Twins vs Mariners match player stats | 2026 Friday, July 31st

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MIN @ SEA

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Twins @ Mariners Matchup Details

Teams : Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners

Date : Todays Game is on Friday, July 31st
Time : 31/07/26 22:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Minnesota Twins Game Today

Cole Young is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

,Batting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Cole Young will have an advantage today.

,Cole Young pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Cole Young will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Cole Young has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 16.2° angle is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (78th percentile).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,T-Mobile Park has the 10th-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.

,Luke Keaschall has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.

,Luke Keaschall has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 84.7-mph to 92.9-mph over the past 7 days.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

,T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for long-balls.

,As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will get to bat from his strong side against Bryce Miller today.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

,Trevor Larnach will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller today.

,Trevor Larnach pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,When assessing his home run ability, Royce Lewis ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Royce Lewis is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Royce Lewis pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.1% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Over the past 7 days, Royce Lewis’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 99.5-mph of late.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Randy Arozarena is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Randy Arozarena will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Weston Wilson will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) provides evidence that Weston Wilson has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .206 actual batting average.

,In notching a .333 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Weston Wilson is ranked in the 80th percentile for offensive skills.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bryce Miller in the 77th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.

,Cal Raleigh, the Mariners’s expected catcher today, projects as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for strikeouts.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The Barrel% of Ryan Jeffers has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.4% last year to 13% this season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,Josh Naylor is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Josh Naylor will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Josh Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Josh Naylor will hold that advantage today.

,Ryan Kreidler pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Ryan Kreidler has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.9% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past week.

,Ryan Kreidler has seen a big increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 90.9-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 87.9-mph average.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Ryan Kreidler’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.5%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as MLB’s 9th-best home run batter.

,As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Zebby Matthews in today’s matchup.

,Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.4% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Cal Raleigh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Posting a .406 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ryan Jeffers is positioned in the 97th percentile.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Bryce Miller’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 77th percentile among all SPs in the game currently.

,Bryce Miller has recorded 17.4 outs per game per started this year, checking in at the 86th percentile.

,The Minnesota Twins have been the 10th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress the rest of the season,T-Mobile Park grades out as the #30 ballpark in the majors for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Dominic Canzone has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (62% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Dominic Canzone will have the upper hand today.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Kody Clemens ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Kody Clemens is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Kody Clemens will have an advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

,Julio Rodriguez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Brooks Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

,The switch-hitting Brooks Lee will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Bryce Miller.

,Brooks Lee pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Luke Keaschall has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.3-mph average to last year’s 87.8-mph EV.

,Colt Emerson will have the handedness advantage against Zebby Matthews in today’s matchup.

,Colt Emerson will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Colt Emerson’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 45.6% on the season to 81.8% in the past 7 days.

,The Seattle Mariners have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Luke Raley, Cal Raleigh, Weston Wilson).

,Zebby Matthews has utilized his curveball 6.9% more often this year (12.7%) than he did last year (5.8%).

,When assessing his batting average skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 11th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Alan Roden will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller today.

,Alan Roden has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Alan Roden has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.7-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.5-mph average.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage over Zebby Matthews in today’s game.

,Luke Raley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Royce Lewis’s launch angle this year (20.9°) is a significant increase over his 17.5° figure last year.

,Alan Roden’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 23.8% to 48.3%.

,In the last 7 days, Randy Arozarena’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 17.6%.

,Weston Wilson has performed at a clip of 22.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 75th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,There has been a significant improvement in Julio Rodriguez’s launch angle from last season’s 9.3° to 13.2° this year.

,Kody Clemens has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.9-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 92.6-mph average.

,Weston Wilson is in the 78th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (17.6% rate since the start of last season).

,Recording 17.5 outs per outing this year on average, Zebby Matthews ranks in the 88th percentile.

,Zebby Matthews was rolling in his last GS and allowed 0 ER.

,Over the last week, Cal Raleigh’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92-mph over the course of the season to 106.7-mph in recent games.

,In the past 7 days, Cal Raleigh’s 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.6%.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Luke Raley has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last season to 16.5% this season.

