Reds vs Pirates match player stats Sunday, August 25th 2024. Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Series Game 4

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Reds vs Pirates match player stats Sunday, August 25th 2024. Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Series Game 4

CIN @ PIT

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Positive Match Player Stats for Reds vs Pirates Series Game 4

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 87°.

Spencer Steer’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 15.7% on the season to 25% over the past two weeks.

Ji Hwan Bae’s BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Ji Hwan Bae will have an edge in today’s game.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 10th-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.

Will Benson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Ortiz in today’s game… and moreover, Ortiz has a huge platoon split.

Last year, Will Benson had an average launch angle of 14.5° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 18.7°.

Will Benson’s 11.9% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) ranks in the 83rd percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Billy McKinney will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Billy McKinney will hold that advantage today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.345) implies that Billy McKinney has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .312 actual wOBA.

Billy McKinney’s 94-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to assess power) ranks in the 78th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Nick Martinez.

Rowdy Tellez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Rowdy Tellez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Bryan De La Cruz will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Last season, Bryan De La Cruz had an average launch angle of 12.3° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17.2°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage today.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Santiago Espinal’s 68.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.3%.

Considering Luis Ortiz’s huge platoon split, Dominic Smith will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

This season, Dominic Smith has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.7 mph compared to last year’s 91.5 mph mark.

When it comes to his home runs, Dominic Smith has experienced some negative variance this year. His 12.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 19.9.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future, Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nick Martinez in today’s matchup.

Nick Martinez gave up a whopping 6 earned runs in his last start.

Dominic Smith has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 18.1° figure is among the highest in the majors this year (92nd percentile).

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Luis Ortiz… and even better, Ortiz has a huge platoon split.

As it relates to plate discipline, Spencer Steer’s skill is quite strong, putting up a 1.95 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 79th percentile.

Ji Hwan Bae will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Ji Hwan Bae has made big strides with his Barrel%, improving his 2.2% rate last year to 14.6% this year.

T.J. Friedl is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.

T.J. Friedl will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Ortiz today… and even better, Ortiz has a huge platoon split.

T.J. Friedl has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 88.8-mph average to last year’s 86.7-mph EV.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jonathan India ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Jonathan India’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 16.6% on the season to 23.5% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

Tyler Stephenson has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.7-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.6-mph figure.

Tyler Stephenson has posted a .304 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge today.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 12.9% to 16.8%.

Luis Ortiz’s 94.3-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a big 1-mph decline from last season’s 95.3-mph figure.

With a 1.16 disparity between Luis Ortiz’s 3.56 ERA and his 4.72 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league this year and figures to see worse results the rest of the season.

Luis Ortiz has posted a .253 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the luckiest hurlers in the game on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

Placing 2nd-highest in MLB this year, Cincinnati Reds batters jointly have notched a 16.1° launch angle on their hardest-contacted balls (an advanced stat to evaluate power ability).

As it relates to his home run talent, Will Benson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In his previous GS, Luis Ortiz was in good form and notched 7 strikeouts.

Luis Ortiz’s cutter utilization has increased by 20.6% from last year to this one (0.3% to 20.9%) .

Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

T.J. Friedl’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (10.7°) is significantly higher than his 5.8° angle last season.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Joey Bart has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (62% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Joey Bart will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Elly De La Cruz has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.1-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 91.9-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Bryan Reynolds will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Jared Triolo has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 4.8% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 14 days.

Jared Triolo’s launch angle recently (26° over the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 10.7° seasonal angle.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.301) suggests that Jared Triolo has experienced some negative variance this year with his .260 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Negative Match Player Stats with Reds vs Pirates Series Game 4

PNC Park ranks as the #22 stadium in the majors for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In MLB, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.

Luis Ortiz will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Steer in today’s matchup… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Ortiz’s huge platoon split.

Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Spencer Steer today.

Ji Hwan Bae is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

Today, Ji Hwan Bae is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 41.8% rate (99th percentile).

In the last 7 days, Ji Hwan Bae’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39%.

