Phillies @ Royals Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the Philadelphia Phillies Series Game 2 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carter Jensen in the 78th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,Carter Jensen is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

,The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

,Carter Jensen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Crawford as the 8th-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Justin Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Luinder Avila in today’s game.

,Justin Crawford has seen a big increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 90.5-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 87-mph average.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Alec Bohm is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

,Salvador Perez will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Despite posting a .247 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Salvador Perez has experienced some negative variance given the .073 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .320.

,When it comes to his BABIP skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best hitter in baseball.

,Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luinder Avila in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Nick Loftin will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Nick Loftin’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 15.9% to 23.2%.

,The Philadelphia Phillies have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 3rd-best park in MLB for walks.

,With 6 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected offense, Luinder Avila faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

,Michael Massey has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Michael Massey will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Lane Thomas is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Lane Thomas will hold that advantage today.

,As it relates to his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brandon Marsh is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Hitting from the opposite that Luinder Avila throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Luinder Avila throws from, Gabriel Rincones will have an edge today.

,Kameron Misner will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Nola today.

,Kameron Misner will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Kameron Misner has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season’s 28.35 ft/sec to 29.33 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

,Alec Bohm has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 95.2-mph in the last 7 days.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Isaac Collins will hold that advantage today.

,Aaron Nola has relied on his four-seamer 6.5% less often this year (23.7%) than he did last season (30.2%).

,Aaron Nola has been unlucky this year, posting a 6.04 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.43 — a 1.61 gap.

,Aaron Nola has put up a .322 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the unluckiest hurlers in the majors on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.

,The Kansas City Royals have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kameron Misner, Jac Caglianone, Carter Jensen).

,Aaron Nola was on point in his previous GS and posted 7 strikeouts.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,Hitting from the opposite that Luinder Avila throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 5th-best hitter in MLB.

,Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

,Bobby Witt Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

,Michael Massey will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Over the past two weeks, Lane Thomas’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91-mph over the course of the season to 96.4-mph lately.

,Nick Loftin’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, increasing from 23.2% on the season to 57.1% in the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average skill.

,Despite posting a .280 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alec Bohm has been unlucky given the .042 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .322.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Jac Caglianone ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jac Caglianone has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

,Jac Caglianone will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Nola today.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

,Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

,Batting from the opposite that Luinder Avila throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,J.T. Realmuto’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 13.8% on the season to 28.6% in the last 7 days.

,J.T. Realmuto has been unlucky this year, compiling a .272 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .054 gap.

,Trea Turner has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5.6% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the last week.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Carter Jensen will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Luinder Avila’s 2493-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 91st percentile out of all starting pitchers.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jac Caglianone ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Trea Turner ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Compared to his seasonal average of 2.8°, Justin Crawford has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 8° mark over the past 7 days.

Negatives with the Kansas City Royals Series Game 2 Game Today

Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #21 field in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,In Major League Baseball, Kauffman Stadium’s right field fences are the deepest.

,The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces.

,Justin Crawford is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

,Justin Crawford has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of every team on the slate today.

,Kansas City’s #3-ranked outfield defense on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Justin Crawford, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

,Luinder Avila will have the handedness advantage over Alec Bohm in today’s game.

,Alec Bohm has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and will be challenged by the league’s deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alec Bohm in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 7th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Salvador Perez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

,Aaron Nola will hold the platoon advantage against Salvador Perez in today’s game.

,Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s deepest LF fences today.

,Batting from the same side that Luinder Avila throws from, Trea Turner faces a tough challenge today.

,Today, Trea Turner is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.1% rate (78th percentile).

,Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,In today’s game, Bryce Harper is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.5% rate (79th percentile).

,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryce Harper today.

,Bryce Harper’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 18.3% on the season to 13.5% in the past two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Loftin in the 18th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Nick Loftin is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,Aaron Nola will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Loftin in today’s game.

,Nick Loftin pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 83rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,In the majors, Kauffman Stadium’s left field fences are the deepest.

,Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Luinder Avila will hold that advantage today.

,Among all SPs, Luinder Avila’s fastball velocity of 95.4 mph grades out in the 83rd percentile this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 9th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Michael Massey pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s deepest RF fences today.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Michael Massey’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.3% down to 0%.

,There has been a significant decline in Michael Massey’s launch angle from last season’s 21.8° to 18.1° this season.

,Hitting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, Lane Thomas will have a disadvantage today.

,Lane Thomas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 84th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s deepest LF fences today.

,In the past 14 days, Lane Thomas has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

,With a .224 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Lane Thomas has performed in the 10th percentile for offensive skills.

,Brandon Marsh has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s deepest LF fences today.

,Brandon Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brandon Marsh’s true offensive ability to be a .323, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .047 difference between that mark and his actual .370 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Rincones in the 15th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Gabriel Rincones is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,This year, Gabriel Rincones has been pulled from the game early in 45% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

,Today, Gabriel Rincones is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.1% rate (75th percentile).

,Kameron Misner’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Kameron Misner is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

,In terms of his batting average, Kameron Misner has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .219 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .192.

,Isaac Collins is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

,The switch-hitting Isaac Collins will bat from his bad side (0) today against Aaron Nola,Isaac Collins has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 5.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 14 days.

,The Kansas City Royals have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season,Aaron Nola will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #26 venue in baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Given the 0.42 difference between Aaron Nola’s 9.21 K/9 and his 8.79 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB this year in terms of strikeouts and ought to perform worse the rest of the season.

,Bryson Stott is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

,Bryson Stott hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 6th-worst field in the game for righty home runs.

,Hitting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have a tough matchup today.

,Bobby Witt Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Jac Caglianone hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-deepest CF fences today.

,Jac Caglianone has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 16.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Despite posting a .348 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jac Caglianone has had some very good luck given the .022 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.

,Kyle Schwarber pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.9% — 100th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Schwarber in today’s game.

,In the last 7 days, Kyle Schwarber’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 19.9% down to 9.1%.

,Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Luinder Avila is projected to throw 84 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

,J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

,Hitting from the same side that Luinder Avila throws from, J.T. Realmuto will be in a tough position in today’s game.

,In today’s game, J.T. Realmuto is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.4% rate (90th percentile).

,Sporting a 3.71 K/BB rate this year, Jac Caglianone has shown poor plate discipline, grading out in the 15th percentile.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Justin Crawford today.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Gabriel Rincones ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kameron Misner in the 16th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Nick Loftin ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 19.7°, Lane Thomas has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.9°) over the past 14 days.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Justin Crawford ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

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