Pirates vs Cubs match player stats | 2026 Friday, September 11th

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PIT @ CHC

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Pirates @ Cubs Matchup Details

Teams : Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs

Date : Todays Game is on Friday, September 11th
Time : 11/09/26 14:20:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Pittsburgh Pirates Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Konnor Griffin as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Konnor Griffin is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

,The 7th-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.

,Konnor Griffin will have the handedness advantage against Shota Imanaga today.

,Extreme flyball bats like Konnor Griffin generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Esmerlyn Valdez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Esmerlyn Valdez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

,Esmerlyn Valdez will have the handedness advantage against Shota Imanaga in today’s game.

,Esmerlyn Valdez has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 20.2% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last week’s worth of games.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

,The switch-hitting Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Wilber Dotel.

,Ian Happ will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage against Wilber Dotel in today’s game.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Alex Bregman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.3% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Alex Bregman will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Oneil Cruz projects as the 15th-best home run batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Oneil Cruz is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Extreme flyball bats like Oneil Cruz are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.

,Oneil Cruz has performed at a clip of 28.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 84th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,By putting up a .368 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Oneil Cruz is positioned in the 94th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Nick Gonzales is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Nick Gonzales will have the handedness advantage over Shota Imanaga in today’s matchup.

,Nick Gonzales’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, rising from 49.8% on the season to 55.6% in the past 14 days.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Sporting a .340 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Carson Kelly has performed in the 77th percentile for hitting ability.

,With a 1.79 K/BB rate this year, Carson Kelly has displayed strong plate discipline, ranking in the 76th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,Bryan Reynolds has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.1% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Bryan Reynolds has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 96.8-mph over the last 14 days.

,As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Jake Mangum will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Shota Imanaga in today’s matchup.

,Extreme groundball hitters like Jake Mangum are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.

,Jake Mangum’s launch angle this year (3.9°) is quite a bit higher than his 0° mark last season.

,By putting up a .344 BABIP this year, Jake Mangum is ranked in the 96th percentile.

,Pedro Ramirez’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Pedro Ramirez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Pedro Ramirez has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 5.2% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Jared Triolo will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 11th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Nico Hoerner will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Nico Hoerner has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.7-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 87-mph.

,By putting up a .310 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Nico Hoerner is positioned in the 99th percentile.

,When estimating his home run skill, Michael Conforto ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the opposite that Wilber Dotel throws from, Michael Conforto will have an edge in today’s game.

,Michael Conforto will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Michael Conforto’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 103.2-mph of late.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Seiya Suzuki will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Seiya Suzuki has put up a .384 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 97th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Negatives with the Chicago Cubs Game Today

Wrigley Field has the 7th-tallest average fence height in MLB.

,The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among every team in action today.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Konnor Griffin in today’s game.

,Konnor Griffin has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 7.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last 7 days.

,Konnor Griffin’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 87.3-mph seasonal average has dropped to 71.5-mph in the last week.

,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Esmerlyn Valdez in today’s matchup.

,Esmerlyn Valdez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 20.9% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

,Esmerlyn Valdez has been lucky this year, compiling a .363 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .042 disparity.

,Ian Happ pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 89th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Ian Happ’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 93-mph seasonal average has decreased to 77.9-mph in the last week.

,Ian Happ’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, falling from 17.6% on the season to 0% in the last week.

,Ian Happ’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 48.4% to 38.4%.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls many of his flyballs (42.4% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Despite posting a .399 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Pete Crow-Armstrong has experienced some positive variance given the .051 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .348.

,Hitting from the same side that Wilber Dotel throws from, Alex Bregman meets a tough challenge today.

,Alex Bregman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 16% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

,Posting a .230 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Alex Bregman is positioned in the 24th percentile.

,The 5th-deepest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Wrigley Field.

,Shota Imanaga will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Oneil Cruz in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Oneil Cruz in today’s game.

,Nick Gonzales has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nick Gonzales in today’s matchup.

,There has been a decrease in Nick Gonzales’s average exit velocity this year, from 88.9 mph last year to 85.9 mph now,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 19th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Carson Kelly is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

,Batting from the same side that Wilber Dotel throws from, Carson Kelly will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

,In the past 7 days, Carson Kelly’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%.

,The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Shota Imanaga,In today’s matchup, Bryan Reynolds is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.8% rate (79th percentile).

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryan Reynolds in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Jake Mangum is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Jake Mangum has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

,Pedro Ramirez is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

,In today’s game, Pedro Ramirez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.2% rate (88th percentile).

,Pedro Ramirez’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 88.8-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 84.9-mph over the past week.

,Pedro Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased lately, going from 39.9% on the season to 12.5% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,When assessing his home run talent, Jared Triolo ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jared Triolo is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,In today’s matchup, Jared Triolo is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.3% rate (82nd percentile).

,Nico Hoerner is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Batting from the same side that Wilber Dotel throws from, Nico Hoerner has a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Today, Nico Hoerner is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.5% rate (90th percentile).

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 11.8°, Nico Hoerner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.9°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Michael Conforto is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,Michael Conforto has been pinch hit for 32% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

,Michael Conforto pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 76th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 17.1°, Michael Conforto has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.7°) over the past 14 days.

,Wilber Dotel will hold the platoon advantage against Seiya Suzuki in today’s game.

,Seiya Suzuki has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 10% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last 7 days.

,Seiya Suzuki’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 92.6-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 85.4-mph in the last week.

,Over the past 7 days, Seiya Suzuki’s 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45%.

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