Royals @ Red Sox Matchup Details

Positives for the Kansas City Royals Game Today

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Roman Anthony is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Roman Anthony is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

,Fenway Park projects as the #3 ballpark in the game for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Roman Anthony will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today’s matchup.

,Roman Anthony hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,The #5 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

,Among all parks, Fenway Park’s RF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

,Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage over Seth Lugo in today’s matchup.

,John Rave will hold the platoon advantage over Sonny Gray today.

,John Rave pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

,John Rave has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last year’s 90.8-mph EV.

,In the past week, John Rave’s 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.1%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 5th-best park in MLB for righty BABIP.

,In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park’s left field fences are the shallowest.

,Nick Loftin’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 15.9% to 22.1%.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Nick Loftin’s skill is quite good, putting up a 1.75 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 78th percentile.

,Caleb Durbin pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest LF fences today.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage today.

,In the past 7 days, Caleb Durbin’s 75% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.5%.

,Caleb Durbin has shown favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile with a 1.66 K/BB rate.

,Nate Eaton hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Nate Eaton will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Nate Eaton is very quick, placing in the 95th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.46 ft/sec this year.

,Seth Lugo has averaged 92.1 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, placing in the 78th percentile.

,Seth Lugo has relied on his four-seam fastball 5.1% less often this season (16%) than he did last year (21.1%).

,Considering the 0.65 difference between Seth Lugo’s 6.74 K/9 and his 7.39 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to perform better going forward.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Isaac Collins’s true offensive skill to be a .312, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .015 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .297 wOBA.

,Wilyer Abreu will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,When assessing his home run talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Over the last 7 days, Salvador Perez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.5% up to 22.2%.

,Michael Massey has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage over Sonny Gray today.

,Michael Massey pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

,Michael Massey has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 93.2-mph in the past two weeks.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Adley Rutschman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carter Jensen in the 88th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,Carter Jensen is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Carter Jensen will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Kyle Isbel will have the upper hand today.

,Compared to last year, Kyle Isbel has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 10% to 13% this season.

,Trevor Story is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

,Trevor Story will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

,Despite posting a .261 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trevor Story has suffered from bad luck given the .039 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .300.

,In the past 7 days, Adley Rutschman’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.3% up to 16.7%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage against Seth Lugo today.

,Jarren Duran has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Jarren Duran will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.3% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Vinnie Pasquantino has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 8% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the past week.

,Nick Sogard is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

,Nick Sogard pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Nick Sogard has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.5-mph average to last season’s 83.7-mph EV.

,Isiah Kiner-Falefa hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,There has been a significant improvement in Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s launch angle from last season’s 4° to 9° this year.

,Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded a .274 batting average this year, ranking in the 87th percentile.

,When assessing his batting average skill, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

,Bobby Witt Jr. has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,In the past week, Bobby Witt Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.2% up to 28.6%.

,Nick Sogard has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 92.4-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal average of 89.5-mph.

,Salvador Perez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 91.9-mph.

,Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 5th-best hitter in the majors.

,Over the last week, Bobby Witt Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.8-mph over the course of the season to 100-mph lately.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sonny Gray in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Adley Rutschman (the Red Sox’s expected catcher today) grades out as a good pitch framer.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Over the past 7 days, Jarren Duran’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.1% up to 18.2%.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Sonny Gray in the 80th percentile among all SPs in the league.

,Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Sonny Gray will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Roman Anthony will hold that advantage today.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Carter Jensen ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Carter Jensen has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11.1% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past two weeks.

Negatives with the Boston Red Sox Game Today

Among all parks, the 2nd-highest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.

,Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which generally leads to worse offense.

,According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most suitable for pitching on the slate today.

,The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the strongest out of every team playing today.

,In the past week, Wilyer Abreu’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.2% down to 0%.

,Wilyer Abreu has notched a .230 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects John Rave in the 19th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,John Rave is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,John Rave has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 16% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Loftin in the 25th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Nick Loftin is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Hitting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Nick Loftin will be in a tough position in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Caleb Durbin is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Nate Eaton ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Nate Eaton is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage over Nate Eaton today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-worst venue in MLB for strikeouts.

,Seth Lugo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Seth Lugo has put up a 7.6% Swinging Strike rate this year, checking in at the 1st percentile.

,Seth Lugo has compiled an 18.4% strikeout rate this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile.

,Isaac Collins is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

,The switch-hitting Isaac Collins will bat from his bad side (0) today against Sonny Gray,Out of every team today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.

,Sonny Gray will have the handedness advantage against Salvador Perez in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Loftin in the 25th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 19th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,20% of the time that Michael Massey has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

,As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Seth Lugo today.

,By putting up a .256 BABIP this year, Adley Rutschman is positioned in the 13th percentile.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Carter Jensen in today’s matchup.

,Carter Jensen has posted a .224 batting average this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 6th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Kyle Isbel is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

,When starting against a righty hurler this year, Kyle Isbel has been pinch hit for 15% of the time.

,Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Story today.

,Trevor Story has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph dropping to 83.2-mph in the past two weeks.

,Trevor Story’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 15.5% to 10.4%.

,Jarren Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 6th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,When estimating his home run talent, Nick Sogard ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The switch-hitting Nick Sogard will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Seth Lugo,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 19th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

,11% of the time that Isiah Kiner-Falefa has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

,Hitting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Seth Lugo was rolling in his previous GS and gave up 0 ER.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sonny Gray to throw 85 pitches in this matchup (8th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,Sonny Gray has been lucky this year, putting up a 2.69 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 3.90 — a 1.21 difference.

,Kansas City’s 89.4-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the elite in the game: #3 overall.

,By putting up a .266 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jarren Duran has performed in the 3rd percentile.

,Vinnie Pasquantino will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 21st percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Roman Anthony is an extreme groundball hitter and faces the strong infield defense of Kansas City (#1-best of the day).

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Salvador Perez in today’s game.

,The Kansas City Royals (20.5 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 5th-least strikeout-prone lineup of all teams today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 2nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,Isaac Collins will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Nick Sogard has been lucky this year, posting a .340 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .046 disparity.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Massey in today’s game.

,Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Caleb Durbin has a tough challenge today.

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