
NYY @ OAK





Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 22nd
22/09/24 16:07:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Yankees vs Athletics Series Game 3 Matchup Today
Jacob Wilson’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-shallowest among all parks.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.
Out of every team today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jacob Wilson will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
Aaron Judge has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 26.5% seasonal rate to 40% in the past week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Zack Gelof will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Gleyber Torres is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
Gleyber Torres’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, going from 16.7% on the season to 22% in the past 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gleyber Torres’s true offensive ability to be a .326, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .020 difference between that figure and his actual .306 wOBA.
Brent Rooker projects as the 8th-best home run hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brent Rooker is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Anthony Volpe’s BABIP ability is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Oakland Athletics.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Austin Wells ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Austin Wells is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Batting from the opposite that Joey Estes throws from, Austin Wells will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Austin Wells has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.5-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 93.6-mph.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 18th-best hitter in MLB.
Ranking in the 79th percentile, Anthony Volpe has put up a .316 BABIP this year.
When estimating his home run skill, Seth Brown ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Seth Brown is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.
Seth Brown will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Gil in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage over Joey Estes today.
Alex Verdugo has been unlucky this year, posting a .283 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .033 gap.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 79th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
In the past 7 days, Zack Gelof’s 20% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.6%.
Anthony Rizzo will hold the platoon advantage against Joey Estes in today’s matchup.
Anthony Rizzo has been unlucky this year, notching a .274 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .029 difference.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Luis Gil in the 87th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.
Luis Gil has averaged 94.1 adjusted pitches per outing this year, ranking in the 86th percentile.
The Oakland Athletics have 4 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Brent Rooker, Shea Langeliers, Zack Gelof, Tyler Soderstrom).
Jacob Metz grades out as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches in today’s game.
Austin Wells, the Yankees’s expected catcher in today’s game, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
When estimating his home run ability, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Lawrence Butler is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Lawrence Butler will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Seth Brown will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Tyler Soderstrom will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Tyler Soderstrom will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
In the last week’s worth of games, Tyler Soderstrom’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.3-mph over the course of the season to 105.3-mph in recent games.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Luis Gil’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 76th percentile among all SPs in MLB right now.
It may be smart to expect worse results for the Oakland Athletics offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jacob Wilson has had some very poor luck this year. His .261 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .288.
J.J. Bleday is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
J.J. Bleday will have the handedness advantage against Luis Gil in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and J.J. Bleday will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Joey Estes throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.J. Bleday in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
When assessing his home run skill, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Max Schuemann will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Over the past 7 days, Max Schuemann’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6% up to 11.1%.
Anthony Rizzo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 11.2% on the season to 20.7% over the last 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Alex Verdugo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 12.2% on the season to 18.2% in the past week.
Compared to his seasonal average of 16.6°, Max Schuemann has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22.1° figure in the last 14 days.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 93-mph in the past two weeks.
The New York Yankees projected offense profiles as the 3rd-best of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Shea Langeliers (the Athletics’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) profiles as a weak pitch framer.
In his previous GS, Joey Estes allowed a staggering 6 earned runs.
The New York Yankees have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Trent Grisham, Giancarlo Stanton, Aaron Judge).
Given that flyball batters struggle against flyball pitchers, Joey Estes (44% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 2 FB hitters in the opposition’s projected lineup.
Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Joey Estes will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Brent Rooker will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Lawrence Butler will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seth Brown in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Negative Match Player Stats with Yankees vs Athletics Series Game 3
Jacob Wilson is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.
Oakland Coliseum projects as the #28 stadium in the game for overall right-handed offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built just 0 feet above sea level, Oakland Coliseum has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output.
Luis Gil will hold the platoon advantage against Jacob Wilson in today’s game.
Jacob Wilson’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 85.4-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 81.8-mph in the last 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oakland Coliseum as the worst field in the league for righty home runs.
Joey Estes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Judge in today’s game.
Extreme groundball batters like Aaron Judge generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Joey Estes.
Aaron Judge will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Zack Gelof is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.
Hitting from the same side that Luis Gil throws from, Zack Gelof will have a disadvantage today.
Zack Gelof has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 9.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last 7 days.
Joey Estes will have the handedness advantage against Gleyber Torres today.
Gleyber Torres has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gleyber Torres in today’s game.
Oakland Coliseum ranks as the #27 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Luis Gil will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brent Rooker in today’s game.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Brent Rooker’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (14.8°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 18.4°.
Brent Rooker has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .302 mark is a fair amount higher than his .267 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Anthony Volpe is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
Joey Estes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Anthony Volpe today.
Anthony Volpe has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oakland Coliseum as the worst field in baseball for LHB home runs.
In MLB, Oakland Coliseum’s right field dimensions are the 10th-deepest.
Extreme groundball batters like Austin Wells tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Joey Estes.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Austin Wells in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oakland Coliseum as the 3rd-worst field in the league for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters.
Seth Brown has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 9.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past two weeks.
Seth Brown’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 22.1% to 17.2%.
Alex Verdugo is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
Alex Verdugo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Rizzo in the 3rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Anthony Rizzo is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.
Luis Gil will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Over his previous 3 starts, Luis Gil has suffered a notable fall off in his fastball velocity: from 96 mph over the whole season to 94.9 mph lately.
Luis Gil has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting a 10.30 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.92 — a 0.38 K/9 discrepancy.
Over the last two weeks, Lawrence Butler’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12% down to 0%.
Lawrence Butler’s launch angle in recent games (2.4° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably lower than his 10.9° seasonal angle.
Compared to his seasonal angle of 14.4°, Seth Brown has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.7°) in the last 14 days.
Oakland Coliseum projects as the #27 field in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
In the last week, Tyler Soderstrom’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.9% down to 7.7%.
Considering the 0.99 discrepancy between Luis Gil’s 3.14 ERA and his 4.13 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball this year and should negatively regress going forward.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Wilson in the 7th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.J. Bleday in the 10th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
J.J. Bleday has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 8.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past week.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 10th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jazz Chisholm Jr. in today’s matchup.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 9.9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 3.2% in the past two weeks.
J.J. Bleday’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, going from 19% on the season to 0% in the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oakland Coliseum as the worst field in the game for home runs.
Max Schuemann is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.
Batting from the same side that Luis Gil throws from, Max Schuemann will have a disadvantage in today’s game.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Max Schuemann’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 90.5 mph to 80.2 mph.
Anthony Rizzo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Joey Estes is an extreme flyball pitcher (44% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #30 HR venue in the majors in today’s game.
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Joey Estes is projected to throw 80 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.
When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Joey Estes in the 25th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.
In his previous game started, Joey Estes struggled when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to post 1 Ks.
Despite posting a .399 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brent Rooker has had some very good luck given the .038 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .361.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
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