D-Backs vs Red Sox match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Tuesday, August 18th

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ARI @ BOS

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D-Backs @ Red Sox Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Teams : Arizona Diamondbacks at Boston Red Sox
Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, August 18th
Time : 18/08/26 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Arizona Diamondbacks Series Game 2 Game Today

Willson Contreras projects as the 16th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

,High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the most humidity on the slate at 87%.

,Willson Contreras pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Willson Contreras will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,The #3 stadium in the league for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

,Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Waldschmidt in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Ryan Waldschmidt will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Ryan Waldschmidt hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, James McCann will have an advantage today.

,James McCann has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Ranked in the 83rd percentile, James McCann has one of the highest average exit velocities in baseball since the start of last season (90.7-mph).

,The #7 park in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Merrill Kelly in today’s matchup.

,Jarren Duran is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

,Jarren Duran has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Tim Tawa will hold the platoon advantage over Ranger Suarez in today’s matchup.

,Tim Tawa hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Tim Tawa has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 97.9-mph over the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Ranger Suarez.

,Ildemaro Vargas pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Ildemaro Vargas’s launch angle recently (33° in the last 7 days) is significantly higher than his 9.7° seasonal figure.

,Nick Sogard pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Nick Sogard has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 89.5-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 83.9-mph figure.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (9.2) suggests that Nick Sogard has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 0.0 actual HR/600.

,Ceddanne Rafaela’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Ceddanne Rafaela has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Fenway Park projects as the #7 ballpark in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Nolan Arenado is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.1% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,James McCann has averaged 21.1 dingers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile for power.

,Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

,In MLB, Fenway Park’s left field dimensions are the shallowest.

,Geraldo Perdomo has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph to 90.1-mph in the last week.

,Geraldo Perdomo has posted a .354 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 85th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Nolan Arenado’s launch angle of late (33.5° over the past 14 days) is considerably better than his 19.1° seasonal figure.

,Anthony Seigler is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

,Anthony Seigler will have the handedness advantage over Merrill Kelly today.

,Anthony Seigler has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future,Fenway Park grades out as the #5 park in the league for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Out of all starters, Ranger Suarez’s fastball velocity of 89.8 mph ranks in the 6th percentile this year.

,Merrill Kelly has experienced some negative variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 5.90 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.13 — a 1.23 K/9 difference.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Andruw Monasterio will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,In the last 7 days, Andruw Monasterio’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.6%.

,Merrill Kelly has recorded 17 outs per GS this year, placing in the 78th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Caleb Durbin pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.3% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences today.

,Caleb Durbin will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Caleb Durbin has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 3.1% seasonal rate to 8.8% over the last 14 days.

,Over the last two weeks, Caleb Durbin’s 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.6%.

,Jordan Lawlar has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

,Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Jordan Lawlar will have an advantage today.

,Jordan Lawlar pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Jordan Lawlar and his 22.8° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 96th percentile, among the highest in baseball since the start of last season.

,Anthony Seigler has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Gabriel Moreno has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corbin Carroll ranks as the 20th-best batter in MLB.

,Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

,Corbin Carroll pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Corbin Carroll’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.3% up to 21.4%.

,Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Lawlar in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage today.

,Ceddanne Rafaela’s launch angle lately (43.2° in the last week) is considerably higher than his 11.9° seasonal angle.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ranger Suarez in the 80th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

,Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats across the board, and Ranger Suarez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Tim Tawa and his 19.4% rank in the 83rd percentile this year.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Adley Rutschman will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Negatives with the Boston Red Sox Series Game 2 Game Today

The league’s 2nd-highest fence height (on average) can be found at Fenway Park.

,Fenway Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to less offense.

,The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.3-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hurlers.

,Hitting from the same side that Merrill Kelly throws from, Willson Contreras will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Willson Contreras has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph dropping to 75.9-mph in the last week.

,Out of every team playing today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks.

,The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Merrill Kelly,In the last 7 days, Adley Rutschman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.9% down to 0%.

,Ryan Waldschmidt is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

,The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James McCann in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,James McCann is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.

,Jarren Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (64% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Jarren Duran has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 9.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days.

,Ryan Waldschmidt will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Tim Tawa is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gabriel Moreno in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his home run talent, Ildemaro Vargas ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ildemaro Vargas is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

,When estimating his home run talent, Nick Sogard ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nick Sogard is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

,Merrill Kelly will have the handedness advantage against Ceddanne Rafaela today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,When estimating his home run ability, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will bat from his weak side (0) today against Ranger Suarez,Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Geraldo Perdomo in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nolan Arenado today.

,Nolan Arenado has been cold in recent games, posting a 83.5-mph average exit velocity over the last 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Seigler in the 17th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Ranger Suarez projects as the 17th-best starter in the game currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Compared to their .320 overall projected rate, the .305 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Arizona Diamondbacks projected batting order in today’s game suggests this version of the lineup quite a bit a bit watered down.

,D.J. Reyburn grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Merrill Kelly in the 24th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

,Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Merrill Kelly in today’s matchup.

,Merrill Kelly’s cut-fastball utilization has decreased by 6.2% from last year to this one (20.6% to 14.4%) .

,Merrill Kelly has put up a 15.9% Strikeout% this year, grading out in the 8th percentile.

,With a .230 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Wilyer Abreu is ranked in the 24th percentile.

,Andruw Monasterio is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.

,Batting from the same side that Merrill Kelly throws from, Andruw Monasterio will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his home run ability, Caleb Durbin ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Caleb Durbin is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Hitting from the same side that Merrill Kelly throws from, Caleb Durbin encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jordan Lawlar today.

,Anthony Seigler’s footspeed has fallen off this season. His 26.74 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.63 ft/sec now.

,Tim Tawa will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Nick Sogard will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Merrill Kelly in today’s game.

,When estimating his home run skill, Anthony Seigler ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Based on Statcast data, Anthony Seigler grades out in the 8th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 2.000.

,Gabriel Moreno has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 6.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last two weeks.

,Ildemaro Vargas’s BABIP skill is projected in the 6th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ceddanne Rafaela’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 86.2-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 78.8-mph over the last week.

,Batting from the same side that Ranger Suarez throws from, Corbin Carroll encounters a tough challenge today.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corbin Carroll today.

,Andruw Monasterio has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 8.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last week.

,Ranger Suarez’s 2047-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 9th percentile out of all starters.

,Ranger Suarez has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 9.17 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.90 — a 0.27 K/9 discrepancy.

,Boston’s #2-ranked outfield defense of all teams today poses a formidable challenge for Ryan Waldschmidt, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

,In his last start, Merrill Kelly was on point and gave up 2 ER.

,This year, there has been a decline in Jordan Lawlar’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.72 ft/sec last year to 28.8 ft/sec currently.

,Adley Rutschman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 20.6% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

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