TEX @ ARI




Rangers @ D-Backs Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Sunday, September 13th
Time : 13/09/26 16:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Texas Rangers Series Game 3 Game Today
Compared to the average pitcher, Eduardo Rodriguez has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying an extra 6.3 adjusted pitches each outing.
,It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Bill Miller) in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.
,In MLB, Chase Field’s centerfield fences are the 3rd-deepest.
,Chase Field has the 10th-tallest fence height (on average) in the league.
,Eduardo Rodriguez will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his metrics across the board.
,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.
,Chase Field projects as the #3 venue in baseball for overall lefty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.
,Justin Foscue has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to RHB.
,Justin Foscue will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s game.
,Justin Foscue’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 40% on the season to 52.4% in the last 14 days.
,When assessing his home run skill, Justin Foscue ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Justin Foscue has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 25.5° angle is among the highest in MLB since the start of last season (98th percentile).
,Corbin Carroll projects as the 20th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Corbin Carroll is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
,Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage over Cal Quantrill in today’s matchup.
,Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,Posting a .354 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Geraldo Perdomo is positioned in the 85th percentile for offensive ability.
,The #3 park in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Tim Tawa will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,Tim Tawa’s launch angle this year (11.7°) is significantly better than his 7.5° figure last season.
,Nolan Arenado will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
,Over the past week, Nolan Arenado’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.5% up to 13.3%.
,Nolan Arenado has hit 26.6 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile for power.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Waldschmidt in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
,Ryan Waldschmidt will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best stadium in the game for left-handed batting average.
,Danny Jansen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today.
,Danny Jansen has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph to 91.4-mph over the last 7 days.
,Over the last 14 days, Danny Jansen’s 50% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.4%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
,Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 14th-best batter in baseball.
,Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.
,Corey Seager is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
,Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
,Ezequiel Duran’s BABIP ability is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Ezequiel Duran is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
,Geraldo Perdomo has displayed strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 99th percentile with a 0.95 K/BB rate.
,Eduardo Rodriguez’s change-up utilization has risen by 6.5% from last season to this one (20.4% to 26.9%) .
,Given the 1.06 difference between Eduardo Rodriguez’s 6.66 K/9 and his 7.72 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors this year in terms of strikeouts and should perform better in the future.
,The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Nimmo can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
,Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
,Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage over Cal Quantrill in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
,Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Jake Burger will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
,Jake Burger has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.4% seasonal rate to 44.4% over the last 7 days.
,In the past week, Corey Seager’s 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.4%.
,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
,Ezequiel Duran will have the handedness advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s game.
,Ezequiel Duran has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 92.6-mph over the past week.
,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.
,Wyatt Langford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today.
,Over the past 7 days, Wyatt Langford’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.6% up to 12.5%.
,Jake Burger has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 90.1-mph EV.
,Pavin Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill today.
,Pavin Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
,Pavin Smith has been unlucky this year, notching a .204 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .099 disparity.
,Cal Quantrill was in good form in his previous game started and allowed 1 ER.
,Cal Quantrill will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
,Ketel Marte will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Negatives with the Arizona Diamondbacks Series Game 3 Game Today
The #4 park in MLB for boosting batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
,In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions on the schedule today.
,Among all SPs, Eduardo Rodriguez’s fastball velocity of 91.4 mph grades out in the 11th percentile this year.
,Eduardo Rodriguez has been lucky this year, posting a 2.55 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.28 — a 1.73 discrepancy.
,Eduardo Rodriguez has compiled a .264 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.
,Lars Nootbaar has been pinch hit for 11% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.
,Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
,The Texas Rangers outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of every team playing today.
,Lars Nootbaar’s launch angle this year (9.9°) is quite a bit worse than his 15.9° angle last year.
,Eduardo Rodriguez was in good form in his previous game started and gave up 0 ER.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Foscue in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
,Justin Foscue will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
,In the last 7 days, Justin Foscue’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 91.9 mph to 84.8 mph.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 7th-worst park in the game for righty home runs.
,Chase Field profiles as the #24 park in MLB for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,In today’s matchup, Corbin Carroll is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.1% rate (82nd percentile).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 11th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
,Geraldo Perdomo’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 88.7-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 84.9-mph over the past 14 days.
,Tim Tawa is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
,Cal Quantrill will hold the platoon advantage over Tim Tawa today.
,Tim Tawa hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.
,Tim Tawa has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph dropping to 84.7-mph in the last 7 days.
,Nolan Arenado’s BABIP skill is projected in the 3rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.
,Batting from the same side that Cal Quantrill throws from, Nolan Arenado meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
,Ryan Waldschmidt is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
,Batting from the same side that Cal Quantrill throws from, Ryan Waldschmidt faces a tough challenge in today’s game.
,In today’s matchup, Ryan Waldschmidt is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.1% rate (79th percentile).
,Over the past 7 days, Ryan Waldschmidt’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.8% down to 0%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 1st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
,Danny Jansen is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.
,Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Danny Jansen in today’s matchup.
,Eduardo Rodriguez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Nimmo in today’s matchup.
,Brandon Nimmo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brandon Nimmo in today’s matchup.
,Brandon Nimmo has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 9.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 7 days.
,Eduardo Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage against Corey Seager in today’s matchup.
,Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Corey Seager today.
,Corey Seager’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 91.6-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 84.5-mph over the past week.
,The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will bat from his worse side (0) today against Cal Quantrill,Today, Ketel Marte is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38% rate (94th percentile).
,Ketel Marte has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.8% seasonal rate has fallen to 3.6% over the past two weeks.
,Ezequiel Duran has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will be challenged by the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
,Ezequiel Duran will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
,Ezequiel Duran has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ezequiel Duran’s true offensive ability to be a .305, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .029 disparity between that mark and his actual .334 wOBA.
,With a .253 BABIP this year, Ketel Marte finds himself in the 10th percentile.
,Chase Field grades out as the #29 field in the game for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Eduardo Rodriguez has compiled a 9.3% Swinging Strike percentage this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile.
,Batting from the same side that Cal Quantrill throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
,Gabriel Moreno has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
,Over the last week, Gabriel Moreno’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 90.6 mph to 81.2 mph.
,Compared to his seasonal mark of 12.7°, Gabriel Moreno has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.7°) in the last two weeks.
,Jake Burger is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Burger in today’s game.
,In terms of plate discipline, Jake Burger’s ability is quite bad, posting a 3.11 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 24th percentile.
,When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Cal Quantrill in the 18th percentile among all starters in MLB.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Quantrill to throw 82 pitches in this matchup (7th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
,Compared to his seasonal figure of 14.4°, Geraldo Perdomo has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.2°) over the past two weeks.
,Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 20.2% to 14.8%.
,Despite posting a .357 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Justin Foscue has had positive variance on his side given the .046 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311.
,Wyatt Langford will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
,Wyatt Langford has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph dropping to 85.5-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
,Using Statcast data, Ezequiel Duran grades out in the 10th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .225.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
,Pavin Smith has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (59% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
,Pavin Smith has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 13% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.
,Brandon Nimmo’s launch angle recently (-6.4° in the past 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 10.2° seasonal figure.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Cal Quantrill in the 19th percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.
,It may be smart to expect positive regression for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.
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