Twins vs Padres match player stats Tuesday, August 20th 2024. Minnesota Twins at San Diego Padres Game 2

|
Twins vs Padres match player stats Tuesday, August 20th 2024. Minnesota Twins at San Diego Padres Game 2

MIN @ SD

Minnesota Twins at San Diego Padres Game 2Twins vs PadresTwins vs PadresTwins vs PadresTwins vs PadresTwins vs PadresTwins vs Padres

Positive Match Player Stats for Twins vs Padres Game 2

Max Kepler is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks.

Petco Park has the 4th-lowest fences in the majors.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate.

Compared to his seasonal average of 17.4°, Max Kepler has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 23.7° figure over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Ober today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bailey Ober in the 91st percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

Petco Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in the game for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

This year, Bailey Ober has introduced a new pitch to his pitch mix (a cut-fastball), mixing it in on 21.7% of his pitches.

Bailey Ober has recorded a 13.9% Swinging Strike% this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile.

The #4 park in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Kyle Farmer will have the upper hand in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

Jurickson Profar will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Willi Castro’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 17.6% on the season to 35.7% over the past week.

Willi Castro’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 41.9% to 48.6%.

Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Ryan Jeffers will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Ryan Jeffers has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 9.6% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Petco Park profiles as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today’s matchup.

The #4 field in the majors for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

With 8 batters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Martin Perez will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bailey Ober in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.

Generating 17.5 outs per start this year on average, Bailey Ober checks in at the 86th percentile.

It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the San Diego Padres offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Bailey Ober was firing on all cylinders in his last GS and gave up 2 ER.

Xander Bogaerts’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

When assessing his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Arraez is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

Martin Perez was in good form in his last GS and notched 8 strikeouts.

Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Tyler Wade will have an edge in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Royce Lewis is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Kyle Farmer has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 4.3% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past 7 days.

Kyle Farmer’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 17.9% on the season to 45.5% in the past week’s worth of games.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Max Kepler ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Austin Martin will have an advantage today.

Austin Martin hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Miranda in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Jose Miranda is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Carlos Santana will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Martin Perez in today’s game.

Over the past week, Carlos Santana’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.5% up to 25%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peralta in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

David Peralta will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today’s matchup.

Luis Arraez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober today.

David Peralta hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Royce Lewis will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manuel Margot in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Manuel Margot is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Manuel Margot will have an edge in today’s game.

Manuel Margot hits many of his flyballs to center field (42% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Austin Martin has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 90.6-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 88.1-mph.

Austin Martin has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .244 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .274 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Jose Miranda will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball hitters like Tyler Wade are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober.

Last season, Willi Castro had an average launch angle of 11.1° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 14.1°.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negative Match Player Stats with Twins vs Padres Game 2

Max Kepler’s BABIP talent is projected in the 16th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the same side that Martin Perez throws from, Max Kepler will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Max Kepler in today’s game.

Max Kepler has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 6.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Max Kepler’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 93.4-mph average last year has lowered to 89.1-mph.

Petco Park projects as the #26 venue in the game for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Petco Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the San Diego Padres with a 18.6% underlying K%.

The San Diego Padres have 6 batters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Ober today.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bailey Ober today.

Bailey Ober’s 91.3-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 17th percentile out of all starters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Farmer in the 24th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Kyle Farmer is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

52% of the time that Kyle Farmer has started against a lefty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

Kyle Farmer will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Kyle Farmer’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 92.1-mph mark last year has fallen off to 89-mph.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Jurickson Profar will bat from his bad side against Bailey Ober in this game.

Jurickson Profar pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Jurickson Profar’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.

Willi Castro is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 5th-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Willi Castro today.

Willi Castro has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph dropping to 85.3-mph in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 16th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Ryan Jeffers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

In the last week, Ryan Jeffers’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.1%.

Jackson Merrill is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Despite posting a .340 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jackson Merrill has had some very good luck given the .017 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Minnesota Twins in this game has an estimated true talent wOBA of .311, which is quite a bit worse than their actual wOBA of .323 this year.

