
TB @ OAK






Positive Match Player Stats for Rays vs Athletics Series Game 4
Daz Cameron is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Oakland Coliseum has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate.
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.1-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Daz Cameron will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeffrey Springs today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Batting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Zack Gelof will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.
Extreme flyball hitters like Yandy Diaz tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Osvaldo Bido.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Miguel Andujar is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Osvaldo Bido throws from, Brandon Lowe will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
With 8 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Jeffrey Springs will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.
Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeffrey Springs today.
Among all starters, Jeffrey Springs’s fastball velocity of 89.4 mph ranks in the 6th percentile this year.
Tyler Nevin is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.
Tyler Nevin will hold the platoon advantage over Jeffrey Springs today.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Tyler Nevin will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Josh Lowe is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Osvaldo Bido throws from, Josh Lowe will have an advantage today.
Josh Lowe will probably have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Oakland Athletics has just 1 same-handed RP.
In the past two weeks, Jonny Deluca’s 23.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.7%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jonny Deluca’s true offensive skill to be a .293, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .051 disparity between that mark and his actual .242 wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Junior Caminero’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Darell Hernaiz will hold the platoon advantage over Jeffrey Springs today.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Darell Hernaiz will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Over the past two weeks, Darell Hernaiz has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 2.8° compared to his seasonal mark of -0.3°.
J.J. Bleday is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and J.J. Bleday will hold that advantage today.
There has been a significant improvement in J.J. Bleday’s launch angle from last year’s 15.4° to 18.5° this year.
The Tampa Bay Rays have 4 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Alex Jackson, Jose Siri, Josh Lowe, Christopher Morel).
With 7 batters who share his hand in the opposing team’s projected offense, Osvaldo Bido ought to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.
Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Osvaldo Bido will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Osvaldo Bido’s 94.3-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 76th percentile out of all starting pitchers.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Christopher Morel is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.J. Bleday in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Brent Rooker as the majors’s 9th-best home run batter.
Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Brent Rooker will have the upper hand today.
Osvaldo Bido has been lucky this year, notching a 3.40 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.60 — a 1.2 gap.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Max Schuemann will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Max Schuemann will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Miguel Andujar will have an edge in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Jeffrey Springs in the 78th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.
The Oakland Athletics have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Brent Rooker, Zack Gelof, Shea Langeliers).
Jeffrey Springs was firing on all cylinders in his previous game started and put up 7 strikeouts.
Jeffrey Springs has notched a 14.6% Swinging Strike rate since the start of last season, placing in the 93rd percentile.
As it relates to his home run skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Negative Match Player Stats with Rays vs Athletics Series Game 4
Oakland Coliseum grades out as the #30 park in the game for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built just 0 feet above sea level, Oakland Coliseum has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.
Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.
Zack Gelof is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
Zack Gelof has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past week.
Osvaldo Bido will have the handedness advantage against Yandy Diaz today.
Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 10th-deepest RF fences today.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yandy Diaz today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oakland Coliseum as the 2nd-worst park in baseball for RHB batting average.
Miguel Andujar’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 86.2-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 83.9-mph in the past 7 days.
When it comes to his batting average, Miguel Andujar has experienced some positive variance this year. His .284 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .254.
When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Brandon Lowe has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 12% of the time.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oakland Coliseum as the worst park in the league for lefty home runs.
Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 10th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Typically, hitters like Brandon Lowe who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Osvaldo Bido.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Jeffrey Springs’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 75th percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors currently.
The Oakland Athletics projected offense ranks as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.
It may be smart to expect weaker performance for the Oakland Athletics offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 5th-luckiest offense in the game this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oakland Coliseum as the worst park in the majors for home runs.
The 10th-deepest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Oakland Coliseum.
Today, Tyler Nevin is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40.9% rate (98th percentile).
In the last week, Tyler Nevin’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.6% down to 0%.
When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Josh Lowe has been pinch hit for 20% of the time.
Typically, batters like Josh Lowe who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Osvaldo Bido.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonny Deluca in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Jonny Deluca is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.
Osvaldo Bido will have the handedness advantage against Jonny Deluca in today’s game.
Batting from the same side that Osvaldo Bido throws from, Junior Caminero will be in a tough position in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Junior Caminero today.
Compiling a -11.9° launch angle in the last two weeks suggests that Junior Caminero has been finding it challenging to lift the ball lately, which is a key component of hitting for power.
Junior Caminero’s speed has declined this year. His 28.97 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.28 ft/sec now.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Darell Hernaiz in the 10th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Darell Hernaiz is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.
Darell Hernaiz has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 10th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.J. Bleday in the 9th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Oakland Coliseum profiles as the #25 stadium in baseball for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Batting from the same side that Jeffrey Springs throws from, J.J. Bleday will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Osvaldo Bido is projected to throw 83 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least on the slate.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Shea Langeliers (the Athletics’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) profiles as a weak pitch framer.
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Osvaldo Bido has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 53.3% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Darell Hernaiz ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Osvaldo Bido will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christopher Morel in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christopher Morel in today’s matchup.
Christopher Morel’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 91.9-mph EV last year has fallen off to 89.2-mph.
J.J. Bleday’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 88.3-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 82.1-mph over the past two weeks.
Brent Rooker has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (98% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
Brent Rooker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, falling from 22.3% on the season to 8.3% over the past two weeks.
Despite posting a .392 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brent Rooker has experienced some positive variance given the .038 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .354.
The Tampa Bay Rays have been the 10th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in future games, Shea Langeliers has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 14.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 4.2% in the past 14 days.
Shea Langeliers has put up a .263 BABIP this year, ranking in the 17th percentile.
Max Schuemann is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
Max Schuemann has put up a .227 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Tyler Nevin’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 93.5-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 80.8-mph over the past 7 days.
Zack Gelof has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph dropping to 80.9-mph in the last week.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jonny Deluca in today’s matchup.
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jeffrey Springs is projected to throw 85 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 15th-most of all pitchers today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 19th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Miguel Andujar has had some very good luck this year. His .308 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .279.
Max Schuemann has notched a .153 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, checking in at the 10th percentile.
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