Cardinals vs Cubs match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Sunday, August 16th

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STL @ CHC

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Cardinals @ Cubs Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Sunday, August 16th
Time : 16/08/26 15:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the St. Louis Cardinals Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Alex Bregman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.

,Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.

,This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

,Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (36.4% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,When estimating his home run skill, Michael Conforto ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Michael Conforto will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Dobbins in today’s game.

,The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Conforto can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Conforto will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Edward Cabrera in the 77th percentile among all starters in the league.

,Wrigley Field grades out as the #10 field in the majors for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Edward Cabrera will hold that advantage today.

,Out of all SPs, Edward Cabrera’s fastball velocity of 95.8 mph is in the 87th percentile this year.

,Given the 0.9 disparity between Edward Cabrera’s 8.09 K/9 and his 8.98 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to perform better in the future.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage in today’s game.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,JJ Wetherholt will have the handedness advantage over Edward Cabrera in today’s game.

,Michael Conforto’s launch angle in recent games (28° over the past week) is significantly better than his 18.5° seasonal angle.

,Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences among all parks.

,Carson Kelly will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 12.1°, Carson Kelly has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 30.7° angle over the past week.

,Posting a .340 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Carson Kelly is positioned in the 77th percentile for offensive ability.

,Masyn Winn’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 47.5% on the season to 60% in the last week.

,Nathan Church is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

,Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Nathan Church will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 13°, Nathan Church has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 32.2° mark in the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jimmy Crooks in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Jimmy Crooks will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Jose Fermin pulls many of his flyballs (39.6% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Over the past week, Jose Fermin’s 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.7%.

,Using Statcast data, Jose Fermin ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .284.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Alec Burleson ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Alec Burleson has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last season’s 92.6-mph mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Michael Busch is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Michael Busch will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Dobbins in today’s game.

,Michael Busch is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP.

,In his last start, Edward Cabrera was firing on all cylinders and conceded 0 ER.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Dobbins today.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jordan Walker has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 94.2-mph.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Nico Hoerner has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, grading out in the 95th percentile with a 1.25 K/BB rate.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

,Ivan Herrera has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 95.7-mph over the past 7 days.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jimmy Crooks’s true offensive skill to be a .302, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .051 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .251 wOBA.

,Posting a 1.44 K/BB rate this year, Jose Fermin has shown impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 89th percentile.

,When it comes to his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 14th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nico Hoerner’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 50.7% on the season to 60% over the last 7 days.

,Jimmy Crooks’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 23.6% on the season to 29.4% in the past 14 days.

,The Chicago Cubs projected lineup grades out as the 3rd-strongest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill.

,Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Hunter Dobbins in today’s matchup.

,Masyn Winn has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.1-mph mark.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ian Happ is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Hunter Dobbins.

Negatives with the Chicago Cubs Series Game 3 Game Today

The #8 park in the league for suppressing batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

,Among all major league stadiums, the 7th-tallest fence height (on average) are at Wrigley Field.

,Hunter Dobbins will hold the platoon advantage over Alex Bregman in today’s game.

,Alex Bregman has notched a .230 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Michael Conforto is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.

,When starting against a righty hurler this year, Michael Conforto has been pinch hit for 21% of the time.

,Among all stadiums, Wrigley Field’s RF dimensions are the 5th-deepest.

,Michael Conforto’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 93.3-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 88.5-mph over the past 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Edward Cabrera to be on a bit of a short leash today, projecting a maximum of 79 pitches.

,Nate Tomlinson projects as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone today.

,Edward Cabrera has gone to his slider 5.8% less often this season (11.5%) than he did last year (17.3%).

,The #8 venue in MLB for suppressing batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

,Out of all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alec Burleson today.

,Alec Burleson has been lucky this year, posting a .358 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .335 — a .023 difference.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for JJ Wetherholt today.

,JJ Wetherholt has posted a .268 BABIP this year, placing in the 19th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 17th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Carson Kelly is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

,Hunter Dobbins will hold the platoon advantage against Carson Kelly today.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Carson Kelly’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%.

,Carson Kelly’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 87-mph seasonal average has dropped to 80.1-mph over the past two weeks.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Masyn Winn ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Masyn Winn is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Batting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Masyn Winn faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nathan Church in today’s game.

,Hitting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Jordan Walker faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Jordan Walker will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Jordan Walker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, decreasing from 13.1% on the season to 6.7% over the last 7 days.

,Jimmy Crooks is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.

,Batting from the same side that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Seiya Suzuki encounters a tough challenge today.

,Seiya Suzuki has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 16.9% rate last season has decreased to 10.3% this year.

,Seiya Suzuki’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 91.5-mph mark last season has lowered to 88.9-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fermin in the 9th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Jose Fermin is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

,Edward Cabrera will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Fermin in today’s matchup.

,Michael Busch has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week.

,In the past two weeks, Michael Busch’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 91.9 mph to 86.7 mph.

,The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 10th-best ballpark in the league for BABIP.

,When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Hunter Dobbins in the 21st percentile among all SPs in the majors.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Dobbins to throw 80 pitches in this matchup (3rd-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph dropping to 84.9-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong has been lucky this year, putting up a .391 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .340 — a .051 discrepancy.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 20th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Over the past 7 days, Nathan Church’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.1% down to 0%.

,Nathan Church’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 86-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 82.1-mph over the past 7 days.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nico Hoerner is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.

,Hunter Dobbins will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nico Hoerner in today’s game.

,Nico Hoerner has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Edward Cabrera will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ivan Herrera in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ivan Herrera today.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jimmy Crooks today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fermin in the 19th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Jose Fermin will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,This year, Ivan Herrera’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 11.5% last year to just 5.9% this year.

,From last season to this one, Ivan Herrera’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 97.3 mph to 89.5 mph.

,Jimmy Crooks has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past two weeks.

,It may be best to expect worse numbers for the Chicago Cubs offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

,The 7.3% Barrel% of the Chicago Cubs grades them out as the #24 team in Major League Baseball this year by this metric.

,Michael Busch’s launch angle in recent games (7.4° in the past week) is considerably worse than his 14.8° seasonal angle.

,In today’s matchup, Masyn Winn is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.2% rate (75th percentile).

,Today, Ian Happ is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.4% rate (84th percentile).

,Over the past 14 days, Ian Happ’s 4.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.2%.

,Ian Happ’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 48.4% to 35.8%.

,Ian Happ has compiled a .216 batting average this year, grading out in the 13th percentile.

,Over the last two weeks, Nico Hoerner’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 86.3 mph to 83.9 mph.

,Over the last 14 days, Ian Happ’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11% down to 4.3%.

,Jordan Walker has been lucky this year, putting up a .357 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .334 — a .023 gap.

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