Mets vs Padres match player stats Sunday, August 25th 2024. New York Mets at San Diego Padres Series Game 4

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Mets vs Padres match player stats Sunday, August 25th 2024. New York Mets at San Diego Padres Series Game 4

NYM @ SD

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Positive Match Player Stats for Mets vs Padres Series Game 4

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

Petco Park profiles as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Petco Park.

Among all stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Donovan Solano is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Donovan Solano will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his home run ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mark Vientos has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Mark Vientos will have the handedness advantage over Martin Perez in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, J.D. Martinez will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Mason McCoy will have the upper hand today.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Mason McCoy will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Merrill has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 4th-best stadium in the game for lefty home runs.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Brandon Nimmo has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 93.8-mph.

As it relates to his batting average, Brandon Nimmo has suffered from bad luck this year. His .227 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .250.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Starling Marte will hold the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today’s game.

Starling Marte has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.2-mph average to last year’s 88.1-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the league’s 17th-best home run batter.

Pete Alonso is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Donovan Solano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Harrison Bader will have an advantage today.

Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

Manny Machado will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana in today’s game.

Starling Marte has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .322 mark is quite a bit lower than his .344 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

The switch-hitting Bryce Johnson will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jose Quintana.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Bryce Johnson will hold that advantage today.

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Andy Fletcher) in charge of the strike zone in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 4th-best stadium in the league for home runs.

Over his previous 3 GS, Martin Perez has experienced a substantial decrease in his fastball spin rate: from 1981 rpm over the entire season to 1926 rpm in recent games.

Hitting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Jose Iglesias will have an edge in today’s game.

Sporting a .373 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jose Iglesias has performed in the 94th percentile.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Jurickson Profar will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Jose Quintana today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Francisco Alvarez (the Mets’s expected catcher in today’s game) is considered to be a good pitch framer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 7th-best ballpark in the majors for strikeouts.

Jose Quintana has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 7 opposite-handed bats in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

In notching a .336 batting average this year, Jose Iglesias is ranked in the 98th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Martin Perez.

In the last week, Francisco Lindor’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.3% up to 31.6%.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

J.D. Martinez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph to 95.5-mph over the last 14 days.

In the last two weeks, J.D. Martinez’s 53.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.4%.

The San Diego Padres projected offense projects as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.

The San Diego Padres have been the 6th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in future games, Starling Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 42.4% to 50.3%.

In terms of his batting average, Starling Marte has had bad variance on his side this year. His .278 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .299.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Mark Vientos has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 97.8-mph over the last two weeks.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.284) suggests that Bryce Johnson has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .242 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Alonso in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Pete Alonso will hold the platoon advantage over Martin Perez today.

Pete Alonso has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 97.1-mph in the last week.

Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have the upper hand today.

Negative Match Player Stats with Mets vs Padres Series Game 4

The weather forecast forecasts the 5th-most suitable pitching weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Among every team in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.

Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

Donovan Solano’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 90.2-mph average last year has lowered to 86.7-mph.

Donovan Solano’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 17.3% to 12.2%.

As it relates to his batting average, Donovan Solano has been very fortunate this year. His .309 BA has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .270.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Mark Vientos today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mark Vientos’s true offensive skill to be a .319, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .058 gap between that figure and his actual .377 wOBA.

J.D. Martinez has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

J.D. Martinez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Jurickson Profar has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 7.9% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 14 days.

Jurickson Profar’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 92.2-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 86.5-mph in the past week.

Jurickson Profar’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, going from 15.8% on the season to 11.4% in the last two weeks.

Despite posting a .372 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jurickson Profar has been very fortunate given the .051 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mason McCoy in the 0th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Mason McCoy is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

Petco Park profiles as the #23 stadium in the majors for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jose Quintana will hold the platoon advantage over Jackson Merrill today.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 15.8°, Mark Vientos’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (10.4° in the past 14 days).

Jackson Merrill has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 18th percentile with a 4.03 K/BB rate.

Martin Perez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Nimmo in today’s game.

Starling Marte has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Starling Marte is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.8% rate (82nd percentile).

Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant decline in Pete Alonso’s launch angle from last year’s 17.9° to 14.5° this year.

In the last two weeks, Pete Alonso’s 11.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.1%.

Xander Bogaerts’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 91.3-mph EV last year has fallen off to 89.3-mph.

Over the past 14 days, Xander Bogaerts’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 89.3 mph to 86.1 mph.

Xander Bogaerts’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, decreasing from 43.5% on the season to 31.4% in the last 14 days.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.252) may lead us to conclude that Xander Bogaerts has experienced some positive variance this year with his .270 actual batting average.

The #4 venue in MLB for suppressing BABIP to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Harrison Bader is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Harrison Bader today.

Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 17.7% to 11.8%.

Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, falling from 11.8% on the season to 5.7% over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 22nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Harrison Bader has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 6.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past two weeks.

When estimating his home run skill, Bryce Johnson ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryce Johnson is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

It may be smart to expect weaker performance for the New York Mets offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

Projected catcher Kyle Higashioka projects as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Martin Perez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brandon Nimmo today.

In the last 14 days, Brandon Nimmo’s 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.8%.

J.D. Martinez’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 93.4-mph figure last year has fallen to 91.1-mph.

When estimating his home run skill, Jose Iglesias ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Iglesias is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Jose Iglesias will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Jose Iglesias’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 82.1-mph seasonal average has decreased to 75.1-mph over the last two weeks.

Bryce Johnson’s footspeed has fallen off this season. His 28.8 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.73 ft/sec now.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.0) implies that Brandon Nimmo has been very fortunate this year with his 20.4 actual HR/600.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the San Diego Padres with a 19.4% underlying K%.

Jose Quintana will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Among all starting pitchers, Jose Quintana’s fastball velocity of 90.1 mph grades out in the 5th percentile this year.

Out of all starting pitchers, Jose Quintana’s fastball spin rate of 2065 rpm is in the 11th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Martin Perez in the 18th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

Martin Perez wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out in his last start and put up 2 Ks.

Martin Perez’s 2038.8-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season ranks in the 11th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Xander Bogaerts has recorded a .161 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, placing in the 10th percentile.

When it comes to his home run talent, Donovan Solano ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Bryce Johnson ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

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