
TEX @ ARI






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 10th
10/09/24 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Rangers vs D-Backs Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung as the 19th-best batter in the league when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Chase Field profiles as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of the day.
Josh Jung has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 10.9% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the last 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Marcus Semien is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
Chase Field ranks as the #2 park in MLB for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Jake McCarthy’s BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jake McCarthy is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.
Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage today.
Geraldo Perdomo has shown impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile with a 1.88 K/BB rate.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.
Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Pavin Smith will have an edge in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Pavin Smith will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
By putting up a 2.11 K/BB rate this year, Carson Kelly has displayed favorable plate discipline, placing in the 75th percentile.
As it relates to his home run ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today.
Eugenio Suarez has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.7% seasonal rate to 26.7% in the last week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
Marcus Semien’s launch angle of late (29.3° over the last week) is quite a bit higher than his 16.7° seasonal figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Zac Gallen in the 84th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.
Zac Gallen has averaged 97 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 96th percentile.
Zac Gallen will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his metrics in all categories.
Zac Gallen was in good form in his previous game started and notched 8 strikeouts.
Zac Gallen has utilized his curveball 5% more often this season (27.7%) than he did last season (22.7%).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Nathan Eovaldi’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 86th percentile out of all starting pitchers in baseball currently.
Nathan Eovaldi has averaged 95.5 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 93rd percentile.
The underlying talent of the Arizona Diamondbacks projected offense today (.313 projected wOBA via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a good deal weaker than their .333 wOBA this year.
It may be smart to expect negative regression for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 7th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.
Wyatt Langford has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 8.8% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past two weeks.
Josh H. Smith is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Josh H. Smith will have an edge in today’s matchup.
It may be best to expect positive regression for the Texas Rangers offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 7th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.
When assessing his home run ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Josh Jung ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Josh Jung has compiled a .447 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, placing in the 82nd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.
Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today’s matchup.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Nathaniel Lowe ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.
Nathaniel Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Zac Gallen in today’s game.
Nathaniel Lowe’s BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Joc Pederson will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Jake McCarthy will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Over the past 7 days, Adolis Garcia’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.6% up to 18.2%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nathan Eovaldi in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.
Nathan Eovaldi’s 94.9-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 82nd percentile out of all starting pitchers.
Nathan Eovaldi’s high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (62.4% this year) ought to work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
Nathan Eovaldi has recorded a 13.1% Swinging Strike rate this year, checking in at the 87th percentile.
Carson Kelly’s launch angle recently (24° in the past week’s worth of games) is considerably better than his 13.3° seasonal mark.
Josh H. Smith has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.6-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 87.6-mph figure.
Negative Match Player Stats with Rangers vs D-Backs
Josh Jung is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.
Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Josh Jung will have a tough challenge in today’s game.
In today’s matchup, Josh Jung is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.7% rate (97th percentile).
Josh Jung will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Josh Jung’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 93.8-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 89.4-mph in the past week.
Among all stadiums, Chase Field’s centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-deepest.
Zac Gallen will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Semien in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcus Semien in today’s game.
Over the past 7 days, Marcus Semien’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%.
Marcus Semien has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph dropping to 83.3-mph over the past week.
Among all the teams today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.
In the past 7 days, Corbin Carroll’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.8% down to 0%.
Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 40.3% to 34.1%.
Corbin Carroll has put up a .246 BABIP this year, placing in the 6th percentile.
In the last week’s worth of games, Jake McCarthy’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 87.1 mph to 74.3 mph.
Jake McCarthy’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, falling from 13.6% on the season to 0% over the last two weeks.
Jake McCarthy has been lucky this year, compiling a .346 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .042 gap.
When estimating his home run talent, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the worst venue in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs.
As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Nathan Eovaldi today.
Geraldo Perdomo’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 88.6-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 80.2-mph in the past two weeks.
Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Adolis Garcia will not have the upper hand in today’s game.
Adolis Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Adolis Garcia has compiled a .228 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Adolis Garcia has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 21st percentile with a 3.79 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 12th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Pavin Smith is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.
This year, Pavin Smith has been pulled from the game early in 42% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.
Pavin Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
As it relates to his home run skill, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Carson Kelly is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Carson Kelly will have a tough challenge today.
Carson Kelly hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Carson Kelly in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 16th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.
Chase Field projects as the #29 park in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Nathan Eovaldi will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eugenio Suarez in today’s matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Wyatt Langford has a tough challenge in today’s game.
Wyatt Langford will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the majors for BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nathan Eovaldi in today’s matchup.
Nathan Eovaldi’s 2188-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 17th percentile among all starting pitchers.
In terms of power, Wyatt Langford grades out in the 22nd percentile, having hit 11.6 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.
Josh H. Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Josh H. Smith will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Josh H. Smith has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 10.7% rate last season has lowered to 3.5% this year.
In the past 7 days, Josh H. Smith’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.4%.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.305) implies that Josh H. Smith has been lucky this year with his .337 actual wOBA.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Zac Gallen’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 92nd percentile out of all SPs in MLB currently.
In his last outing, Zac Gallen was firing on all cylinders and conceded 0 ER.
Joc Pederson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 22% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.
Today, Joc Pederson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.6% rate (95th percentile).
Joc Pederson has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 14.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.
Over the past 14 days, Joc Pederson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.4%.
Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 16.5% to 11.3%.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nathaniel Lowe today.
Nathaniel Lowe’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 88.5-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 84.7-mph in the past two weeks.
Nathaniel Lowe’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 92.5-mph figure last season has fallen off to 89.7-mph.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.247) implies that Nathaniel Lowe has had some very good luck this year with his .263 actual batting average.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.4) implies that Pavin Smith has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his 25.5 actual HR/600.
Placing in the 25th percentile, Adolis Garcia has posted a .292 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
In terms of his home runs, Nathaniel Lowe has had positive variance on his side this year. His 14.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 9.4.
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