Mets vs Padres match player stats Friday, August 23rd 2024. New York Mets at San Diego Padres Series Game 2

Mets vs Padres match player stats Friday, August 23rd 2024. New York Mets at San Diego Padres Series Game 2

NYM @ SD

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Positive Match Player Stats for Mets vs Padres Series Game 2

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all parks.

Pete Alonso has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 12.5% seasonal rate to 18.5% in the past 14 days.

In the past 14 days, Pete Alonso’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.1-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph recently.

Petco Park grades out as the #4 park in the league for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 4th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Paul Blackburn in today’s game.

Paul Blackburn’s 91.3-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 24th percentile out of all SPs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage over Joe Musgrove today.

Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

In the last week, Jeff McNeil’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3% up to 11.1%.

Jeff McNeil’s launch angle in recent games (21.6° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 15.4° seasonal mark.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Petco Park profiles as the #4 stadium in the game for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Petco Park ranks as the #4 venue in the game for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Kyle Higashioka has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.7-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.9-mph average.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Jurickson Profar will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Higashioka in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Francisco Lindor’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13% up to 26.3%.

As it relates to his home run skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Francisco Alvarez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 101.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 89.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the best batter in the game when it comes to his batting average ability.

Luis Arraez is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Paul Blackburn throws from, Luis Arraez will have an advantage today.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luis Arraez stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

When assessing his home run ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mark Vientos is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Pete Alonso projects as the 13th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Jackson Merrill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Blackburn in today’s game.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Merrill has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Batting from the opposite that Paul Blackburn throws from, David Peralta will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so David Peralta has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

David Peralta hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Paul Blackburn has averaged 93.5 adjusted pitches per start this year, placing in the 83rd percentile.

Petco Park grades out as the #7 ballpark in baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kyle Higashioka’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 17.5% to 25.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mark Vientos has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last year to 15.7% this season.

Mark Vientos has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 98.5-mph over the last 14 days.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peralta in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and David Peralta will hold that advantage today.

Francisco Alvarez has recorded a .327 BABIP this year, placing in the 83rd percentile.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Manny Machado has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal mark of 92.5-mph.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 92nd percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .359.

In notching a .367 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jurickson Profar has performed in the 92nd percentile.

Francisco Lindor’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (18.6°) is quite a bit higher than his 13.4° figure last season.

Over the past week, Francisco Lindor’s 31.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.6%.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Xander Bogaerts has recorded a .272 batting average this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Joe Musgrove in the 81st percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

Projected catcher Kyle Higashioka projects as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage over Joe Musgrove in today’s game.

In the last week’s worth of games, Brandon Nimmo’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.4% up to 18.2%.

The 9.1% Barrel% of the New York Mets ranks them as the #5 team in the game this year by this metric.

New York Mets hitters collectively have been one of the best in MLB this year (6th-) as it relates to their 89.2-mph average exit velocity.

Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Paul Blackburn in today’s matchup.

Jake Cronenworth is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.

Negative Match Player Stats with Mets vs Padres Series Game 2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the worst stadium in MLB for righty BABIP.

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Batting from the same side that Joe Musgrove throws from, Pete Alonso encounters a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Pete Alonso in today’s matchup.

It may be smart to expect negative regression for the San Diego Padres offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 4th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Francisco Alvarez (the Mets’s expected catcher in today’s game) grades out as a good pitch framer.

In his previous outing, Paul Blackburn performed well and conceded 1 ER.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Paul Blackburn has used his off-speed and breaking balls 5.6% more often this season (67%) than he did last year (61.4%).

Jeff McNeil is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.

The #1 venue in the majors for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Jeff McNeil will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Nimmo today.

Over the last 14 days, Brandon Nimmo’s 23.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Higashioka in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Kyle Higashioka is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

22% of the time that Kyle Higashioka has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Paul Blackburn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Higashioka in today’s matchup.

Brandon Nimmo has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 20.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably higher than his 17.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Jurickson Profar will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Paul Blackburn today.

Jurickson Profar pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Jurickson Profar’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.9% down to 0%.

In the last 14 days, Kyle Higashioka’s 18.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 25.6%.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will bat from his worse side against Joe Musgrove in this game.

Francisco Lindor pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Lindor in today’s matchup.

Francisco Alvarez is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

Joe Musgrove will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Francisco Alvarez in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Alvarez in today’s matchup.

Francisco Alvarez’s launch angle this year (6.1°) is quite a bit worse than his 12.3° mark last year.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 89.6-mph figure last season has dropped to 87.6-mph.

When estimating his home run talent, Luis Arraez ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (1.0) may lead us to conclude that Luis Arraez has had some very good luck this year with his 3.4 actual HR/600.

When it comes to power, Luis Arraez is ranked in the 3rd percentile, having averaged 2.8 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 13th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Batting from the same side that Joe Musgrove throws from, Mark Vientos will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mark Vientos today.

Mark Vientos has been lucky this year, compiling a .372 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .054 deviation.

Paul Blackburn will have the handedness advantage over Manny Machado today.

Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 17.7% to 11.7%.

Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, going from 11.7% on the season to 0% over the past week.

Hitting from the same side that Paul Blackburn throws from, Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Xander Bogaerts’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 91.3-mph EV last season has decreased to 89.1-mph.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Xander Bogaerts’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 89.1 mph to 84.9 mph.

Posting a .163 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Xander Bogaerts grades out in the 12th percentile.

Over the past week, Xander Bogaerts’s 18.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.5%.

Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jackson Merrill’s true offensive ability to be a .325, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .015 difference between that mark and his actual .340 wOBA.

David Peralta is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

31% of the time that David Peralta has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.

The San Diego Padres (19.3 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone team of hitters on the slate.

Paul Blackburn has recorded an 18.6% strikeout rate this year, placing in the 23rd percentile.

Sporting a 3.94 K/BB rate this year, Jackson Merrill has displayed poor plate discipline, checking in at the 20th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 25th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Joe Musgrove in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching skills.

It may be sensible to expect negative regression for the New York Mets offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 7th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

Joe Musgrove will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats in all categories.

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