season has dropped to 84.6-mph.
,Over the last 14 days, Jared Triolo’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 84.6 mph to 78.4 mph.
,Spencer Strider will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Gonzales in today’s matchup.
,Nick Gonzales will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
,Nick Gonzales has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.1-mph dropping to 82.5-mph over the last 14 days.
,Sporting a .298 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Nick Gonzales grades out in the 23rd percentile for offensive skills.
,Austin Riley has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (68% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
,Braxton Ashcraft will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Riley in today’s game.
,Austin Riley’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 16.6% to 13.3%.
,Over the last 7 days, Austin Riley’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.3%.
,Austin Riley has notched a .275 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 19th percentile.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Braxton Ashcraft in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent.
,It may be wise to expect worse results for the Atlanta Braves offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-luckiest offense in the game this year.
,Paul Clemons grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.
,Over the last 7 days, Michael Harris II’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15.1% down to 0%.
,Michael Harris II has been lucky this year, putting up a .365 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .032 difference.
,Based on Statcast data, Nick Gonzales grades out in the 13th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 8.800.
,Endy Rodriguez is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.
,Typically, batters like Endy Rodriguez who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Spencer Strider.
,Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Endy Rodriguez today.
,Endy Rodriguez has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .296 mark is a fair amount higher than his .275 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Endy Rodriguez has compiled a .204 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Ryan O’Hearn has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ryan O’Hearn in today’s game.
,Ryan O’Hearn’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 90.1-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 87.6-mph over the last week.
,Ryan O’Hearn’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 18.4% to 14%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ryan O’Hearn’s true offensive talent to be a .335, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .031 disparity between that figure and his actual .366 wOBA.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 14th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
,Ha-seong Kim is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
,Hitting from the same side that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Ha-seong Kim will not have the upper hand today.
,Ha-seong Kim’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 88.9-mph figure last season has lowered to 85-mph.
,Ha-seong Kim’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 41% to 29.4%.
,Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Lowe in today’s game.
,Brandon Lowe has been lucky this year, compiling a .368 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .037 discrepancy.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wynns in the 13th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
,Austin Wynns is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
,Since the start of last season, Austin Wynns has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 14% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.
,Braxton Ashcraft will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Wynns today.
,Austin Wynns pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.
,Spencer Horwitz has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
,Spencer Horwitz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
,Spencer Horwitz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 20.2% to 12.3%.
,Over the past week, Spencer Horwitz’s 30% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39.9%.
,Despite posting a .363 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Spencer Horwitz has been very fortunate given the .036 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .327.
,Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
,Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Oneil Cruz today.
,Oneil Cruz has compiled a .224 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Matt Olson’s true offensive talent to be a .352, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .024 difference between that mark and his actual .376 wOBA.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 17th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
,Batting from the same side that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Mauricio Dubon will have a disadvantage today.
,Mauricio Dubon has been lucky this year, putting up a .319 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .287 — a .032 disparity.
,By putting up a 1.800 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Mauricio Dubon is positioned in the 3rd percentile for power.
,As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Braxton Ashcraft today.
,Ozzie Albies has compiled a .283 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 12th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 16th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
,Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
,15% of the time that Mike Yastrzemski has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.
,Mike Yastrzemski’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 92.4-mph average last season has dropped to 89.2-mph.
,Over the past week, Mike Yastrzemski’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 89.2 mph to 80.2 mph.
,Jake Mangum is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.
,The switch-hitting Jake Mangum will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Spencer Strider,Jake Mangum has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.
,Jake Mangum will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
,Jake Mangum’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 87.4-mph average last season has decreased to 84.3-mph.
,Batting from the same side that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Ronald Acuna Jr. will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
,Over the past week, Ronald Acuna Jr.’s 16.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 38.5%.
,When estimating his home run ability, Jake Mangum ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
,In notching a .219 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ozzie Albies finds himself in the 13th percentile.
,This year, Dominic Smith has been pinch hit for in 12% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.
,Dominic Smith has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 8.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last two weeks.
,Over the last two weeks, Dominic Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 92.6 mph to 83.5 mph.
,Dominic Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, falling from 48.2% on the season to 10% over the past 7 days.
,In terms of his home runs, Dominic Smith has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His 16.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 8.4.
,Compared to his seasonal figure of 14.3°, Dominic Smith has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.8°) over the last two weeks.
,Ha-seong Kim’s launch angle this season (9.3°) is significantly lower than his 16.1° mark last season.
,Ha-seong Kim has posted a .254 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 24th percentile.
,With 7 batters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Spencer Strider will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Spencer Strider’s overall pitching talent is in the 81st percentile out of all SPs in the game currently.
,The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 6th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in future games,Spencer Strider is an extreme flyball pitcher (39.1% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #24 HR venue in the majors in this matchup.
,When estimating his home run ability, Nick Gonzales ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Nick Gonzales’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 88.9-mph EV last season has decreased to 86.1-mph.
,Power-wise, Mike Yastrzemski has performed in the 24th percentile, having averaged 9.4 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 24th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
,Dominic Smith has been lucky this year, posting a .339 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .027 gap.
,Mauricio Dubon’s BABIP skill is projected in the 17th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,With a .270 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Mauricio Dubon is positioned in the 6th percentile for hitting ability.
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