MIN @ CLE





Twins @ Guardians Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, July 22nd
Time : 22/07/26 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Minnesota Twins Series Game 3 Game Today
Progressive Field profiles as the #2 stadium in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Petey Halpin will have an advantage in today’s game.
,Petey Halpin will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
,Petey Halpin is remarkably quick, checking in at the 78th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.34 ft/sec this year.
,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Progressive Field profiles as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,The 3rd-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors are found in Progressive Field.
,Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.
,Ryan Jeffers has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.4% rate last year to 13.9% this season.
,Travis Bazzana will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Ober in today’s game.
,Travis Bazzana will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.
,In the past week’s worth of games, Travis Bazzana’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.3% up to 20%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
,Josh Bell is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
,The switch-hitting Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Slade Cecconi.
,Josh Bell has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.2-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 90-mph mark.
,In notching a .349 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Josh Bell has performed in the 83rd percentile for offensive skills.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
,Chase DeLauter is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
,Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Chase DeLauter will have an edge today.
,Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
,Steven Kwan will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today’s matchup.
,Steven Kwan has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Trevor Larnach is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
,Trevor Larnach will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi in today’s game.
,It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Willie Traynor) in charge of the strike zone in this game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-best field in MLB for base hits.
,Slade Cecconi gave up a colossal 6 earned runs in his last start.
,Slade Cecconi’s 92.6-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1.1-mph fall off from last season’s 93.7-mph mark.
,The switch-hitting Brooks Lee will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Slade Cecconi.
,Slade Cecconi’s cutter percentage has spiked by 21.9% from last season to this one (2.7% to 24.6%) .
,This season, Ryan Jeffers has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.4 mph compared to last year’s 90.7 mph mark.
,Gabriel Arias has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
,Bats such as Gabriel Arias with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bailey Ober who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Gabriel Arias will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,This season, Gabriel Arias has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 99 mph compared to last year’s 96.7 mph mark.
,Travis Bazzana has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph to 96.5-mph in the past 7 days.
,As it relates to his home run ability, Kody Clemens ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Kody Clemens is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
,Hitting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Kody Clemens will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
,Kody Clemens has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 13.4% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last week.
,Compared to his seasonal average of 16.6°, Kody Clemens has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 21.1° angle over the past two weeks.
,When estimating his home run talent, Royce Lewis ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Royce Lewis is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.
,Royce Lewis pulls many of his flyballs (41.1% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
,As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Patrick Bailey will get to bat from his good side against Bailey Ober in today’s game.
,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,Patrick Bailey has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 90.4-mph figure.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Byron Buxton ranks as the 8th-best batter in baseball.
,Byron Buxton is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
,Byron Buxton pulls many of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
,Byron Buxton’s launch angle this year (21.3°) is quite a bit higher than his 17.5° mark last year.
,Brayan Rocchio has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
,Brayan Rocchio pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Brayan Rocchio will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,Gabriel Arias’s BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Trevor Larnach pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.
,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Chase DeLauter ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Chase DeLauter has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
,Compared to last year, Patrick Bailey has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 42.5% to 48.9% this season.
,The Cleveland Guardians have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Rhys Hoskins, David Fry, Gabriel Arias).
,Bailey Ober’s change-up percentage has jumped by 7.2% from last season to this one (28.9% to 36.1%) .
,Bailey Ober has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 6.78 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.26 — a 0.48 K/9 gap.
,Steven Kwan will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
,Patrick Bailey has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6.9% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 7 days.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Patrick Bailey’s true offensive talent to be a .279, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .037 gap between that mark and his actual .242 wOBA.
,Over the last 14 days, Royce Lewis has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 13.1% to 18.2%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
,Ryan Jeffers’s launch angle this year (19.6°) is significantly better than his 14.9° angle last season.
Negatives with the Cleveland Guardians Series Game 3 Game Today
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Petey Halpin ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Petey Halpin is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
,When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Petey Halpin has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 13% of the time.
,The 7th-deepest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Progressive Field.
,The league’s 4th-highest fences can be found at Progressive Field.
,Ryan Jeffers has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (95% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.
,According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the schedule today.
,Slade Cecconi will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Jeffers today.
,Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ryan Jeffers in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ryan Jeffers’s true offensive ability to be a .349, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .051 difference between that mark and his actual .400 wOBA.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Kreidler in the 5th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
,Ryan Kreidler is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.
,Slade Cecconi will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Kreidler in today’s matchup.
,Travis Bazzana has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (78% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.
,Today, Travis Bazzana is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.2% rate (95th percentile).
,Travis Bazzana has been lucky this year, compiling a .329 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .018 difference.
,Progressive Field projects as the #26 ballpark in MLB for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Josh Bell will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
,Chase DeLauter has been lucky this year, compiling a .350 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .022 discrepancy.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 1st percentile when assessing his home run ability.
,Steven Kwan’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 86.3-mph mark last year has fallen to 82.8-mph.
,Utilizing Statcast data, Steven Kwan ranks in the 4th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 1.900.
,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Trevor Larnach in today’s matchup.
,Trevor Larnach has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 7.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last week.
,Trevor Larnach has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph dropping to 75.6-mph in the past week.
,It may be smart to expect worse results for the Minnesota Twins offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 8th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.
,Projected catcher Patrick Bailey projects as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Slade Cecconi will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brooks Lee in the 10th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
,Brooks Lee is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.
,Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Slade Cecconi is projected to throw 76 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least on the slate.
,Checking in at the 11th percentile, Slade Cecconi recorded an 8.4% Swinging Strike rate this year.
,Gabriel Arias is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.
,Progressive Field grades out as the #26 venue in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Bailey Ober will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gabriel Arias in today’s game.
,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kody Clemens today.
,Batting from the same side that Slade Cecconi throws from, Royce Lewis will have a tough challenge in today’s game.
,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Royce Lewis in today’s matchup.
,Royce Lewis has compiled a .288 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 16th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Patrick Bailey in the 14th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
,Patrick Bailey is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.
,13% of the time that Patrick Bailey has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pulled from the game early.
,Batting from the same side that Slade Cecconi throws from, Byron Buxton will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
,Byron Buxton will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
,In the past week, Brayan Rocchio’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 89.4 mph to 84.9 mph.
,In the last week’s worth of games, Brayan Rocchio’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.3%.
,Brayan Rocchio has been cold recently, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) over the last 7 days.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brayan Rocchio’s true offensive skill to be a .291, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .033 gap between that figure and his actual .324 wOBA.
,Gabriel Arias’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 16.7% to 11.1%.
,Byron Buxton’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 96.9-mph figure last year has fallen to 94.6-mph.
,Josh Bell has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 10.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.
,Kody Clemens’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 93.7-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 89.5-mph in the last two weeks.
,The Cleveland Guardians have 6 hitters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in this game.
,Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bailey Ober in today’s matchup.
,In his last GS, Bailey Ober wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to post 1 Ks.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 9th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
,Based on Statcast data, Gabriel Arias grades out in the 13th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .284.
,The weakest projected offense on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the Cleveland Guardians.
,Bailey Ober is an extreme flyball pitcher (44.1% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #22 HR venue among all parks in this matchup.
,Brooks Lee will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
,Over the past week, Trevor Larnach’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.8%.
,By putting up a .267 BABIP this year, Steven Kwan is positioned in the 24th percentile.
,In today’s matchup, Ryan Kreidler is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.4% rate (83rd percentile).
,Josh Bell’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, decreasing from 16.9% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.
,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ryan Kreidler ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
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