San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks match player stats | Series Game 3 Sunday, September 29th

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San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks match player stats | Series Game 3 Sunday, September 29th

SD @ ARI

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Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 29th
29/09/24 15:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Padres vs D-Backs Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense.

The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage today.

In notching a .285 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Jake McCarthy grades out in the 92nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Given Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Tyler Wade will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Tyler Wade has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .255 mark is a good deal lower than his .291 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the 2nd-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Arraez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-best field in baseball for RHB batting average.

Compared to his seasonal average of 13.9°, Donovan Solano has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 38° angle in the past week.

The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will bat from his bad side (0) today against Michael King, Geraldo Perdomo will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

By putting up a 1.75 K/BB rate this year, Geraldo Perdomo has shown good plate discipline, placing in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Michael King will have the handedness advantage against Gabriel Moreno in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.

When assessing his home run talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

Batting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Christian Walker faces a tough challenge today.

When estimating his batting average ability, Jackson Merrill is projected as the 20th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Merrill has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (89% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peralta in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

David Peralta is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Josh Bell will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Ketel Marte projects as the 14th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

In comparison to his 86.5-mph average last year, Jurickson Profar’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91 mph.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

When it comes to his home run talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael King will hold the platoon advantage against Eugenio Suarez today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 10th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 14.9% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last week’s worth of games.

The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Michael King will hold the platoon advantage over Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today’s game.

Michael King will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randal Grichuk today.

Last year, Nick Ahmed had an average launch angle of 11.7° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 15.8°.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Donovan Solano has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal EV of 91.2-mph.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Michael King, The 5th-best projected offense of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Stu Scheurwater) calling pitches today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in the majors for BABIP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Xander Bogaerts has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph to 93.8-mph over the last 7 days.

Jake Cronenworth will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt today… and the cherry on top, Pfaadt has a large platoon split.

Corbin Carroll will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today’s matchup… and moreover, Pfaadt has a large platoon split.

Given Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Luis Arraez will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

Luis Arraez’s launch angle recently (27° over the past week) is significantly higher than his 13.5° seasonal figure.

Eugenio Suarez has big-time power (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (28.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Martin Perez doesn’t generate many whiffs (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Gabriel Moreno will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Brandon Pfaadt’s sinker rate has increased by 12% from last season to this one (9.9% to 21.9%) .

Considering Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, David Peralta will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

Over the past 7 days, David Peralta’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 14.3%.

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Brandon Pfaadt in the 82nd percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.

Out of all starters, Brandon Pfaadt’s fastball spin rate of 2557 rpm ranks in the 98th percentile this year.

Grading out in the 78th percentile, Brandon Pfaadt has compiled a 25.3% Strikeout% this year.

Negative Match Player Stats with Padres vs D-Backs Series Game 3

When estimating his home run talent, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake McCarthy is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF fences among all stadiums.

Jake McCarthy will have the handedness advantage over Michael King in today’s game.

Jake McCarthy’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 84.4-mph seasonal average has lowered to 80.4-mph in the last 14 days.

The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will bat from his worse side (0) today against Brandon Pfaadt… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Pfaadt’s large platoon split.

Jurickson Profar pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of every team on the slate today.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jurickson Profar today.

Jurickson Profar’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 92-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 86.5-mph over the past 14 days.

When it comes to his home run ability, Tyler Wade ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler Wade is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Chase Field profiles as the #29 venue in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tyler Wade in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Arraez in today’s matchup.

Luis Arraez’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 88.3-mph average last season has dropped off to 86.2-mph.

Luis Arraez has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.2-mph dropping to 78.5-mph over the last week.

Donovan Solano is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Considering Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Donovan Solano will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.

Today, Donovan Solano is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.5% rate (97th percentile).

Donovan Solano will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

When it comes to his home run skill, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

The #1 venue in the game for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

In the past 14 days, Geraldo Perdomo’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 88.3 mph to 85.8 mph.

Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

In today’s game, Gabriel Moreno is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 41.5% rate (98th percentile).

Gabriel Moreno has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

In the past 7 days, Gabriel Moreno’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.3%.

Gabriel Moreno has paced 9.1 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 11th percentile for power.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake Cronenworth in today’s game.

Jake Cronenworth has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph dropping to 86.2-mph over the last 14 days.

