Padres vs Mariners match player stats Tuesday, September 10th 2024. San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners

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Padres vs Mariners match player stats Tuesday, September 10th 2024. San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners

SD @ SEA

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Todays Matchup Details

San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners

Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 10th
10/09/24 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Padres vs Mariners Matchup Today

As it relates to his home run ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In Major League Baseball, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.

Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Jorge Polanco will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jorge Polanco has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.1-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 92.8-mph.

Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums.

Batting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Josh Rojas will have an advantage in today’s game.

Josh Rojas will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Last year, Josh Rojas had an average launch angle of 10.5° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16.8°.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 13th-best home run batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Cal Raleigh will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

In the last two weeks, Josh Rojas’s 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.7%.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yu Darvish in today’s matchup.

J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Haniger in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Mitch Haniger will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mitch Haniger’s true offensive talent to be a .310, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .032 gap between that mark and his actual .278 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

In the last 14 days, Jorge Polanco has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 31.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 21°.

The 3rd-shallowest right field fences in MLB are found in T-Mobile Park.

Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.

San Diego has been the #1 group of hitters in MLB when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle band that tends to optimize base hits (45.8% rate this year).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Luke Raley has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Luke Raley will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Luke Raley will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

This year, Mitch Haniger has an average exit velocity of 90.5 mph, which is among the best in Major League Baseball at the 76th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Randy Arozarena is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Randy Arozarena’s true offensive skill to be a .342, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .020 difference between that mark and his actual .322 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Julio Rodriguez has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the best park in baseball for strikeouts.

George Kirby will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his metrics in all categories.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Julio Rodriguez ranks as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

Julio Rodriguez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 11.9% to 16.4%.

Tallying 17.3 outs per outing this year on average, George Kirby places in the 80th percentile.

When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Yu Darvish in the 87th percentile among all starters in the game.

The Seattle Mariners have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Cal Raleigh, Luke Raley, Mitch Haniger, Jorge Polanco).

Projected catcher Kyle Higashioka grades out as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

J.P. Crawford has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .198 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .239 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Cal Raleigh has been unlucky this year. His .313 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .338.

Negative Match Player Stats with Padres vs Mariners

Jorge Polanco has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (72% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the worst park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.

T-Mobile Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to worse offense.

This matchup is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Jorge Polanco’s launch angle this year (17.2°) is a considerable dropoff from his 21.4° figure last year.

Josh Rojas is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

This year, Josh Rojas has been pulled from the game early in 19% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Josh Rojas has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 14 days.

Josh Rojas’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, falling from 18.2% on the season to 6.7% in the last 14 days.

Cal Raleigh has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 15.9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 10.5% over the last 7 days.

Cal Raleigh’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 94.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 90.3-mph over the last week.

The #1 ballpark in baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Over the past 14 days, J.P. Crawford’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.1% down to 0%.

J.P. Crawford has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph dropping to 84.5-mph in the past week.

Mitch Haniger is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

Yu Darvish will have the handedness advantage against Mitch Haniger in today’s matchup.

From last season to this one, Mitch Haniger’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 18.4% to 14.5%.

Over the last two weeks, J.P. Crawford’s 8.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.3%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, George Kirby’s overall pitching skill is in the 94th percentile among all SPs in MLB currently.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected offense for the San Diego Padres today holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .308, which is considerably lower than their actual wOBA of .322 this year.

It may be smart to expect weaker performance for the San Diego Padres offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 10th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

Cal Raleigh, the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, grades out as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #1 field in the majors for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

This year, Luke Raley has been pinch hit for in 13% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Over the last two weeks, Luke Raley’s 31.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the worst ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average.

Batting from the same side that Yu Darvish throws from, Randy Arozarena has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Randy Arozarena’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.

Randy Arozarena has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph dropping to 85.2-mph in the last 7 days.

Over the last 7 days, Randy Arozarena’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.4%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (23.4) provides evidence that Luke Raley has been very fortunate this year with his 27.1 actual HR/600.

Yu Darvish will hold the platoon advantage over Julio Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

Julio Rodriguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 93.1-mph seasonal average has dropped to 90.5-mph in the last 14 days.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the San Diego Padres with a 19.6% underlying K%.

George Kirby has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, putting up an 8.73 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.42 — a 0.31 K/9 difference.

Mitch Haniger has compiled a .291 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 24th percentile.

Julio Rodriguez has recorded a .186 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, placing in the 21st percentile.

Cal Raleigh’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (15.1° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably lower than his 18.9° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Yu Darvish to be limited in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 78 pitches.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yu Darvish in today’s game.

Yu Darvish’s four-seamer rate has increased by 5.1% from last season to this one (16.7% to 21.8%) .

Sporting a 4.73 K/BB rate this year, Luke Raley has demonstrated weak plate discipline, placing in the 10th percentile.

Cal Raleigh’s BABIP skill is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Latest Seattle Mariners Match Player Stats

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