Braves @ Giants Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the Atlanta Braves Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 92nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,Austin Riley is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

,The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.

,Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Austin Riley will have an advantage today.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Austin Riley’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.5-mph over the course of the season to 97.7-mph in recent games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Michael Harris II is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,The 2nd-shallowest right field fences in MLB are found in Oracle Park.

,Michael Harris II has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 9.1% rate last year to 15.5% this year.

,Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

,As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Robbie Ray in today’s matchup.

,Ozzie Albies has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 90.1-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 86.9-mph EV.

,Ozzie Albies’s launch angle in recent games (32.3° over the past week) is quite a bit better than his 16.6° seasonal mark.

,Recording 96.1 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Robbie Ray falls in the 95th percentile.

,Oracle Park projects as the #30 park in the league for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Robbie Ray is an extreme flyball pitcher (41.4% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #27 HR venue among all stadiums in this game.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

,Oracle Park ranks as the #8 park in MLB for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Eli White’s BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Eli White will hold the platoon advantage over Robbie Ray in today’s game.

,Eli White has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Eli White has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .229 figure is quite a bit lower than his .263 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Casey Schmitt ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Casey Schmitt is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

,Considering Chris Sale’s huge platoon split, Casey Schmitt will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Casey Schmitt will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Rafael Devers will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Michael Harris II ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

,In notching a .349 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Matt Olson has performed in the 83rd percentile for offensive skills.

,Jorge Mateo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray today.

,Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jorge Mateo has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.2 mph (a reliable standard to assess power), placing in the 77th percentile.

,Jorge Mateo ranks in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.8% rate since the start of last season).

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Matt Chapman is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,Considering Chris Sale’s huge platoon split, Matt Chapman will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

,Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

,Ha-seong Kim will have the handedness advantage against Robbie Ray today.

,Despite posting a .122 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ha-seong Kim has experienced some negative variance given the .179 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .301.

,Considering Chris Sale’s huge platoon split, Victor Bericoto will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Victor Bericoto will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Victor Bericoto has been hot recently, putting up a a 33.3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) in the last week.

,Notching a 97.9-mph average exit velocity over the past 7 days, Victor Bericoto has been in great form in recent games.

,Eric Haase will have the handedness advantage over Chris Sale in today’s game… and moreover, Sale has a huge platoon split.

,Eric Haase will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

,Eric Haase has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 19.6° mark is among the highest in MLB since the start of last season (91st percentile).

,Eric Haase has put up a .277 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Bryce Eldridge is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Bryce Eldridge will hold that advantage today.

,Jorge Mateo’s BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jorge Mateo’s footspeed has improved this season. His 29.33 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 30.48 ft/sec now.

,Chris Sale projects as the 17th-best starting pitcher in baseball currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Chris Sale is expected to throw 100 pitches in today’s game, which is the highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.

,The San Francisco Giants have been the 9th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in the future,Bryce Eldridge’s BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,Jung Hoo Lee will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Jung Hoo Lee has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 89.9-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 87.7-mph.

,The #8 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Mauricio Dubon is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

,Mauricio Dubon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray in today’s matchup.

,Mauricio Dubon has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

,Mauricio Dubon has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.5-mph average to last year’s 86.3-mph average.

,Eric Haase is very toolsy, ranking in the 76th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.24 ft/sec this year.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Willy Adames is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

,Willy Adames will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Sale in today’s matchup… and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split.

,Willy Adames will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Cox in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Considering Chris Sale’s huge platoon split, Jonah Cox will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.

,Jonah Cox has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Jonah Cox will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Casey Schmitt in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,In the last 14 days, Drake Baldwin’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.5-mph over the course of the season to 112.8-mph lately.

,In notching a .357 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Drake Baldwin grades out in the 86th percentile for hitting ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Robbie Ray in the 85th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Compared to his seasonal average of 11.3°, Jung Hoo Lee has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 25.3° figure over the past week.

,As it relates to his strikeout talent, Chris Sale projects as the 10th-best starter in the league right now, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The San Francisco Giants have 5 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Rafael Devers, Willy Adames, Eric Haase, Bryce Eldridge, Jonah Cox).

Negatives with the San Francisco Giants Series Game 3 Game Today

The #3 stadium in MLB for suppressing offensive stats to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

,Oracle Park has the tallest fences in the league.

,Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which often leads to worse offense.

,As far as temperature and humidity go, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

,Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,The #3 ballpark in the game for suppressing offensive stats to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

,Batting from the same side that Robbie Ray throws from, Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Harris II in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 7th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Willie Traynor grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

,With 6 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected offense, Robbie Ray will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

,Robbie Ray has added a sinker to his repertoire this year and has mixed it in 5.5% of the time.

,Because of Chris Sale’s huge platoon split, Rafael Devers will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s matchup.

,The Atlanta Braves outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest among every team today.

,Rafael Devers has displayed poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 18th percentile with a 3.54 K/BB rate.

,Eli White is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

,This year, Eli White has been pinch hit for in 45% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound.

,The #4 field in MLB for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

,Casey Schmitt has been lucky this year, putting up a .352 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .031 discrepancy.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 4th-worst field in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs.

,Batting from the same side that Robbie Ray throws from, Matt Olson has a tough challenge today.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Olson in today’s matchup.

,Jorge Mateo is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,65% of the time that Jorge Mateo has started against a left-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Matt Chapman’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 90.7 mph to 74.7 mph.

,Robbie Ray will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 12th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Ha-seong Kim is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,This year, Ha-seong Kim has been pinch hit for in 15% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter.

,Victor Bericoto is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,When starting against a southpaw this year, Victor Bericoto has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 47% of the time.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Eric Haase ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Eric Haase is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Eric Haase has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 40% of the time when starting against a southpaw this year.

,Matt Olson has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 13.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last week.

,Given Chris Sale’s huge platoon split, Bryce Eldridge will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.

,Due to his huge platoon split, Chris Sale will be at a disadvantage going up against 6 bats in the projected offense of the opposite hand in this game.

,Chris Sale will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Bryce Eldridge has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 12% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last 7 days.

,Jung Hoo Lee is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

,Chris Sale will hold the platoon advantage over Jung Hoo Lee in today’s game… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Sale’s huge platoon split.

,Typically, batters like Ozzie Albies who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Robbie Ray.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ozzie Albies in today’s game.

,Austin Riley’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 16.6% to 13.4%.

,Sporting a .281 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Austin Riley finds himself in the 17th percentile.

,When assessing his home run skill, Mauricio Dubon ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eric Haase in the 13th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Willy Adames has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past 7 days.

,Eli White will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Jonah Cox is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

,Casey Schmitt is an extreme flyball batter and faces the strong outfield defense of Atlanta (#2-best of all teams on the slate today).

,Jorge Mateo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 21st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mauricio Dubon today.

,In the past 7 days, Mauricio Dubon’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%.

,Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 98% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

,Hitting from the same side that Robbie Ray throws from, Drake Baldwin will have a tough challenge today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Michael Harris II’s true offensive ability to be a .331, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .029 disparity between that mark and his actual .360 wOBA.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Jonah Cox ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Robbie Ray’s 92.7-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 24th percentile among all starting pitchers.

,Willy Adames has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph dropping to 82.9-mph over the past week.

,When assessing his home run ability, Jung Hoo Lee ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Chris Sale’s slider rate has dropped by 6.6% from last year to this one (47.3% to 40.7%) .

,Matt Chapman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 15.2% to 11%.

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Drake Baldwin today.

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