Twins @ Astros Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the Minnesota Twins Series Game 3 Game Today

Given Tatsuya Imai’s large platoon split, Tristan Gray will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

,Out of every team today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Houston Astros.

,Tristan Gray has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.4-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 89-mph EV.

,Utilizing Statcast data, Tristan Gray is in the 91st percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 29.700.

,Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for dingers.

,As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Victor Caratini will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Tatsuya Imai) in today’s matchup.

,Over the last week, Victor Caratini’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.6% up to 15.4%.

,Victor Caratini has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 93.4-mph in the past 7 days.

,Isaac Paredes is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (47.3% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,With a .350 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Isaac Paredes is positioned in the 77th percentile.

,With a 1.55 K/BB rate this year, Isaac Paredes has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 84th percentile.

,Tristan Gray has recorded a .331 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 78th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Royce Lewis ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Royce Lewis has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (76% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

,Minute Maid Park grades out as the #7 field in the game for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Royce Lewis pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.4% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Royce Lewis’s launch angle in recent games (22° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 17.7° seasonal figure.

,Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

,The switch-hitting Josh Bell will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Tatsuya Imai… and even better, Imai has a large platoon split.

,Josh Bell has notched a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 83rd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Joey Loperfido will hold the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley today.

,Joey Loperfido will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

,Joey Loperfido has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 7.2% seasonal rate to 25% in the last 7 days.

,Over the past week, Joey Loperfido’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph recently.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Nick Allen will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Cam Smith is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Cam Smith will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The Barrel% of Cam Smith has significantly improved, with an increase from 7.1% last year to 12.1% this season.

,Over the past week, Cam Smith’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.5%.

,The #7 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Trevor Larnach is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

,Trevor Larnach will hold the platoon advantage against Tatsuya Imai in today’s matchup… and the cherry on top, Imai has a large platoon split.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yainer Diaz (the Astros’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

,The 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions in the league are found in Minute Maid Park.

,Due to his large platoon split, Tatsuya Imai will be in a tough position facing 6 bats in the projected lineup of the opposite hand in today’s matchup.

,Tatsuya Imai’s 2015-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 2nd percentile among all SPs.

,Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have an edge in today’s game.

,Yordan Alvarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 18.9°, Yordan Alvarez has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 28.3° angle in the past 7 days.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Yainer Diaz will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

,Yainer Diaz has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.4-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal EV of 90.7-mph.

,Yainer Diaz has recorded a .272 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Taj Bradley has a reverse platoon split and has the misfortune of facing 6 same-handed batters in today’s game.

,Taj Bradley will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Taj Bradley has gone to his curveball 5.5% less often this season (9.3%) than he did last season (14.8%).

,The Houston Astros as a group place 2nd- overall in the majors this year when it comes to the maximum exit velocity of all of the baseballs their [HITTER}s have hit.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jose Altuve will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,In the past 14 days, Jose Altuve’s 58.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.9%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,Kody Clemens is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

,Considering Tatsuya Imai’s large platoon split, Kody Clemens will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Cam Smith ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Brooks Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

,The switch-hitting Brooks Lee will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Tatsuya Imai… and even better, Imai has a large platoon split.

,Brooks Lee has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.8-mph average.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Christian Walker will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Christian Walker has averaged 26.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Taj Bradley in the 84th percentile among all starters in the league.

,Compared to the average pitcher, Taj Bradley has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing an additional 8.2 adjusted pitches each outing.

,Minute Maid Park ranks as the #1 field in baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Luke Keaschall’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Luke Keaschall’s launch angle this year (17°) is considerably higher than his 10.2° mark last year.

,Luke Keaschall has been unlucky this year, notching a .290 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .324 — a .034 deviation.

,Luke Keaschall has compiled a .278 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Taylor Trammell will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today’s game.

,Taylor Trammell will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Over the last 7 days, Taylor Trammell’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.7% up to 25%.

,Taylor Trammell has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.9-mph EV.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jose Altuve ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Luke Keaschall ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Utilizing Statcast data, Luke Keaschall grades out in the 81st percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .337.

,Kody Clemens has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 100-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 92.4-mph EV.

,Tallying 95 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Tatsuya Imai ranks in the 91st percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tatsuya Imai in the 86th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

Negatives with the Houston Astros Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tristan Gray in the 4th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Tristan Gray is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

,This year, Tristan Gray has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 19% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

,Minute Maid Park projects as the #23 stadium in baseball for overall left-handed offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The league’s 3rd-highest average fence height can be found at Minute Maid Park.

,Victor Caratini is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -20° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching.

,Victor Caratini will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Isaac Paredes’s BABIP skill is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Minute Maid Park ranks as the #28 stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.

,Taj Bradley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Isaac Paredes in today’s game.

,Minute Maid Park grades out as the #28 stadium in the game for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the worst ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats to righties.

,Considering Tatsuya Imai’s large platoon split, Royce Lewis will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

,Royce Lewis will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 19th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Josh Bell in today’s matchup.

,Joey Loperfido is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

,This year, Joey Loperfido has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 15% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Nick Allen ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Nick Allen is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

,22% of the time that Nick Allen has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Nick Allen ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Taj Bradley will hold the platoon advantage against Cam Smith in today’s game.

,Cam Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Trevor Larnach has been pulled from the game early 31% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

,Trevor Larnach will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Over the past week, Trevor Larnach’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.5% down to 0%.

,The Minnesota Twins projected offense grades out as the 4th-weakest on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.

,The Minnesota Twins have been the 8th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in the future,It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Chris Conroy) calling pitches today.

,Minute Maid Park projects as the #26 stadium in baseball for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Today, Yordan Alvarez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38% rate (76th percentile).

,From last season to this one, Josh Bell’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 94.6 mph to 92.6 mph.

,Josh Bell’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 92.6-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 84.7-mph over the last 7 days.

,Yainer Diaz is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Taj Bradley’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 76th percentile out of all starting pitchers in baseball currently.

,Hitting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

,Yordan Alvarez has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 94.1-mph dropping to 92.1-mph in the past two weeks.

,Kody Clemens will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Posting a .259 BABIP this year, Kody Clemens has performed in the 17th percentile.

,Hitting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Yainer Diaz will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Brooks Lee’s BABIP talent is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brooks Lee will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Kreidler in the 20th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Ryan Kreidler is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Taj Bradley will have the handedness advantage against Christian Walker in today’s matchup.

,In the last two weeks, Christian Walker’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10% down to 0%.

,Taj Bradley has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 9.79 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.33 — a 0.45 K/9 difference.

,In the last week, Isaac Paredes’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.1% down to 0%.

,Luke Keaschall is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

,Tatsuya Imai will have the handedness advantage against Luke Keaschall in today’s matchup… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Imai’s large platoon split.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 16th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Trammell in the 5th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Taylor Trammell is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,This year, Taylor Trammell has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 31% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Kreidler in the 6th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,Christian Walker’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 91.4-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 87.6-mph in the past two weeks.

,In the past week, Jose Altuve’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.8% down to 0%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Taylor Trammell’s true offensive skill to be a .287, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .040 deviation between that mark and his actual .327 wOBA.

,Tatsuya Imai has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling an 11.11 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.59 — a 1.52 K/9 deviation.

,Brooks Lee’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 16.6% to 13.2%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brooks Lee’s true offensive talent to be a .291, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .032 gap between that mark and his actual .323 wOBA.

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