Dodgers vs Phillies match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Wednesday, July 22nd

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LAD @ PHI

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Dodgers @ Phillies Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, July 22nd
Time : 22/07/26 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Los Angeles Dodgers Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill as the 15th-best hitter in the game when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for homers.

,Derek Hill will hold the platoon advantage against Eric Lauer today.

,Extreme groundball batters like Derek Hill tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Eric Lauer.

,Derek Hill will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as Major League Baseball’s 2nd-best home run hitter.

,Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

,The #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

,Kyle Schwarber has a ton of pop (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (29.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Eric Lauer doesn’t generate many whiffs (11th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The #7 field in the game for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

,J.T. Realmuto will hold the platoon advantage over Eric Lauer in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #7 stadium in the game for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Bryson Stott has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Bryson Stott has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Bryson Stott’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 17.5% on the season to 33.3% over the past 7 days.

,When assessing his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Trea Turner is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Eric Lauer throws from, Trea Turner will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Andy Pages is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

,In the past 14 days, Andy Pages’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.7%.

,By putting up a .279 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Andy Pages is positioned in the 85th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Alec Bohm will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eric Lauer today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,Edmundo Sosa is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Eric Lauer throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have an edge in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Bryce Harper has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Bryce Harper will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Bryce Harper has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 92.2-mph over the last week.

,As it relates to his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brandon Marsh has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage today.

,Utilizing Statcast data, Brandon Marsh ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .278.

,Placing in the 97th percentile, Brandon Marsh sports a .360 BABIP this year.

,It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Brian O’Nora) calling pitches today.

,Eric Lauer performed well in his last start and gave up 2 ER.

,Eric Lauer’s change-up usage has increased by 9.1% from last season to this one (7.2% to 16.3%) .

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 14th-best hitter in MLB.

,Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Kyle Schwarber has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.5-mph to 96.2-mph in the last week.

,Alec Bohm will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,The best projected offense on the slate in terms of overall batting ability is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.

,Projected catcher J.T. Realmuto profiles as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The #8 stadium in the game for boosting walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

,The 10th-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors are found in Citizens Bank Park.

,The Los Angeles Dodgers have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola in this game.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Trea Turner ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Shohei Ohtani will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today’s matchup.

,The Philadelphia Phillies have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Schwarber, Brandon Marsh, Derek Hill).

,Eric Lauer was on point in his previous game started and accumulated 9 strikeouts.

,J.T. Realmuto’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Shohei Ohtani will probably have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Philadelphia Phillies only has 1 same-handed RP.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Tucker in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Kyle Tucker will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,The Philadelphia Phillies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

,Over the last 7 days, Tommy Edman’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.2% up to 50%.

,Tommy Edman has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 99.3-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 90.3-mph mark.

,Over the last week, Tommy Edman’s 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.6%.

,Freddie Freeman projects as the 20th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

,Freddie Freeman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today’s game.

,The Philadelphia Phillies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Freddie Freeman has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Max Muncy ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Max Muncy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

,Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Max Muncy will have an advantage today.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Mookie Betts ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Mookie Betts is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Mookie Betts pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mookie Betts’s true offensive ability to be a .348, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .035 gap between that figure and his actual .313 wOBA.

,When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Aaron Nola in the 78th percentile among all starters in baseball.

,Aaron Nola was in good form in his last start and accumulated 7 strikeouts.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Max Muncy has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Philadelphia Phillies has just 1 same-handed RP.

,Brandon Marsh has recorded a .477 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.

,When assessing his home run skill, Dalton Rushing ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Dalton Rushing will have an advantage in today’s game.

,The Philadelphia Phillies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dalton Rushing stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 16th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his batting average talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kyle Tucker’s true offensive talent to be a .348, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .036 deviation between that figure and his actual .312 wOBA.

,Trea Turner will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Placing in the 76th percentile, Dalton Rushing sports a .344 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

,J.T. Realmuto has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 96.7-mph over the last week.

,Freddie Freeman has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Andy Pages ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Mookie Betts has shown impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 88th percentile with a 1.5 K/BB rate.

Negatives with the Philadelphia Phillies Series Game 3 Game Today

Derek Hill is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,When starting against a southpaw this year, Derek Hill has been pinch hit for 33% of the time.

,Citizens Bank Park projects as the #21 field in MLB for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense.

,This year, there has been a decline in Derek Hill’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.15 ft/sec last year to 29.69 ft/sec currently.

,Batting from the same side that Eric Lauer throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

,Typically, batters like Kyle Schwarber who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Eric Lauer.