Ranking in the 5th percentile, Ji Hwan Bae has posted a .258 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Ji Hwan Bae has compiled a .219 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 17th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 5th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Will Benson is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.

32% of the time that Will Benson has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

PNC Park has the 8th-most fair ground in the league — generally bad for dingers.

Jared Triolo is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

Nick Martinez will have the handedness advantage over Jared Triolo in today’s game.

Jared Triolo’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (5.4°) is significantly worse than his 12.4° angle last year.

Billy McKinney is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

The #9 venue in the game for suppressing home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.

Bryan Reynolds has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 3.1% over the last two weeks.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 8.8°, Bryan Reynolds has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.8°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Ji Hwan Bae has paced 5.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 6th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Rowdy Tellez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 23% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Rowdy Tellez has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph dropping to 86.1-mph over the last 14 days.

Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Nick Martinez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan De La Cruz in today’s matchup.

Bryan De La Cruz has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week.

When estimating his home run skill, Santiago Espinal ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Santiago Espinal is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Considering Luis Ortiz’s huge platoon split, Santiago Espinal will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.

Dominic Smith is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

25% of the time that Dominic Smith has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Dominic Smith today.

David Rackley grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping today.

The #7 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.

The 9th-deepest left field fences among all stadiums are found in PNC Park.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Nick Martinez must realize this, because he has relied on his non-fastballs a lot this year: 59.7% of the time, grading out in the 78th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Martinez to throw 66 pitches in today’s game (3rd-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 4th-worst ballpark in the game for strikeouts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 5th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Nick Martinez will hold the platoon advantage over Isiah Kiner-Falefa today.

There has been a decrease in Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s average exit velocity this season, from 88.8 mph last year to 85.5 mph now, Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, posting a .354 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .021 disparity.

Will Benson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Spencer Steer’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 92.1-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 89.9-mph over the past two weeks.

In the past 14 days, Spencer Steer’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ji Hwan Bae in the 11th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Billy McKinney in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Friedl in the 9th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

T.J. Friedl will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

T.J. Friedl’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (4.7° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is quite a bit worse than his 10.7° seasonal mark.

T.J. Friedl has been lucky this year, notching a .313 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .300 — a .013 deviation.

Luis Ortiz will have the handedness advantage against Jonathan India in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Ortiz’s huge platoon split.

Jonathan India pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jonathan India today.

Ranking in the 6th percentile, Jared Triolo has posted a .260 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

From last year to this one, Rowdy Tellez’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16.1% to 11.9%.

When it comes to his batting average, Dominic Smith has had positive variance on his side this year. His .234 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .212.

Jonathan India’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 87.5-mph seasonal average has fallen to 83.3-mph in the past week.

Jonathan India’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 92.4-mph EV last year has fallen off to 90.1-mph.

Considering Luis Ortiz’s huge platoon split, Tyler Stephenson will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tyler Stephenson today.

Tyler Stephenson has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past week.

In the past 7 days, Tyler Stephenson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15%.

Oneil Cruz has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 17.3% seasonal rate has fallen off to 3.8% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Oneil Cruz’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 94.9-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 92.7-mph over the last two weeks.

Oneil Cruz’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (-3.7° in the last two weeks) is considerably worse than his 9.9° seasonal figure.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Luis Ortiz will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been very fortunate this year. His .314 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .286.

In terms of plate discipline, Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s skill is quite bad, putting up a 3.73 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 22nd percentile.

Batting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Joey Bart meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Joey Bart is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.9% rate (80th percentile).

Joey Bart has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 81.4-mph in the past week.

As it relates to plate discipline, Bryan De La Cruz’s talent is quite poor, putting up a 5.12 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 6th percentile.

Joey Bart’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, going from 9.8% on the season to 6.5% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joey Bart’s true offensive ability to be a .307, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .060 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .367 wOBA.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Santiago Espinal in today’s matchup.

Santiago Espinal’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 87.6-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 74.1-mph in the last 14 days.

In terms of plate discipline, Oneil Cruz’s ability is quite weak, sporting a 3.94 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 19th percentile.

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