Padres vs Cardinals match player stats Tuesday, August 27th 2024. San Diego Padres at St. Louis Cardinals Series Game 2

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Padres vs Cardinals match player stats Tuesday, August 27th 2024. San Diego Padres at St. Louis Cardinals Series Game 2

SD @ STL

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Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

San Diego Padres at St. Louis Cardinals
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Tuesday, August 27th
27/08/24 19:45:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Padres vs Cardinals Series Game 2 Series Game 2 Matchup Today

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in the league.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the hottest temperature on the slate at 95°.

Jurickson Profar has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last year’s 86.5-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

Checking in at the 80th percentile, Xander Bogaerts sits with a .270 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today’s matchup.

Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Alec Burleson’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Alec Burleson is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Pedro Pages has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Brendan Donovan’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an advantage today.

Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Lars Nootbaar has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease today.

David Peralta’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, David Peralta will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

David Peralta hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Jake Cronenworth will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Compared to last year, Jurickson Profar has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 42% to 47.1% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Carpenter in the 84th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Matt Carpenter will have an edge in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Matt Carpenter will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Paul Goldschmidt will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Paul Goldschmidt’s true offensive ability to be a .333, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .041 difference between that figure and his actual .292 wOBA.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 17.2°, Nolan Arenado has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.8°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Posting a .270 batting average this year, Nolan Arenado has performed in the 80th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Alec Burleson ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

It may be wise to expect worse results for the San Diego Padres offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

The #3 venue in MLB for suppressing home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

The 2nd-deepest RF fences among all parks are found in Busch Stadium.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Miles Mikolas will hold that advantage today.

Miles Mikolas was firing on all cylinders in his last game started and gave up 0 ER.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

David Peralta’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 46.8% to 55.4%.

Matt Carpenter has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 6.7% seasonal rate to 40% over the past 7 days.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Alec Burleson will hold that advantage today.

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage today.

Matt Carpenter’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 15.6% on the season to 40% in the last week.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Placing in the 81st percentile of THE BAT X’s Spray Score this year, Pedro Pages demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields – a crucial ability for achieving a high batting average.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky this year, compiling a .301 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .028 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the best batter in MLB when it comes to his batting average ability.

Luis Arraez is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Luis Arraez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today’s game.

Jake Cronenworth’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 16.7% on the season to 31.3% in the past 7 days.

Masyn Winn has notched a .275 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Grading out in the 84th percentile, Masyn Winn sports a .275 batting average this year.

Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

David Peralta’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 12.8% to 18%.

Jurickson Profar’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, going from 47.1% on the season to 62.5% in the past 7 days.

Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Victor Scott will have the upper hand today.

Victor Scott hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Victor Scott will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the past 7 days, Manny Machado’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.9-mph over the course of the season to 98.6-mph lately.

Victor Scott has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 3.9% seasonal rate to 10% in the past two weeks.

In the last week, Brendan Donovan’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.2% up to 17.6%.

Collectively, San Diego Padres bats have excelled as far as hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to best-produce base hits (between -4° and 26°), placing best in Major League Baseball.

Jackson Merrill has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.6% seasonal rate to 16.2% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

When it comes to plate discipline, Luis Arraez’s talent is quite strong, posting a 1.49 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 93rd percentile.

By putting up a .315 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Luis Arraez finds himself in the 99th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Dylan Cease’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 94th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the league right now.

Dylan Cease has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, recording 10.9 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average pitcher.

Projected catcher Kyle Higashioka projects as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Dylan Cease projects as the 9th-best pitcher in baseball right now when assessing his strikeout ability, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In his previous start, Dylan Cease performed well and notched 7 strikeouts.

Dylan Cease’s 96.3-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a significant 1.4-mph increase from last season’s 94.9-mph figure.

Negative Match Player Stats with Padres vs Cardinals Series Game 2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the 3rd-worst stadium in the game for left-handed home runs.

The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will bat from his worse side (0) today against Miles Mikolas, Jurickson Profar pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jurickson Profar in today’s game.

Over the last two weeks, Jurickson Profar’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 0%.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Mason McCoy ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mason McCoy is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

Busch Stadium ranks as the #27 field in baseball for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Busch Stadium has the 5th-largest outfield in the league — generally bad for dingers.

Miles Mikolas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mason McCoy in today’s matchup.

Batting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Xander Bogaerts has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 5% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 7 days.