Negatives with the Seattle Mariners Game Today

T-Mobile Park ranks as the #30 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,T-Mobile Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

,This contest is projected to have the 4th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

,Cole Young’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 90.9-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 85.8-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

,Over the last week, Cole Young’s 10.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.6%.

,Luke Keaschall is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,The #1 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

,Bryce Miller will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luke Keaschall in today’s game.

,Josh Bell will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Over the past 14 days, Josh Bell’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.7% down to 0%.

,Josh Bell’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 16.6% on the season to 0% in the last week.

,Trevor Larnach will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Trevor Larnach has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 7.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

,Bryce Miller will have the handedness advantage over Royce Lewis in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Royce Lewis today.

,Sporting a .288 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Royce Lewis has performed in the 16th percentile for hitting ability.

,Hitting from the same side that Zebby Matthews throws from, Randy Arozarena has a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Randy Arozarena’s launch angle this year (8.1°) is significantly worse than his 13.4° figure last season.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 8.1°, Randy Arozarena has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.8°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Weston Wilson in the 9th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Weston Wilson is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.

,Zebby Matthews will have the handedness advantage over Weston Wilson today.

,With a 0.55 difference between Bryce Miller’s 9.31 K/9 and his 8.76 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year as it relates to strikeouts and ought to perform worse in future games.

,Ryan Jeffers has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (95% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

,Bryce Miller will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Jeffers in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ryan Jeffers in today’s matchup.

,Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 89.3-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 78.8-mph over the last two weeks.

,Josh Naylor’s launch angle of late (6.5° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 12.6° seasonal mark.

,Ryan Kreidler’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ryan Kreidler is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the worst park in baseball for right-handed batting average.

,Cal Raleigh has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Cal Raleigh’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 39% to 30.7%.

,T-Mobile Park has the 4th-shallowest right field fences among all major league parks.

,Bryce Miller has been lucky this year, compiling a 2.75 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.19 — a 1.44 difference.

,Bryce Miller has put up a .241 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the luckiest mound aces in the majors on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

,This year, Dominic Canzone has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 28% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

,Dominic Canzone has been lucky this year, putting up a .367 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .034 disparity.

,Kody Clemens will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Over the last 7 days, Kody Clemens’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.5% down to 6.7%.

,Kody Clemens has displayed poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 14th percentile with a 3.84 K/BB rate.

,Hitting from the same side that Zebby Matthews throws from, Julio Rodriguez meets a tough challenge today.

,Julio Rodriguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 93-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 82.7-mph over the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brooks Lee in the 9th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brooks Lee in today’s matchup.

,Colt Emerson is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

,In the past 14 days, Colt Emerson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Colt Emerson’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 91.3 mph to 84.3 mph.

,The Seattle Mariners have 6 batters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage against Zebby Matthews today.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Zebby Matthews today.

,Zebby Matthews’s 94.6-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1-mph fall off from last season’s 95.6-mph figure.

,Brooks Lee’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 87.6-mph seasonal average has lowered to 77.8-mph over the last week.

,Brooks Lee’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 16.6% to 12.2%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 18th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Alan Roden is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alan Roden in today’s game.

,Luke Raley is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

,This year, Luke Raley has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 31% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

,Royce Lewis’s BABIP talent is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,In the last 7 days, Ryan Jeffers’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13% down to 0%.

,Over the past 7 days, Colt Emerson’s 9.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.5%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Weston Wilson in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Luke Keaschall will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Trevor Larnach’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 89.9 mph to 75.4 mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 13th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ryan Kreidler ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Ryan Kreidler faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,The Seattle Mariners have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Dominic Canzone’s 35.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44%.

,By putting up a 5.94 K/BB rate this year, Luke Raley has demonstrated bad plate discipline, ranking in the 2nd percentile.

,Cal Raleigh has struggled with his Barrel%; his 19% rate last year has dropped off to 11.4% this season.

,In notching a .275 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Cal Raleigh is positioned in the 9th percentile.

,Josh Naylor’s 89.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to evaluate power) is in the 16th percentile this year.

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