
SEA @ OAK






Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 3rd
03/09/24 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Mariners vs Athletics Series Game 2 Series Game 2 Matchup Today
The weather report predicts the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Tristan Gray will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo today… and the cherry on top, Castillo has a large platoon split.
Tristan Gray will probably have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.
The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team in action today.
Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Tristan Gray will hold that advantage today.
Josh Rojas will have the handedness advantage against J.T. Ginn today… and the cherry on top, Ginn has a large platoon split.
The Oakland Athletics outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams playing today.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (13.9) provides evidence that Josh Rojas has had bad variance on his side this year with his 10.2 actual HR/600.
Sporting a 2.07 K/BB rate this year, Josh Rojas has displayed favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 76th percentile.
When assessing his home run ability, Seth Brown ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Seth Brown is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
Considering Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Seth Brown will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.
Seth Brown will probably have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
Because of J.T. Ginn’s large platoon split, J.P. Crawford will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Oakland Coliseum has the 4th-shallowest in the league.
Zack Gelof will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
As it relates to his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.
In the last 14 days, Zack Gelof’s 20.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.7%.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Brent Rooker as the game’s 9th-best home run batter.
Brent Rooker is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 86th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Lawrence Butler is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.
Lawrence Butler will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Castillo in today’s matchup… and the cherry on top, Castillo has a large platoon split.
Lawrence Butler will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.
When estimating his home run talent, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
Shea Langeliers will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the game’s 13th-best home run batter.
Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Extreme flyball hitters like Cal Raleigh tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like J.T. Ginn.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.J. Bleday in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
J.J. Bleday is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.
Because of Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, J.J. Bleday will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.
The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so J.J. Bleday can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Extreme groundball batters like Jorge Polanco tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like J.T. Ginn.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Jorge Polanco’s 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.5%.
Victor Robles has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 9% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the past 7 days.
Victor Robles’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (30.2° over the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 19.6° seasonal angle.
When estimating his home run skill, Luke Raley ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Given J.T. Ginn’s large platoon split, Luke Raley will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.
Luke Raley has a ton of pop (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (30.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher J.T. Ginn has a pitch-to-contact profile (11th percentile K%) — great news for Raley.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.323) may lead us to conclude that Jorge Polanco has been unlucky this year with his .287 actual wOBA.
Randy Arozarena has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.3% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the past 7 days.
Luke Raley has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 10% seasonal rate to 25% in the last week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Luis Castillo in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.
Tallying 96.6 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Luis Castillo places in the 94th percentile.
The Oakland Athletics have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games, Cal Raleigh, the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, projects as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #1 park in MLB for suppressing home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oakland Coliseum.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Luke Raley ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Julio Rodriguez ranks as the 19th-best hitter in MLB.
Julio Rodriguez’s launch angle recently (21.5° in the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 9° seasonal mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Luis Castillo in the 81st percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.
The Oakland Athletics have 5 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Max Schuemann, Shea Langeliers, Tristan Gray, Zack Gelof, Brent Rooker).
Cal Raleigh’s launch angle of late (34.6° in the last week) is a considerable increase over his 21.5° seasonal figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Brent Rooker projects as the 20th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brent Rooker will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
J.P. Crawford has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.5-mph EV.
Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Oakland (#2-worst on the slate today).
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Seth Brown ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The Seattle Mariners have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jorge Polanco, Luke Raley, Cal Raleigh).
Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and J.T. Ginn will hold that advantage today.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (21.6) provides evidence that Victor Robles has experienced some negative variance this year with his 11.4 actual HR/600.
Negative Match Player Stats with Mariners vs Athletics Series Game 2
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tristan Gray in the 1st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Tristan Gray is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.
Oakland Coliseum ranks as the #28 stadium in Major League Baseball for overall lefty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The 10th-deepest RF dimensions in the league are found in Oakland Coliseum.
Built just 0 feet above sea level, Oakland Coliseum has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output.
Josh Rojas is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.
This year, Josh Rojas has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 17% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.
This year, Seth Brown has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 15% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
Sporting a 3.71 K/BB rate this year, Seth Brown has demonstrated poor plate discipline, checking in at the 23rd percentile.
J.P. Crawford will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
In the last week, J.P. Crawford’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 0%.
Zack Gelof is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.
Oakland Coliseum grades out as the #28 park in the league for overall right-handed offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Luis Castillo will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Gelof today… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.
In the past 7 days, Zack Gelof’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 93.6 mph to 89.1 mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oakland Coliseum as the worst venue in baseball for left-handed home runs.
J.T. Ginn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Rodriguez today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Ginn’s large platoon split.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Julio Rodriguez today.
Julio Rodriguez has posted a .180 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, grading out in the 18th percentile.
Oakland Coliseum grades out as the #30 park in baseball for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
J.T. Ginn will have the handedness advantage over Randy Arozarena in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Ginn’s large platoon split.
Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Randy Arozarena today.
Randy Arozarena has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph dropping to 88.1-mph over the past 7 days.
Luis Castillo will have the handedness advantage against Brent Rooker in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.
Brent Rooker has been lucky this year, putting up a .398 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .359 — a .039 disparity.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (25.0) provides evidence that Lawrence Butler has been very fortunate this year with his 33.7 actual HR/600.
Luis Castillo will hold the platoon advantage against Shea Langeliers today… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.
When it comes to plate discipline, Shea Langeliers’s talent is quite poor, putting up a 3.66 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 24th percentile.
Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 10th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Cal Raleigh’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.3% down to 6.9%.
Despite posting a .339 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes J.J. Bleday has been very fortunate given the .021 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.
Jorge Polanco has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (76% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 10th-deepest RF fences today.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jorge Polanco in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oakland Coliseum as the 6th-worst field in the majors for right-handed batting average.
With a 3.7 K/BB rate this year, Julio Rodriguez has shown poor plate discipline, grading out in the 23rd percentile.
Victor Robles is penciled in 9th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
J.T. Ginn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Victor Robles today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Ginn’s large platoon split.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Victor Robles in today’s matchup.
Luke Raley is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.
This year, Luke Raley has been pulled from the game early in 11% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.J. Bleday in the 9th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Shea Langeliers has recorded a .229 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Shea Langeliers has posted a .257 BABIP this year, ranking in the 13th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tristan Gray in the 2nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Castillo in today’s matchup.
Luis Castillo’s 2158-rpm spin rate on his fastball this year is a notable 129-rpm fall off from last season’s 2287-rpm rate.
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Luis Castillo has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 62.9% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.
From last year to this one, Seth Brown’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 22.1% to 18.2%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oakland Coliseum as the 6th-worst park in the league for left-handed batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Lawrence Butler’s true offensive ability to be a .319, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .033 gap between that mark and his actual .352 wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts J.T. Ginn in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, J.T. Ginn is projected to throw 80 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-least of all pitchers on the slate today.
Projected catcher Shea Langeliers profiles as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Given that groundball batters hold a significant advantage over flyball pitchers, J.T. Ginn and his 50.1% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a troublesome position today matching up with 0 opposing GB bats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 18th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
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