
SEA @ OAK





Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Monday, September 2nd
02/09/24 19:07:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Mariners vs Athletics Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seth Brown in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Seth Brown is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.
Seth Brown will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today’s matchup.
Seth Brown has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 86th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Lawrence Butler is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Lawrence Butler will have the handedness advantage over Logan Gilbert today.
Lawrence Butler is apt to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seth Brown in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Brent Rooker projects as the 8th-best home run batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brent Rooker is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Oakland Coliseum has the 2nd-least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers.
Brent Rooker will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
Randy Arozarena has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 8.4% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Zack Gelof will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Compared to his seasonal average of 14.2°, Zack Gelof has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 25.2° figure in the last week’s worth of games.
The Seattle Mariners have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Cal Raleigh, Jorge Polanco, Luke Raley).
Because flyball pitchers have a significant advantage over flyball batters, Osvaldo Bido and his 37.3% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong position in today’s matchup going up against 3 opposing FB batters.
Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Osvaldo Bido will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Osvaldo Bido’s 2382-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 78th percentile among all SPs.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Luke Raley is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Batting from the opposite that Osvaldo Bido throws from, Luke Raley will have an advantage in today’s game.
Luke Raley has put up a .337 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
When it comes to power, Luke Raley is positioned in the 86th percentile, having hit 27.5 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
Max Schuemann will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.
Max Schuemann’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 21.6% on the season to 32% over the past 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Osvaldo Bido in today’s game.
J.P. Crawford has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 96.7-mph over the past 7 days.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.324) provides evidence that J.P. Crawford has experienced some negative variance this year with his .287 actual wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
It may be wise to expect better results for the Seattle Mariners offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 8th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
With a 1.29 deviation between Osvaldo Bido’s 3.21 ERA and his 4.50 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year and should see negative regression in future games.
Jacob Wilson’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jacob Wilson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.
Jorge Polanco’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 18.5% on the season to 25% in the last two weeks.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.322) provides evidence that Jorge Polanco has had bad variance on his side this year with his .290 actual wOBA.
When assessing his home run skill, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.
Shea Langeliers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Josh Rojas will hold the platoon advantage over Osvaldo Bido today.
Last year, Josh Rojas had an average launch angle of 10.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17°.
As it relates to his home runs, Josh Rojas has suffered from bad luck this year. His 10.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been deflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 13.9.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
When it comes to his batting average, J.P. Crawford has been unlucky this year. His .198 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .243.
When estimating his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.
Compared to last season, Julio Rodriguez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 11.9% to 15.6% this season.
J.J. Bleday is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, J.J. Bleday will have an edge in today’s game.
The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so J.J. Bleday stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
J.J. Bleday will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.J. Bleday in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Daz Cameron will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Daz Cameron has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .189 rate is deflated compared to his .254 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Julio Rodriguez ranks as the 19th-best batter in the majors.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as MLB’s 13th-best home run batter.
Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Cal Raleigh’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 91.6-mph now compared to just 89.6-mph then.
Compared to his seasonal average of 21.4°, Cal Raleigh has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 31.8° figure over the last two weeks.
Brent Rooker projects as the 20th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Logan Gilbert projects as the 20th-best pitcher in Major League Baseball right now, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Throwing 92.2 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Logan Gilbert ranks in the 77th percentile.
It may be sensible to expect worse results for the Oakland Athletics offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in baseball this year.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) profiles as an elite pitch framer.
Luke Raley’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (30.4° in the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 13.7° seasonal mark.
As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Logan Gilbert in the 91st percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.
The Oakland Athletics have 5 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Max Schuemann, Zack Gelof, Daz Cameron, Shea Langeliers, Brent Rooker).
Shea Langeliers has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.8-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 91-mph average.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Daz Cameron has experienced some negative variance this year. His .262 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .314.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Cal Raleigh has had bad variance on his side this year. His .306 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .340.
Negative Match Player Stats with Mariners vs Athletics
Oakland Coliseum ranks as the #28 ballpark in baseball for overall LHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Oakland Coliseum has the 10th-deepest right field dimensions among all stadiums.
Built just 0 feet above sea level, Oakland Coliseum has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which often leads to worse offense.
Sporting a 3.86 K/BB rate this year, Seth Brown has shown bad plate discipline, placing in the 20th percentile.
The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oakland Coliseum.
As it relates to his home runs, Lawrence Butler has been very fortunate this year. His 34.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 23.5.
Oakland Coliseum projects as the #25 field in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #3 stadium in the majors for suppressing offensive stats to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oakland Coliseum.
Batting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Brent Rooker will not have the upper hand today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brent Rooker’s true offensive skill to be a .358, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .037 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .395 wOBA.
Oakland Coliseum grades out as the #30 stadium in the majors for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Osvaldo Bido will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Arozarena today.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Randy Arozarena today.
Zack Gelof is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Zack Gelof meets a tough challenge in today’s game.
Zack Gelof has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph dropping to 85.3-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Osvaldo Bido to throw 83 pitches in today’s game (4th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Shea Langeliers (the Athletics’s expected catcher in today’s game) profiles as a weak pitch framer.
With 6 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Osvaldo Bido faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.
Osvaldo Bido has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 9.00 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.58 — a 0.42 K/9 difference.
This year, Luke Raley has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 12% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.
Luke Raley will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Max Schuemann is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.
Logan Gilbert will have the handedness advantage against Max Schuemann today.
Max Schuemann has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 6.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 14 days.
J.P. Crawford has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.
J.P. Crawford will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Despite posting a .346 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Lawrence Butler has been lucky given the .029 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.
Oakland Coliseum ranks as the #30 venue in the game for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Osvaldo Bido is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.3% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #30 HR venue in Major League Baseball in this game.
Jacob Wilson is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.
Oakland Coliseum ranks as the #25 ballpark in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Batting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Jacob Wilson will have a tough matchup today.
Jacob Wilson has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) in the past 7 days.
In today’s matchup, Jorge Polanco is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.1% rate (98th percentile).
Typically, bats like Jorge Polanco who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Osvaldo Bido.
Jorge Polanco will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Shea Langeliers encounters a tough challenge today.
In notching a .228 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Shea Langeliers grades out in the 22nd percentile.
Grading out in the 16th percentile, Shea Langeliers has notched a .262 BABIP this year.
Josh Rojas is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
This year, Josh Rojas has been pulled from the game early in 17% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.
Using Statcast data, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 14th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .220.
Hitting from the same side that Osvaldo Bido throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have a tough challenge today.
Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Julio Rodriguez has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph dropping to 86.8-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
J.J. Bleday’s BABIP talent is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates J.J. Bleday’s true offensive talent to be a .318, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .021 difference between that mark and his actual .339 wOBA.
Daz Cameron is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
Batting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Daz Cameron will have a disadvantage today.
Daz Cameron’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 92.3-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 88.6-mph over the past 7 days.
Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.4% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 10th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Extreme flyball bats like Cal Raleigh usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Osvaldo Bido.
Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Logan Gilbert will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Out of all starters, Logan Gilbert’s fastball spin rate of 2002 rpm grades out in the 1st percentile this year.
Logan Gilbert has been one of the luckiest hurlers in the league on balls in play this year with a .247 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.
Collectively, Oakland Athletics hitters have shined as far as hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to optimize home runs (between 23° and 34°), placing best in the game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Wilson in the 7th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Seth Brown’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 22.1% to 18.2%.
Shea Langeliers has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile with a 3.65 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 18th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
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