Jake Cronenworth has notched a .276 BABIP this year, grading out in the 24th percentile.

Christian Walker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, falling from 17.3% on the season to 7.9% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Tyler Wade is an extreme groundball batter and faces the strong infield defense of Arizona (#2-best of all teams on the slate).

Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Jackson Merrill has been lucky this year, compiling a .349 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .335 — a .014 deviation.

David Peralta hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

David Peralta will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

David Peralta has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph dropping to 83.2-mph in the past week.

David Peralta’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 49.2% on the season to 14.3% in the last week.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Tyler Wade ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Josh Bell has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (99% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Josh Bell has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

Josh Bell has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .316 figure is a fair amount higher than his .291 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Josh Bell ranks in just the 24th percentile with a 10.1° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in baseball.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (28.3) provides evidence that Ketel Marte has experienced some positive variance this year with his 36.6 actual HR/600.

In the past 7 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.9% down to 0%.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 91.6-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 77.6-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 15.4°, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.8°) over the past two weeks.

When it comes to his batting average, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has had some very good luck this year. His .278 BA has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .262.

Randal Grichuk has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .290 mark is quite a bit higher than his .255 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The standard deviation of Randal Grichuk’s launch angle this year (31.4°) is in the 6th percentile. A high figure like this tends to lead to a lower batting average on balls in play.

Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

Eugenio Suarez has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph dropping to 82.9-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Elias Diaz’s BABIP talent is projected in the 15th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elias Diaz has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (71% of the time), but he is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Brandon Pfaadt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Elias Diaz in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Pfaadt’s large platoon split.

Because of Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Manny Machado will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today.

Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Brandon Pfaadt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Pfaadt’s large platoon split.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, going from 13.1% on the season to 6.3% in the past two weeks.

Josh Bell’s footspeed has dropped off this year. His 25.92 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.42 ft/sec now.

Josh Bell grades out in the 16th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (39.7% rate this year).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Randal Grichuk’s true offensive ability to be a .327, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .041 deviation between that mark and his actual .368 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Ahmed in the 12th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Nick Ahmed is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Considering Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Nick Ahmed will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today.

Today, Nick Ahmed is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.1% rate (78th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lockridge in the 8th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Brandon Lockridge is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.

Considering Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Brandon Lockridge will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 19% to 13%.

Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 40.3% to 34.5%.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 34.5% on the season to 25.8% over the past two weeks.

Corbin Carroll has posted a .251 BABIP this year, placing in the 9th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 19th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lockridge ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Martin Perez performed well in his previous outing and gave up 1 ER.

Martin Perez has used his sinker 5.2% less often this season (35.6%) than he did last year (40.8%).

Martin Perez has notched a .314 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the unluckiest hurlers in the majors on balls in play with better performance likely coming.

Collectively, Arizona Diamondbacks batters have done poorly when it comes to hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to optimize home runs (between 23° and 34°), ranking 3rd-worst in MLB.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 24th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Jake McCarthy’s launch angle in recent games (5.4° in the last two weeks) is considerably worse than his 9.1° seasonal angle.

Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Brandon Pfaadt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Xander Bogaerts in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Pfaadt’s large platoon split.

Xander Bogaerts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Xander Bogaerts in today’s game.

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Martin Perez in the 16th percentile among all starters in the league.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Martin Perez to throw 84 pitches in this game (4th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 20% underlying K%.

Chase Field grades out as the #24 park in the majors for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 16.5% to 11.6%.

When assessing his home run talent, Luis Arraez ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christian Walker has posted a .276 BABIP this year, checking in at the 24th percentile.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.363) implies that Ketel Marte has been lucky this year with his .390 actual wOBA.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Brandon Pfaadt’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 81st percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball currently.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Brandon Pfaadt will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Brandon Pfaadt’s fastball velocity over his last 3 outings (94.3 mph) has been considerably faster than than his seasonal rate (93.2 mph).

David Peralta has been lucky this year, putting up a .332 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .025 disparity.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Brandon Pfaadt is projected to throw 83 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 15th-least of the day.

The San Diego Padres (18.5 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the least strikeout-prone batting order on the slate.

Latest Arizona Diamondbacks Match Player Stats

Latest San Diego Padres Match Player Stats