,Despite posting a .391 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kyle Schwarber has been lucky given the .022 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .369.

,J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

,J.T. Realmuto’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, going from 11.8% on the season to 0% over the past 14 days.

,J.T. Realmuto has been cold in recent games, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) over the last two weeks.

,Checking in at the 15th percentile, J.T. Realmuto has put up a .284 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

,Bryson Stott is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Eric Lauer will have the handedness advantage against Bryson Stott today.

,Bryson Stott’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 92-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 86.2-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

,Bryson Stott has paced 12.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 21st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Trea Turner has displayed poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 18th percentile with a 3.52 K/BB rate.

,Aaron Nola will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andy Pages in today’s game.

,The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams in action today.

,Andy Pages will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Alec Bohm’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 49% to 40.1%.

,Placing in the 9th percentile, Alec Bohm sports a .274 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

,Ranking in the 2nd percentile, Alec Bohm sports a .227 BABIP this year.

,When starting against a left-handed starter this year, Edmundo Sosa has been pinch hit for 36% of the time.

,This season, there has been a decline in Edmundo Sosa’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.43 ft/sec last year to 28.62 ft/sec currently.

,In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Edmundo Sosa ranks in just the 21st percentile with a 9.5° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in baseball.

,Edmundo Sosa has shown bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 15th percentile with a 6.42 K/BB rate.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Derek Hill’s true offensive skill to be a .295, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .035 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .330 wOBA.

,Derek Hill hits a lot of balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to easy pop flies. His 10.8% “too-high” rate since the start of last season is in the 10th percentile.

,The #10 stadium in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

,Eric Lauer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Harper in today’s game.

,Bryce Harper has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 11% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past two weeks.

,Bryce Harper’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 16.9% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

,Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Batting from the same side that Eric Lauer throws from, Brandon Marsh will be in a tough position in today’s game.

,In the last 14 days, Brandon Marsh’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.1% down to 0%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Eric Lauer in the 8th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.

,Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Eric Lauer is projected to throw 71 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least of all pitchers on the slate.

,The Philadelphia Phillies projected offense projects as the 4th-strongest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.

,The Philadelphia Phillies have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season,Dalton Rushing, the Dodgers’s expected catcher in today’s game, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Andy Pages has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 8.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past week.

,Alec Bohm has paced 8.8 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 13th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Alec Bohm and his 7.5° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 13th percentile, among the lowest in the game since the start of last season.

,Placing in the 20th percentile, Alec Bohm has posted a .347 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

,Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Aaron Nola will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Aaron Nola has used his curveball 5.1% more often this year (34.3%) than he did last season (29.2%).

,Trea Turner’s launch angle of late (5.5° over the last two weeks) is significantly worse than his 10° seasonal figure.

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Shohei Ohtani today.

,Shohei Ohtani has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 23.7% rate last season has decreased to 17.2% this season.

,Shohei Ohtani’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 100.7-mph average last year has dropped to 96.8-mph.

,When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Eric Lauer in the 16th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.

,Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Eric Lauer today.

,Eric Lauer’s 90.4-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 3rd percentile among all SPs.

,Kyle Tucker has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (71% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Kyle Tucker will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Over the last week, Kyle Tucker’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%.

,Tommy Edman is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Tommy Edman will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Aaron Nola in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Freddie Freeman today.

,Over the past two weeks, Freddie Freeman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.4% down to 0%.

,Freddie Freeman’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 92.7-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 90-mph in the past two weeks.

,Max Muncy will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Max Muncy’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 95.9 mph to 93 mph.

,Max Muncy’s launch angle this season (15.4°) is quite a bit lower than his 19.8° mark last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Max Muncy’s true offensive talent to be a .350, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .019 disparity between that figure and his actual .369 wOBA.

,Tommy Edman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Tommy Edman has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 19.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal higher than his 7.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Brandon Marsh’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 91.9 mph to 81.8 mph.

,Aaron Nola will hold the platoon advantage over Mookie Betts in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Mookie Betts in today’s game.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Mookie Betts’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.8% down to 0%.

,Over the past 7 days, Mookie Betts’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 91.9 mph to 83.6 mph.

,Given the 0.49 disparity between Aaron Nola’s 9.44 K/9 and his 8.95 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to perform worse in the future.

,Dalton Rushing is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.

,Dalton Rushing will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Over the last two weeks, Dalton Rushing’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.6% down to 0%.

,Kyle Tucker has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph dropping to 83.4-mph over the past 7 days.

,Dalton Rushing has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph dropping to 73.3-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,Andy Pages’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 90.6-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 84.7-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

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