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jackson Merrill in today’s game.

Despite posting a .341 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jackson Merrill has had positive variance on his side given the .014 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .327.

Alec Burleson has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Over the last 7 days, Alec Burleson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%.

Over the last 7 days, Alec Burleson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14%.

When it comes to his home runs, Alec Burleson has experienced some positive variance this year. His 26.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.1.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Pages in the 25th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Hitting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, Pedro Pages faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.251) suggests that Pedro Pages has experienced some positive variance this year with his .287 actual wOBA.

Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Brendan Donovan has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Brendan Donovan’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (9°) is quite a bit lower than his 12.3° figure last year.

Brendan Donovan has averaged 11.7 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 24th percentile for power.

Mason McCoy will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

David Peralta is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

This year, David Peralta has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 30% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for David Peralta today.

David Peralta has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last 7 days.

Jake Cronenworth has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake Cronenworth in today’s matchup.

Jake Cronenworth has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph dropping to 86.9-mph in the past 14 days.

Miles Mikolas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado today.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Manny Machado in today’s game.

Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 17.7% to 11.8%.

In the past two weeks, Manny Machado’s 6.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.8%.

Matt Carpenter is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

This year, Matt Carpenter has been pulled from the game early in 24% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Matt Carpenter pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

Matt Carpenter’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 85.2-mph seasonal average has dropped to 74.4-mph in the past 7 days.

Paul Goldschmidt has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

Dylan Cease will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Goldschmidt in today’s game.

In the last 7 days, Paul Goldschmidt’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.5% down to 0%.

Paul Goldschmidt’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 95.2-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 85.5-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Nolan Arenado’s BABIP skill is projected in the 6th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Dylan Cease will hold the platoon advantage against Nolan Arenado today.

Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.8% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 88.8-mph EV last season has fallen off to 85.8-mph.

Nolan Arenado’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 89.7-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 81.7-mph over the past week.

Alec Burleson has shown some bad exit velocity indicators in recent games, averaging just 102.8-mph on the top 5% of his batted balls in the last 14 days.

Adrian Johnson projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches in today’s game.

Miles Mikolas has relied on his curveball 8.3% less often this year (11.7%) than he did last year (20%).

Miles Mikolas has notched a 7% Swinging Strike% this year, checking in at the 1st percentile.

In terms of plate discipline, Jackson Merrill’s ability is quite poor, posting a 3.84 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 19th percentile.

David Peralta’s launch angle in recent games (-3° over the last 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 9.1° seasonal angle.

Matt Carpenter’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his home run talent, Masyn Winn ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, Masyn Winn faces a tough challenge today.

Masyn Winn has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 89.7-mph average last season has dropped to 87.4-mph.

In today’s game, Luis Arraez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.8% rate (93rd percentile).

Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Luis Arraez has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.2-mph dropping to 82.4-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 89.6-mph mark last year has dropped to 87.5-mph.

In the past week’s worth of games, Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 87.4 mph to 83.5 mph.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 13.2°, Masyn Winn has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.7°) in the past two weeks.

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Miles Mikolas in the 15th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.

The San Diego Padres (19.3 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone set of batters of all teams on the slate.

Busch Stadium profiles as the #25 park in the league for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Pedro Pages grades out in the 23rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (12% rate this year).

Jake Cronenworth’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (11.4°) is a considerable dropoff from his 14.6° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jurickson Profar’s true offensive talent to be a .321, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .052 gap between that figure and his actual .373 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott in the 18th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Victor Scott is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

Victor Scott’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 90.2-mph seasonal average has decreased to 86.5-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

In the past 7 days, Victor Scott’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.3%.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Victor Scott ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In the past 14 days, Xander Bogaerts’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 89.1 mph to 86 mph.

When estimating his home run skill, Luis Arraez ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Arraez’s launch angle lately (2.9° in the past week’s worth of games) is quite a bit lower than his 13.2° seasonal mark.

Dylan Cease will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Collectively, St. Louis Cardinals batters have excelled when it comes to hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to result the most in base hits (between -4° and 26°), placing 4th-best in baseball.

The St. Louis Cardinals (20.8 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 4th-least strikeout-prone lineup of the day.

Dylan Cease was on point in his last GS and allowed 2 ER.

Latest St. Louis Cardinals Match Player Stats

Latest San Diego Padres Match Player Stats