It may be best to expect worse numbers for the Minnesota Twins offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 5th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Kyle Higashioka (the Padres’s expected catcher today) is considered to be an elite pitch framer.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Martin Perez will hold that advantage today.

Martin Perez was firing on all cylinders in his last outing and allowed 1 ER.

Batting from the same side that Bailey Ober throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Xander Bogaerts’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 91.3-mph figure last season has decreased to 89.1-mph.

In the past 14 days, Xander Bogaerts’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 89.1 mph to 84.2 mph.

In the past week’s worth of games, Xander Bogaerts’s 12.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.5%.

With a .159 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Xander Bogaerts grades out in the 11th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Bailey Ober throws from, Manny Machado encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Manny Machado’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 92.5-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 88.6-mph over the past 7 days.

Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 17.7% to 11.8%.

In the past week’s worth of games, Manny Machado’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.8%.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 89.6-mph EV last year has fallen off to 87.6-mph.

Luis Arraez has paced 1.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 1st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Power-wise, Luis Arraez grades out in the 3rd percentile, having hit 2.8 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Martin Perez in the 19th percentile among all starting pitchers in the game.

Over his last 3 starts, Martin Perez has experienced a sizeable decrease in his fastball spin rate: from 1981 rpm over the whole season to 1929 rpm in recent games.

Martin Perez’s 2039.2-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 12th percentile out of all SPs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Wade in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Tyler Wade is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

This year, Tyler Wade has been pinch hit for in 32% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Tyler Wade has averaged 0.8 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 7th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Since the start of last season, Tyler Wade’s 0.9% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 13th percentile among his peers.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Royce Lewis in today’s game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Royce Lewis’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 94.8 mph to 84.5 mph.

Royce Lewis’s launch angle of late (9.5° over the past two weeks) is significantly worse than his 16.5° seasonal mark.

Royce Lewis has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 48.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount higher than his 40.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Willi Castro has hit 11.4 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 21st percentile for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Santana in the 1st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Carlos Santana today.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Carlos Santana has had positive variance on his side this year. His .327 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .304.

With a .252 BABIP this year, Carlos Santana is positioned in the 10th percentile.

Max Kepler has displayed weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 23rd percentile with a 3.64 K/BB rate.

When it comes to his home run ability, Austin Martin ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Austin Martin is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.

This year, Austin Martin has been pulled from the game early in 38% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler.

Austin Martin will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

23% of the time that Jose Miranda has started against a lefty hurler this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Jose Miranda will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Jose Miranda has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last 14 days.

In the last two weeks, Jose Miranda’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 90.9 mph to 85.6 mph.

Jose Miranda’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, falling from 12.9% on the season to 0% in the last week.

Jurickson Profar’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 92.5-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 88.4-mph over the past 14 days.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (26.0) may lead us to conclude that Ryan Jeffers has had positive variance on his side this year with his 31.0 actual HR/600.

Ryan Jeffers has compiled a .234 BABIP this year, grading out in the 4th percentile.

David Peralta is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.

This year, David Peralta has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 32% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Jake Cronenworth’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (11°) is quite a bit lower than his 14.6° mark last season.

Jake Cronenworth’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 16% on the season to 8.8% in the past 14 days.

46% of the time that Manuel Margot has started against a lefty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Manuel Margot in today’s matchup.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Manuel Margot’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.6% down to 0%.

Sporting a 3.92 K/BB rate this year, Jackson Merrill has demonstrated bad plate discipline, checking in at the 19th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 1st percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Checking in at the 83rd percentile, Bailey Ober has compiled a 4.07 K/BB rate this year.

Manuel Margot’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 88.2-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 85.2-mph in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates David Peralta’s true offensive skill to be a .307, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .021 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .328 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Wade in the 4th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Xander Bogaerts’s launch angle of late (19.1° in the past 7 days) is significantly higher than his 11.5° seasonal angle.

Latest Minnesota Twins Match Player Stats


Latest San Diego PadresM atch Player Stats