
ATL @ MIN






Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Tuesday, August 27th
27/08/24 19:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Braves vs Twins Series Game 2 Series Game 2 Matchup Today
Matt Wallner projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Matt Wallner is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.
The #5 field in the league for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.
Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Matt Wallner will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 91st percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Jarred Kelenic will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Simeon Woods Richard today.
The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarred Kelenic has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
As it relates to his home run ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jorge Soler is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Sean Murphy ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Sean Murphy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Edouard Julien is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Edouard Julien will have the upper hand in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Gio Urshela has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.8-mph average to last season’s 87.4-mph EV.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.273) provides evidence that Gio Urshela has had bad variance on his side this year with his .245 actual batting average.
Austin Martin will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Austin Martin’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 53.2% on the season to 71.4% in the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Matt Olson will have the upper hand today.
Matt Olson is likely to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.
Trevor Larnach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Schwellenbach in today’s game.
Orlando Arcia’s launch angle this year (9°) is significantly better than his 5.5° mark last year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 76th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Over the past 7 days, Jarred Kelenic’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.3% up to 14.3%.
Marcell Ozuna projects as the 14th-best home run hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Royce Lewis is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage today.
Max Kepler is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.
Batting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Max Kepler will have an edge today.
Max Kepler will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Ryan Jeffers has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9.7% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the last two weeks.
In the past 7 days, Ryan Jeffers’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91-mph over the course of the season to 105.5-mph lately.
By putting up a 1.79 K/BB rate this year, Austin Martin has shown impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 87th percentile.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jorge Soler’s 11.4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 79th percentile this year.
As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Spencer Schwellenbach in the 92nd percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.
The Minnesota Twins have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Edouard Julien, Matt Wallner, Trevor Larnach).
In his last GS, Spencer Schwellenbach was in good form and accumulated 9 strikeouts.
Among all SPs, Spencer Schwellenbach’s fastball velocity of 95.4 mph ranks in the 93rd percentile this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Spencer Schwellenbach as the 20th-best starter in the majors right now.
The Minnesota Twins have been the 6th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress the rest of the season, Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Simeon Woods Richardson will hold that advantage today.
In his last outing, Simeon Woods Richardson turned in a great performance and put up 7 strikeouts.
Simeon Woods Richardson’s high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (59.5% this year) should work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Matt Wallner has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, improving his 18.8% rate last year to 26.1% this year.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Edouard Julien will hold that advantage in today’s game.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Trevor Larnach will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
In the last 7 days, Trevor Larnach’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.6% down to 0%.
It may be best to expect stronger performance for the Atlanta Braves offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Max Kepler ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his home runs, Max Kepler has had some very poor luck this year. His 12.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.7.
Austin Martin’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Last season, Edouard Julien had an average launch angle of 16.9° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 20.1°.
Edouard Julien’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, going from 16.8% on the season to 30% over the last week.
Rating 2nd-highest in Major League Baseball this year, Minnesota Twins bats as a unit have put up a 14.7° launch angle (a reliable stat to measure the ability to lift the ball for power).
Over the last 14 days, Willi Castro has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 6.9% to 14.3%.
Willi Castro has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 12.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit lower than his 18.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Based on Statcast metrics, Willi Castro ranks in the 82nd percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .342.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Marcell Ozuna has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 98.6-mph average to last season’s 96.5-mph EV.
Royce Lewis’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 12.3% to 21.6%.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Matt Wallner ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jorge Soler has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 21.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is deflated compared to his 24.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Matt Olson’s true offensive talent to be a .345, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .032 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .313 wOBA.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.296) provides evidence that Gio Urshela has had bad variance on his side this year with his .272 actual wOBA.
In the last week’s worth of games, Marcell Ozuna’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.6-mph over the course of the season to 104.2-mph recently.
Negative Match Player Stats with Braves vs Twins Series Game 2
Target Field has the 10th-deepest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball.
Target Field has the 5th-tallest fences in the majors.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 2nd-best pitching conditions on the schedule today.
Matt Wallner has been lucky this year, notching a .413 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .090 discrepancy.
Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Spencer Schwellenbach will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Jeffers today.
Ryan Jeffers pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
In the last 7 days, Willi Castro’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.1%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Willi Castro’s true offensive ability to be a .303, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .023 deviation between that figure and his actual .326 wOBA.
Jarred Kelenic is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Jarred Kelenic has been pulled from the game early 11% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.
Jarred Kelenic hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Simeon Woods Richard will hold the platoon advantage over Jorge Soler today.
Jorge Soler pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jorge Soler in today’s matchup.
Simeon Woods Richard will hold the platoon advantage over Sean Murphy in today’s game.
Sean Murphy pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Sean Murphy in today’s matchup.
Edouard Julien has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (68% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
Edouard Julien has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Edouard Julien’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 93.3-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 77.2-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Gio Urshela is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Simeon Woods Richard will hold the platoon advantage against Gio Urshela today.
When estimating his home run skill, Austin Martin ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Austin Martin is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
Spencer Schwellenbach will have the handedness advantage over Austin Martin in today’s matchup.
Sean Murphy has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 9.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matt Olson today.
Matt Olson’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 93.7-mph figure last year has lowered to 91-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Orlando Arcia is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
Simeon Woods Richard will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Orlando Arcia in today’s matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Marcell Ozuna will have a tough matchup today.
Today, Marcell Ozuna is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.5% rate (89th percentile).
Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Spencer Schwellenbach will have the handedness advantage against Royce Lewis today.
Royce Lewis pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Royce Lewis has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph dropping to 83.5-mph over the last week.
Royce Lewis has been lucky this year, putting up a .373 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .336 — a .037 discrepancy.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Max Kepler has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 6.5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last 7 days.
Power-wise, Willi Castro has performed in the 25th percentile, having paced 12.1 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Jorge Soler’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 94.9-mph figure last year has dropped off to 92.4-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Schwellenbach to throw 84 pitches in this game (10th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Clint Vondrak) behind the plate in today’s game.
Spencer Schwellenbach will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Spencer Schwellenbach has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 10.28 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.73 — a 0.54 K/9 gap.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Orlando Arcia ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Target Field grades out as the #6 venue in the league for BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Simeon Woods Richardson is projected to throw 82 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 8th-least on the slate today.
Simeon Woods Richardson has a large reverse platoon split and has the misfortune of facing 7 same-handed bats in this game.
Simeon Woods Richardson’s 2189-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 16th percentile out of all starting pitchers.
Jarred Kelenic will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Utilizing Statcast data, Edouard Julien ranks in the 10th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .216.
Matt Olson has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph dropping to 85.4-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Simeon Woods Richardson was rolling in his last GS and allowed 1 ER.
Max Kepler’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 93.4-mph mark last year has fallen off to 88.9-mph.
Austin Martin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 92nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Over the last 7 days, Austin Martin’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 87.9 mph to 83.9 mph.
Orlando Arcia pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.
In the last week’s worth of games, Willi Castro’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 90.6 mph to 86.9 mph.
Despite posting a .403 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Marcell Ozuna has had some very good luck given the .054 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .349.
When it comes to his home run talent, Gio Urshela ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gio Urshela today.
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