White Sox @ Cardinals Matchup Details

Positives for the Chicago White Sox Game Today

On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 7th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.

,According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today.

,Nathan Church will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

,As a result of his large platoon split, Anthony Kay will have a disadvantage being matched up with 8 batters in the projected lineup of opposing handedness in this matchup.

,Anthony Kay will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,With a 4.95 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that is concerned with the things most within a pitcher’s control), Anthony Kay places in the 15th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Munetaka Murakami as the league’s 2nd-best home run batter.

,Munetaka Murakami is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

,Munetaka Murakami hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Miguel Vargas is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

,Miguel Vargas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jordan Walker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Given Anthony Kay’s large platoon split, Jordan Walker will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.

,Ramon Urias will have the handedness advantage over Anthony Kay in today’s game… and even more favorably, Kay has a large platoon split.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage today.

,Ramon Urias’s launch angle this year (18.5°) is considerably higher than his 13.3° angle last year.

,Thomas Saggese will have the handedness advantage over Anthony Kay in today’s matchup… and the cherry on top, Kay has a large platoon split.

,Thomas Saggese will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Thomas Saggese has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, improving his 5.6% rate last season to 10.7% this season.

,Luisangel Acuna will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Liberatore today.

,Luisangel Acuna has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.2-mph average to last season’s 85.2-mph mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luisangel Acuna’s true offensive talent to be a .277, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .036 gap between that figure and his actual .241 wOBA.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Brenton Doyle will have an edge today.

,Brenton Doyle hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Jose Fermin has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,Given Anthony Kay’s large platoon split, Jose Fermin will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Fermin will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Over the past week, Jose Fermin’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.6%.

,Pedro Pages will hold the platoon advantage against Anthony Kay in today’s game… and moreover, Kay has a large platoon split.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joshua Baez in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Joshua Baez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Given Anthony Kay’s large platoon split, Joshua Baez will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.

,Joshua Baez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,When assessing his home run skill, Joshua Baez ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Braden Montgomery in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Braden Montgomery is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Braden Montgomery’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.3% up to 10%.

,Chase Meidroth is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Chase Meidroth will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Chase Meidroth’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 9.9% to 14.1%.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Randal Grichuk is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Randal Grichuk will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Considering Anthony Kay’s large platoon split, Ivan Herrera will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

,Brenton Doyle’s BABIP talent is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brenton Doyle has been unlucky this year, putting up a .250 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .300 — a .050 deviation.

,Tristan Peters’s launch angle of late (22.6° in the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 18.1° seasonal figure.

,In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Tristan Peters ranks in the 85th percentile with a 18.1° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the majors.

,Tristan Peters has notched a .356 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 89th percentile.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Randal Grichuk’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 13.5% to 16.7%.

,This season, Miguel Vargas has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.7 mph compared to last year’s 91.8 mph mark.

,Leo Bernal is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Leo Bernal will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Leo Bernal has been hot in recent games, posting a 95.5-mph average exit velocity in the past 14 days.

,Munetaka Murakami has posted a .351 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 84th percentile.

,The Chicago White Sox have 6 bats in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today’s game.

,Among all starters, Matthew Liberatore’s fastball spin rate of 2113 rpm ranks in the 6th percentile this year.

,Chicago White Sox hitters as a unit place 3rd- in Major League Baseball for power this year when using their 92.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Matthew Liberatore in the 75th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

,The Chicago White Sox have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Brenton Doyle, Braden Montgomery, Munetaka Murakami, Kyle Teel).

,Ivan Herrera hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Pedro Pages, Thomas Saggese, Joshua Baez).

,Anthony Kay’s high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (60% this year) ought to work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

,Chase Meidroth’s BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Braden Montgomery has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 106.3-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 94.9-mph.

,Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Tristan Peters has posted a .287 batting average this year, checking in at the 95th percentile.

Negatives with the St. Louis Cardinals Game Today

Nathan Church is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Busch Stadium as the 2nd-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.

,Given Anthony Kay’s large platoon split, Nathan Church will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.

,Nathan Church has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Over the last 14 days, Nathan Church’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6% down to 0%.

,The St. Louis Cardinals projected batting order projects as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the worst park in the league for home runs.

,The 2nd-deepest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Busch Stadium.

,In his last outing, Anthony Kay performed well and gave up 2 ER.

,Anthony Kay’s 95.2-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 82nd percentile among all starting pitchers.

,Matthew Liberatore will have the handedness advantage against Munetaka Murakami in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Munetaka Murakami in today’s game.

