ARI @ KC






D-Backs @ Royals Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 9th
Time : 09/09/26 19:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Arizona Diamondbacks Series Game 3 Game Today
Kauffman Stadium projects as the #5 ballpark in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.
,Kyle Isbel will have the handedness advantage over Zac Gallen today.
,Kyle Isbel will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
,Kyle Isbel’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 10% to 13.3%.
,Ryan Waldschmidt’s BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Ryan Waldschmidt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Daniel Lynch in today’s matchup.
,Extreme flyball hitters like Ryan Waldschmidt tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Daniel Lynch.
,As it relates to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Bobby Witt Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Carter Jensen ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Carter Jensen is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
,The #9 field in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
,Carter Jensen will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen today.
,Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Isaac Collins will hold that advantage today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Isaac Collins’s true offensive ability to be a .313, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .014 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .299 wOBA.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
,Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.
,Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #9 field in MLB for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Over the past 14 days, Geraldo Perdomo’s 65.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.9%.
,Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.
,Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an edge today.
,Vinnie Pasquantino will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
,Hitting from the opposite that Daniel Lynch throws from, Tim Tawa will have the upper hand in today’s game.
,There has been a significant improvement in Tim Tawa’s launch angle from last season’s 7.5° to 11.8° this season.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
,Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.
,As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Ketel Marte will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Daniel Lynch today.
,Nick Loftin will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.
,Nick Loftin’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 15.9% to 22.3%.
,Nick Loftin’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 22.3% on the season to 28.6% over the past 14 days.
,By putting up a 1.69 K/BB rate this year, Nick Loftin has displayed strong plate discipline, placing in the 81st percentile.
,Michael Massey is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
,Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen today.
,Michael Massey will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
,Michael Massey has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 94.8-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
,Jordan Lawlar’s BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Batting from the opposite that Daniel Lynch throws from, Jordan Lawlar will have an edge in today’s game.
,Over the past week, Jordan Lawlar’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph in recent games.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
,Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.
,Salvador Perez will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
,Over the past 7 days, Salvador Perez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.2% up to 17.6%.
,As it relates to his home run ability, Carter Jensen ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Carter Jensen will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,Nolan Arenado has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
,Nolan Arenado will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Daniel Lynch in today’s matchup.
,Compared to his seasonal average of 18.7°, Nolan Arenado has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 38.3° angle in the last week’s worth of games.
,Nolan Arenado has paced 25.3 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 77th percentile for power.
,As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ildemaro Vargas will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Daniel Lynch today.
,Ildemaro Vargas has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.5-mph to 89.7-mph over the last week.
,Ildemaro Vargas’s launch angle this season (10.5°) is quite a bit better than his 3.2° mark last season.
,Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #5 venue in the majors for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Zac Gallen in today’s matchup.
,With a 5.41 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that concentrates on the things a pitcher can most influence), Zac Gallen falls in the 7th percentile.
,Placing in the 19th percentile, Zac Gallen has compiled a 2.07 K/BB rate this year.
,Ryan Waldschmidt ranks in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.3% rate this year).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
,Gabriel Moreno is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
,Hitting from the opposite that Daniel Lynch throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have an edge in today’s matchup.
,Despite posting a .328 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ketel Marte has experienced some negative variance given the .021 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .349.
,Posting a .354 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Geraldo Perdomo is ranked in the 85th percentile for offensive skills.
,Jordan Lawlar’s launch angle of late (38° in the past week’s worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 19.3° seasonal figure.
,By putting up a 0.97 K/BB rate this year, Geraldo Perdomo has shown good plate discipline, placing in the 99th percentile.
,Today’s version of the D-Backs projected batting order is weaker than usual, as their .306 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .326 overall projected rate.
,Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Daniel Lynch IV will hold that advantage today.
,Given the 1.07 deviation between Daniel Lynch IV’s 3.51 ERA and his 4.58 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors this year and figures to see worse results going forward.
,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Over the last week, Gabriel Moreno’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 20%.
,Given the 1.75 disparity between Zac Gallen’s 5.60 K/9 and his 7.35 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in MLB this year in terms of strikeouts and should perform better the rest of the season.
,Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 5th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Bobby Witt Jr.’s launch angle lately (23.5° in the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 16.4° seasonal mark.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Negatives with the Kansas City Royals Series Game 3 Game Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 6th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
,Kyle Isbel is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.
,Kyle Isbel has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 15% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.
,The deepest right field fences in the majors are found in Kauffman Stadium.
,The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers.
,Ryan Waldschmidt is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.
,Ryan Waldschmidt hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
,Among all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals.
,Ryan Waldschmidt will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
,Zac Gallen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. today.
,Bobby Witt Jr. has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
,Bobby Witt Jr.’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 92.1-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 90.1-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
,Bobby Witt Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 94.5-mph average last year has fallen off to 91.7-mph.
,Carter Jensen has posted a .225 batting average this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile.
,Isaac Collins is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.
,Isaac Collins has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 5.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past two weeks.
,Isaac Collins’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 88.4-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 80-mph over the past week.
,In MLB, Kauffman Stadium’s left field dimensions are the deepest.
,Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
,In the last two weeks, Geraldo Perdomo’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 88.7 mph to 78.7 mph.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 6th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
,In today’s matchup, Vinnie Pasquantino is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37% rate (92nd percentile).
,Over the last 7 days, Vinnie Pasquantino’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.6%.
,This year, the hardest ball Vinnie Pasquantino has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.9 mph (an advanced metric to assess power), grading out in the 22nd percentile.
,Tim Tawa is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.
,Tim Tawa hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 4th-deepest CF fences today.
,Tim Tawa will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
,Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.6% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s deepest LF fences today.
,Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ketel Marte in today’s matchup.
,Ketel Marte’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 90-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 87.4-mph over the past week.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Loftin in the 24th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
,Nick Loftin is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 10th-worst venue in the majors for righty home runs.
,Michael Massey has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 21% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.
,The #10 ballpark in the majors for suppressing home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
,Michael Massey pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.
,There has been a significant decline in Michael Massey’s launch angle from last year’s 21.8° to 16.2° this season.
,Jordan Lawlar is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.
,Jordan Lawlar pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 79th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s deepest LF fences in today’s game.
,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jordan Lawlar in today’s game.
,Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Salvador Perez faces a tough challenge today.
,In today’s game, Salvador Perez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.9% rate (86th percentile).
,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Salvador Perez’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 91.7 mph to 88.2 mph.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 19th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
,Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.5% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s deepest LF fences today.
,Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
,Nolan Arenado has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past 14 days.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 5th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
,Ildemaro Vargas is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
,In today’s matchup, Ildemaro Vargas is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.8% rate (91st percentile).
,Typically, batters like Ildemaro Vargas who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Daniel Lynch.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
,Zac Gallen’s higher usage rate of his secondary pitches this year (57.7% vs. 52.5% last season) figures to work in his favor since they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
,Zac Gallen has been unlucky this year, posting a 6.34 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.64 — a 1.7 disparity.
,Zac Gallen has been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league on balls in play this year with a .321 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.
,Over the past 14 days, Salvador Perez’s 5.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15%.
,Gabriel Moreno has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.
,Gabriel Moreno will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gabriel Moreno’s true offensive skill to be a .332, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .034 gap between that mark and his actual .366 wOBA.
,As it relates to his home run ability, Ildemaro Vargas ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
,When estimating his home run skill, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daniel Lynch IV to throw 73 pitches today (5th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
,The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season,The Arizona Diamondbacks have 9 bats in the projected lineup that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Daniel Lynch IV in this game.
,Over the last two weeks, Gabriel Moreno’s 7.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.6%.
,Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Nick Loftin encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
,From last season to this one, Nick Loftin’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 91.6 mph to 88.9 mph.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Zac Gallen to be limited in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 46 pitches.
,Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #28 venue in baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,In his previous game started, Zac Gallen struggled when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to tally 2 Ks.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Daniel Lynch IV in the 7th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.
,Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 18.7% underlying K%.
,Vinnie Pasquantino’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 16.2% on the season to 11.8% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
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