Royals @ Twins Matchup Details

Positives for the Kansas City Royals Game Today

Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

,Target Field ranks as the #10 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense.

,In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate.

,Trevor Larnach will hold the platoon advantage over Seth Lugo in today’s matchup.

,Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

,The #7 park in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Salvador Perez’s true offensive ability to be a .319, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .052 deviation between that mark and his actual .267 wOBA.

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Salvador Perez grades out in the 96th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 36.000.

,As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Victor Caratini will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Seth Lugo in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Victor Caratini will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Josh Bell is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.

,The switch-hitting Josh Bell will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Seth Lugo.

,Josh Bell will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

,When assessing his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best field in MLB for righty batting average.

,Luke Keaschall will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage today.

,Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Morris throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,There has been a significant improvement in Vinnie Pasquantino’s launch angle from last season’s 16.2° to 20° this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jac Caglianone in the 85th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,Jac Caglianone has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.

,Austin Martin is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Austin Martin will hold that advantage today.

,In the past two weeks, Austin Martin’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.8-mph over the course of the season to 95-mph of late.

,Isaac Collins’s launch angle in recent games (28.3° over the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 19.1° seasonal mark.

,Isaac Collins has posted a .318 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 84th percentile.

,Brooks Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,The switch-hitting Brooks Lee will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Seth Lugo.

,Brooks Lee will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

,In the past 7 days, Brooks Lee’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 15.4%.

,Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Tristan Gray will have the upper hand today.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Tristan Gray will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 11.3°, Trevor Larnach has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 20.4° angle in the last 7 days.

,Kyle Isbel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Morris in today’s game.

,Kyle Isbel has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.2-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 87.7-mph figure.

,Carter Jensen is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

,Carter Jensen will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Morris in today’s game.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 21.6°, Carter Jensen has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 29.6° figure in the past two weeks.

,Posting a .463 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Carter Jensen grades out in the 100th percentile for offensive skills.

,Tristan Gray has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.6-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 89.9-mph figure.

,Kyle Isbel has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.2-mph average to last year’s 85.7-mph EV.

,Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 5th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Bobby Witt Jr. has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.8% seasonal rate to 21.2% in the past two weeks.

,Jac Caglianone will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Morris in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the league’s 6th-best home run batter.

,Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

,Byron Buxton will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Target Field grades out as the #6 venue in MLB for base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Seth Lugo in today’s game.

,Seth Lugo’s curveball utilization has dropped by 11.8% from last season to this one (32.3% to 20.5%) .

,Seth Lugo’s 91.2-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 20th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

,Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Morris throws from, Michael Massey will have an advantage today.

,Michael Massey has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.8% seasonal rate to 37.5% in the last week’s worth of games.

,Michael Massey’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 21.5% on the season to 37.5% over the past 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,In terms of his batting average, Nick Loftin has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .211 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .249.

,Sporting a 1.58 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Nick Loftin has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, placing in the 89th percentile.

,Byron Buxton projects as the 13th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (20.0) suggests that Nick Loftin has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 8.6 actual HR/600.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 15°, Tristan Gray has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 25.2° figure in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Seth Lugo has averaged 94.2 adjusted pitches per outing this year, grading out in the 86th percentile.

,Victor Caratini has been unlucky this year, compiling a .249 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .306 — a .057 discrepancy.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Michael Massey’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 18.1% to 21.5%.

,Byron Buxton has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.1-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.9-mph EV.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Luke Keaschall has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.3-mph average to last year’s 87.8-mph mark.

Negatives with the Minnesota Twins Game Today

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Trevor Larnach has been pulled from the game early 25% of the time.

,In the majors, Target Field’s centerfield fences are the 10th-deepest.

,The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams on the slate today.

,Trevor Larnach’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 91.1-mph average last season has lowered to 86.4-mph.

,Trevor Larnach’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 90-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 87-mph over the past two weeks.

,Salvador Perez’s BABIP ability is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Target Field has the 5th-tallest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.

,Andrew Morris will have the handedness advantage against Salvador Perez in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Salvador Perez in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Caratini in the 24th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Victor Caratini is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Victor Caratini hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Victor Caratini is an extreme groundball hitter and faces the strong infield defense of Kansas City (#2-best on the slate).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 16th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Batting from the same side that Andrew Morris throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

,Bobby Witt Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. today.

,Bobby Witt Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 94.5-mph average last year has dropped off to 92.2-mph.

,Luke Keaschall is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage against Luke Keaschall in today’s game.

,Luke Keaschall hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 86th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.

,Vinnie Pasquantino’s BABIP skill is projected in the 4th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Vinnie Pasquantino in today’s game.

,Vinnie Pasquantino has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 82.1-mph over the past week.

,Jac Caglianone hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.

,Jac Caglianone will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,In terms of plate discipline, Jac Caglianone’s skill is quite bad, posting a 3.65 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 20th percentile.

,In notching a .234 BABIP since the start of last season, Jac Caglianone finds himself in the 2nd percentile.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Austin Martin ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The #4 stadium in the league for suppressing home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

,Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Martin in today’s matchup.

,Austin Martin hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Isaac Collins is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.

,The switch-hitting Isaac Collins will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Andrew Morris,Isaac Collins will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Target Field grades out as the #21 venue in MLB for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Brooks Lee’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 16.6% to 11.9%.

,Over the last 14 days, Brooks Lee’s 3.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.9%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tristan Gray in the 4th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,Tristan Gray is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,This year, Tristan Gray has been pinch hit for in 17% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Kyle Isbel ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Isbel is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.

,Kyle Isbel has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 22% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

,Kyle Isbel will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,10% of the time that Carter Jensen has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

,Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Carter Jensen in today’s game.

,Salvador Perez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 8.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week.

,Carter Jensen’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 89.4-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 84.5-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brooks Lee in the 14th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Vinnie Pasquantino has compiled a .271 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 17th percentile.

,Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Byron Buxton will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,The Minnesota Twins projected lineup projects as the 4th-weakest on the slate in terms of overall batting ability.

,Seth Lugo was firing on all cylinders in his previous outing and conceded 0 ER.

,Michael Massey’s BABIP ability is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Michael Massey is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,40% of the time that Michael Massey has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Loftin in the 14th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Nick Loftin is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

,Andrew Morris will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Loftin in today’s matchup.

,Nick Loftin will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Byron Buxton’s ability is quite weak, sporting a 3.83 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 18th percentile.

,Carter Jensen’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, going from 33.9% on the season to 14.8% over the last 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Loftin in the 19th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael Massey in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Tristan Gray ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Target Field ranks as the #26 field in the majors for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Over the past week, Victor Caratini’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 92.4 mph to 83.6 mph.

,In the past 14 days, Isaac Collins’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.1% down to 0%.

,Josh Bell’s launch angle lately (8.4° over the last two weeks) is significantly worse than his 14.3° seasonal angle.

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