,Munetaka Murakami has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 19.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last week.

,In the last 14 days, Munetaka Murakami’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 100.1 mph to 97.6 mph.

,Busch Stadium projects as the #29 field in baseball for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Miguel Vargas pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Miguel Vargas will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Jordan Walker has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 13.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week.

,In the last 7 days, Jordan Walker’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 94.3 mph to 85.6 mph.

,Jordan Walker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, going from 14.4% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

,Despite posting a .355 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Walker has had positive variance on his side given the .021 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .334.

,Ramon Urias is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

,35% of the time that Ramon Urias has started against a left-handed starter this year, he has been pinch hit for.

,Busch Stadium has the 5th-most fair ground among all major league parks — generally bad for dingers.

,In notching a .298 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ramon Urias grades out in the 23rd percentile for offensive ability.

,Thomas Saggese is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,This year, Thomas Saggese has been pinch hit for in 30% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound.

,Today, Thomas Saggese is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.5% rate (97th percentile).

,Thomas Saggese has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 10.7% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 5th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Luisangel Acuna is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Luisangel Acuna has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luisangel Acuna in today’s matchup.

,Brenton Doyle is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brenton Doyle in today’s matchup.

,Brenton Doyle’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 93.1-mph average last season has fallen to 87.7-mph.

,Brenton Doyle’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.6% to 7.3%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fermin in the 8th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,When starting against a left-handed starter this year, Jose Fermin has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 14% of the time.

,Jose Fermin pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 97th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.

,Jose Fermin has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86-mph dropping to 81.2-mph in the last 14 days.

,Jose Fermin has been cold of late, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) over the past 14 days.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Pedro Pages ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Pedro Pages is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

,This year, Pedro Pages has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 38% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler.

,Pedro Pages has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

,Joshua Baez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 14% seasonal rate has decreased to 7.7% over the past week.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Joshua Baez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 96 mph to 93.8 mph.

,In the last 7 days, Joshua Baez’s 7.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 22%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joshua Baez’s true offensive talent to be a .312, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .043 gap between that mark and his actual .355 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Church in the 23rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Braden Montgomery will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Matthew Liberatore today.

,Braden Montgomery has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Braden Montgomery in today’s matchup.

,Braden Montgomery has notched a .353 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, placing in the 17th percentile.

,From last year to this one, Ramon Urias’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 44.9% to 33.3%.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Chase Meidroth ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,In today’s game, Chase Meidroth is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.4% rate (96th percentile).

,Chase Meidroth will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Chase Meidroth’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 87.3-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 80.5-mph in the last two weeks.

,Randal Grichuk pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Randal Grichuk will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Randal Grichuk has been lucky this year, compiling a .362 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .317 — a .045 deviation.

,From last season to this one, Ivan Herrera’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 97.3 mph to 89.8 mph.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.3°, Ivan Herrera has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.8°) over the past two weeks.

,By putting up a .245 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Brenton Doyle is positioned in the 19th percentile.

,Tristan Peters is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

,Matthew Liberatore will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tristan Peters in today’s game.

,Tristan Peters pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.2% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

,Tristan Peters will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Leo Bernal pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 79th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.

,Leo Bernal has been cold recently, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) in the last 7 days.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Leo Bernal’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 0% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fermin in the 16th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Kay to throw 84 pitches in today’s game (7th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Munetaka Murakami in the 5th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats across the board, and Matthew Liberatore will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,In his last start, Matthew Liberatore performed well and allowed 1 ER.

,Matthew Liberatore has utilized his slider 5.6% more often this year (26.7%) than he did last season (21.1%).

,Busch Stadium projects as the #27 stadium in the league for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Matthew Liberatore didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out in his previous GS and accumulated 2 Ks.

,Thomas Saggese’s launch angle of late (1° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit lower than his 13.8° seasonal angle.

,Pedro Pages’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 15.1% to 11.6%.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Luisangel Acuna ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Luisangel Acuna’s launch angle this year (1.7°) is significantly lower than his 4.9° figure last year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Chase Meidroth’s true offensive talent to be a .299, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .026 difference between that mark and his actual .325 wOBA.

,Posting a .284 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Chase Meidroth has performed in the 13th percentile for hitting ability.

,Using Statcast data, Jordan Walker ranks in the 7th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .208.

,Over the past 7 days, Tristan Peters’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 91.2 mph to 82.7 mph.

,By putting up a .223 batting average this year, Braden Montgomery is ranked in the 20th percentile.

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